Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Los Angeles at Philadelphia Matchup Today

When estimating his home run talent, Andy Pages ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andy Pages is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best park in MLB for right-handed home runs.

Homers are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.

The weather report calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

When estimating his home run skill, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Bobby Miller in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Philadelphia Phillies in today’s game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .304, which is significantly lower than their actual wOBA of .324 this year.

It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the Philadelphia Phillies offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 4th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst park in the game for batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Alec Bohm is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Bobby Miller in today’s matchup.

Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The 2nd-best projected batting order of all teams today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Garrett Stubbs, the Phillies’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With a 0.57 deviation between Zack Wheeler’s 2.74 ERA and his 3.31 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball this year and should perform worse in the future.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos’s BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Freddie Freeman ranks as the 10th-best batter in the majors.

Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best ballpark in MLB for left-handed home runs.

Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler today.

Johan Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Johan Rojas has had some very poor luck given the .030 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .278.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bobby Miller today.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Trea Turner will hold that advantage in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Marsh ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andy Pages ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Will Smith ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the game.

Will Smith is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

In terms of plate discipline, Miguel Rojas’s skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.62 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 90th percentile.

Gavin Lux will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gavin Lux’s true offensive talent to be a .302, suggesting that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .057 difference between that mark and his actual .245 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 3rd-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best batter in the majors.

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Shohei Ohtani will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Posting a .275 batting average this year, Miguel Rojas grades out in the 81st percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alec Bohm ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Compared to the average pitcher, Zack Wheeler has been given an above-average leash this year, recording an additional 9.7 adjusted pitches each start.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 77th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .335.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zack Wheeler in the 94th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Chris Taylor, Teoscar Hernandez, Andy Pages, James Outman).

Will Smith has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 12.3% seasonal rate to 44.4% in the last week’s worth of games.

Tuesday player match stat slumps with Dodgers vs Phillies Matchup

Citizens Bank Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense.

Hitting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Andy Pages will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andy Pages in today’s game.

Andy Pages has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

Andy Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 91.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 86.2-mph in the past 7 days.

Batting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Teoscar Hernandez has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 15.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 3.8% over the past 14 days.

Over the last two weeks, Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 95.8 mph to 91 mph.

Bobby Miller will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Bobby Miller’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.4 mph this year (97 mph) below where it was last year (98.4 mph).

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Bobby Miller has utilized his off-speed and breaking pitches 6.6% less often this year (45.3%) than he did last season (51.9%).

Bobby Miller has had some very good luck with his strikeouts since the start of last season, compiling an 8.68 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.16 — a 0.52 K/9 difference.

Tallying 12.5 outs per game per started this year on average, Bobby Miller checks in at the 4th percentile.

Citizens Bank Park has the 10th-shallowest LF dimensions in the league.

Bobby Miller will have the handedness advantage against Alec Bohm in today’s game.

Alec Bohm has been lucky this year, compiling a .354 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .029 deviation.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #24 stadium in baseball for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89.9-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 79.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

In the last 14 days, Bryson Stott’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 10.4°.

Bryson Stott’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 17.4% to 14.2%.

Zack Wheeler projects as the 9th-best starting pitcher in the game right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Zack Wheeler will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats in all categories.

Zack Wheeler was in good form in his last start and allowed 2 ER.

Batting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, Nick Castellanos has a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Freddie Freeman in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.3°, Freddie Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7°) in the last two weeks.

When estimating his home run skill, Johan Rojas ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Johan Rojas is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Johan Rojas has been pulled from the game early 14% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Batting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, Johan Rojas will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

The #7 stadium in the majors for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Over the last two weeks, Nick Castellanos’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 13.7°.

When estimating his home run talent, Bryson Stott ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the past week, Brandon Marsh’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

Over the past 7 days, Brandon Marsh’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 21%.

As it relates to his home runs, Brandon Marsh has had some very good luck this year. His 17.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 14.1.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Johan Rojas ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the same side that Bobby Miller throws from, Trea Turner meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his batting average, Trea Turner has had some very good luck this year. His .340 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .279.

Batting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Will Smith has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Will Smith today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 5th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Miguel Rojas is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Zack Wheeler throws from, Miguel Rojas meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Miguel Rojas will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

As it relates to his home run talent, Gavin Lux ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gavin Lux is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.

Gavin Lux will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Over the last two weeks, Gavin Lux’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 89.4 mph to 79.2 mph.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Shohei Ohtani in today’s matchup.

Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 99.6-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 96.7-mph in the last 14 days.

From last year to this one, Shohei Ohtani’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.2% to 14.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shohei Ohtani’s true offensive skill to be a .402, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .031 deviation between that mark and his actual .433 wOBA.

By putting up a 8.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Bryson Stott grades out in the 14th percentile for power.

Trea Turner has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .383 mark is a good deal higher than his .338 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.