Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, July 4th
2024-07-04 19:20:00 EST Game Start Time / First Pitch

Player match stat positives for San Francisco at Atlanta Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Truist Park projects as the #4 field in the game for overall righty offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 981 feet above sea level, Truist Park has the 3rd-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.

The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the highest level on the slate at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Atlanta Braves offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 6th-best stadium in the game for batting average.

Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Logan Webb (57.1% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 3 GB hitters in Atlanta’s projected batting order.

Marcell Ozuna projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Conforto in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Truist Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the league for boosting offensive stats to lefties.

The shallowest CF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Duvall in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Bats such as Adam Duvall with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Logan Webb who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Charlie Morton in the 90th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

Compared to the average starter, Charlie Morton has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an additional 6.5 adjusted pitches each outing.

The San Francisco Giants have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt Chapman, Mike Yastrzemski, Heliot Ramos).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Sean Murphy (the Braves’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Charlie Morton will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Truist Park projects as the #4 stadium in MLB for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When estimating his overall offensive ability, LaMonte Wade Jr. ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Truist Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for LHB batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Jorge Soler is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sean Murphy in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Sean Murphy will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Mike Yastrzemski will hold the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Jarred Kelenic has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (74% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Forrest Wall will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Ozzie Albies is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Charlie Morton has posted a 2.36 K/BB rate this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

Austin Riley projects as the 17th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Austin Riley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage over Charlie Morton in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 88th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Logan Webb has been given an above-average leash this year, recording 7.3 more adjusted pitches-per-start than the average starter.

The Atlanta Braves have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jarred Kelenic, Zack Short, Adam Duvall, Forrest Wall).

Jorge Soler has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 15.6% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Compared to his seasonal average of 8.2°, Heliot Ramos has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 11.4° mark over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

In notching a 28.700 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Sean Murphy is positioned in the 86th percentile for power.

Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Brett Wisely will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Brett Wisely’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.1%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Patrick Bailey has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92-mph average to last season’s 88.7-mph EV.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Adam Duvall will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Brett Wisely has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 12.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount lower than his 19.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Austin Riley will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Over the last two weeks, Nick Ahmed has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 24.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.6°.

Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jarred Kelenic ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jarred Kelenic will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today’s matchup.

Forrest Wall will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Thursday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Giants vs Braves Matchup

The 3rd-deepest LF fences among all major league stadiums are found in Truist Park.

Hitting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Heliot Ramos will not have the upper hand today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Heliot Ramos today.

In the past 14 days, Heliot Ramos’s 29.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 45.1%.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Heliot Ramos has experienced some positive variance this year. His .380 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .329.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Webb as the 10th-best SP in the majors currently.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as an elite pitch framer.

Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

In his previous start, Logan Webb was in good form and allowed 2 ER.

Hitting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Marcell Ozuna will be in a tough position today.

Marcell Ozuna pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Marcell Ozuna has been lucky this year, compiling a .397 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .052 disparity.

Michael Conforto has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Michael Conforto will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Nick Ahmed ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nick Ahmed is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage against Nick Ahmed in today’s matchup.

Today, Nick Ahmed is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.1% rate (80th percentile).

Nick Ahmed will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Adam Duvall will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (43.3% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant decline in Adam Duvall’s launch angle from last season’s 28.5° to 23.6° this season.

Charlie Morton’s 93.3-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 1-mph drop off from last season’s 94.3-mph figure.

LaMonte Wade Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

LaMonte Wade Jr. has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

LaMonte Wade Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 13.9% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Despite posting a .396 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes LaMonte Wade Jr. has experienced some positive variance given the .061 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .335.

Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage over Jorge Soler in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Jorge Soler is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.3% rate (89th percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jorge Soler in today’s game.

With a .219 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jorge Soler grades out in the 15th percentile.

Sean Murphy is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage over Sean Murphy in today’s game.

Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Sean Murphy’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.3% down to 0%.

The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will bat from his worse side (0) today against Charlie Morton, Patrick Bailey will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Patrick Bailey’s true offensive ability to be a .294, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .049 gap between that figure and his actual .343 wOBA.

Charlie Morton will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matt Chapman in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Matt Chapman in today’s matchup.

Matt Chapman has struggled with his Barrel%; his 17.2% rate last season has dropped to 11.3% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 14th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mike Yastrzemski today.

Mike Yastrzemski has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .312 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .267 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Mike Yastrzemski’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to assess power) has been 108.2 mph this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Jarred Kelenic has been pulled from the game early 12% of the time.

In terms of his batting average, Jarred Kelenic has experienced some positive variance this year. His .282 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .249.

Jarred Kelenic has shown poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 12th percentile with a 4.39 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Forrest Wall in the 8th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Forrest Wall is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Forrest Wall has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 28% of the time.

Extreme groundball batters like Forrest Wall tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Logan Webb.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will bat from his worse side against Logan Webb in today’s game.

Over the last week, Ozzie Albies’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%.

From last season to this one, Ozzie Albies’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 92.6 mph to 89.7 mph.

Ozzie Albies’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 14% on the season to 7.9% over the past two weeks.

In his previous start, Charlie Morton was in good form and conceded 0 ER.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Charlie Morton must realize this, because he has gone to his non-fastballs a lot this year: 63.1% of the time, grading out in the 88th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Logan Webb throws from, Austin Riley will have a tough challenge today.

When it comes to his batting average, Michael Conforto has had positive variance on his side this year. His .236 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

Hitting the ball to all fields is a crucial skill for batting average that Mike Yastrzemski has struggled with this year, as evidenced by his checking in at the 4th percentile on THE BAT X’s Spray Score.

Logan Webb will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Logan Webb’s sinker rate has jumped by 5% from last season to this one (33.6% to 38.6%) .

Over the past two weeks, Matt Olson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.4% down to 0%.

Matt Olson’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 93.7-mph mark last season has fallen off to 91.3-mph.

Matt Olson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 14% on the season to 0% in the last week.

Sean Murphy’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 86.7-mph seasonal average has fallen to 80.4-mph over the past 7 days.

Brett Wisely is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Brett Wisely has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brett Wisely in today’s matchup.

Brett Wisely’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 88-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 80.2-mph over the past week.

Brett Wisely’s 88.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to measure power) is in the 9th percentile this year.

Grading out in the 21st percentile for power, Ozzie Albies has paced 9.8 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Patrick Bailey’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (7.4°) is quite a bit worse than his 12.3° mark last season.

With a .238 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Adam Duvall is ranked in the 4th percentile.

Brett Wisely has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .332 rate is a good deal higher than his .299 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Duvall in the 5th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.316) provides evidence that Jarred Kelenic has been very fortunate this year with his .338 actual wOBA.

With a .268 wOBA in the last 7 days, Forrest Wall has been struggling at the plate.