Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Los Angeles at Milwaukee Game 3 Matchup Today

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

William Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

American Family Field ranks as the #9 ballpark in the league for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

American Family Field has the 4th-lowest fences among all parks.

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.

Kike Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Kike Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5% up to 13.3%.

By putting up a 1.9 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has displayed impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

When assessing his home run talent, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The 8th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in American Family Field.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Rhys Hoskins will hold that advantage today.

The 2nd-best projected lineup on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future, The #3 park in the league for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Gavin Lux has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (82% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

American Family Field projects as the #9 field in the league for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Sal Frelick will hold that advantage in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mookie Betts ranks as the 14th-best batter in MLB.

Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Sporting a .393 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Mookie Betts finds himself in the 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have an advantage today.

Garrett Mitchell hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Garrett Mitchell will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in MLB.

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Gavin Lux will have the handedness advantage against Frankie Montas today.

Brice Turang is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Brice Turang will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler in today’s matchup.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Joey Ortiz’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Joey Ortiz will hold that advantage today.

Freddie Freeman projects as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Jackson Chourio has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (68% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Will Smith ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Brice Turang will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The underlying talent of the Milwaukee Brewers projected batting order today (.312 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal worse than their .323 wOBA this year.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Milwaukee Brewers offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Kike Hernandez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .273 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .023 gap.

In the past week, Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.4-mph over the course of the season to 97.4-mph lately.

In the past 14 days, Joey Ortiz’s 60.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.4%.

Frankie Montas has averaged 93.3 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.

The #3 field in MLB for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

Will Smith’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (21.8°) is considerably higher than his 12.4° angle last season.

Will Smith’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (26.9° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably better than his 21.8° seasonal mark.

When assessing his batting average talent, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 4th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his home run ability, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage against Frankie Montas in today’s matchup.

Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jackson Chourio will hold that advantage today.

William Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

William Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Walker Buehler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

In his last GS, Walker Buehler allowed a monstrous 7 earned runs.

Gavin Lux hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Walker Buehler’s 94.9-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 83rd percentile among all starters.

In the past 7 days, Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96-mph over the course of the season to 98.2-mph in recent games.

Teoscar Hernandez’s launch angle of late (17.6° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 9.9° seasonal figure.

Rhys Hoskins has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 23.9° mark is among the highest in the majors this year (100th percentile).

Wednesday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Dodgers vs Brewers Matchup

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 4th-most favorable for pitching of all games today.

Walker Buehler will hold the platoon advantage over William Contreras in today’s matchup.

The Los Angeles Dodgers infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.262) provides evidence that William Contreras has had some very good luck this year with his .286 actual batting average.

Kike Hernandez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Frankie Montas will hold the platoon advantage against Kike Hernandez in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kike Hernandez in today’s matchup.

Kike Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 90.4-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 86.9-mph in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Rojas in the 18th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Miguel Rojas is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

15% of the time that Miguel Rojas has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Miguel Rojas will be at a disadvantage today.

Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Rhys Hoskins will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Rhys Hoskins’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 94.3-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 90.7-mph over the past two weeks.

It is likely that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (David Rackley) calling pitches today.

With 6 hitters who share the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Frankie Montas should benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best among all the teams today.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Frankie Montas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

This year, Gavin Lux has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gavin Lux in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Gavin Lux’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11%.

Sal Frelick is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Sal Frelick has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 85.5-mph EV last year has dropped off to 83.2-mph.

Hitting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Mookie Betts will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Mookie Betts has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 12.5% rate last season has decreased to 6% this season.

Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Willy Adames will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

In terms of his batting average, Willy Adames has had some very good luck this year. His .253 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .234.

Garrett Mitchell is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Garrett Mitchell has been pulled from the game early 22% of the time.

Despite posting a .328 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Garrett Mitchell has been very fortunate given the .027 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Shohei Ohtani in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Shohei Ohtani’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 20.4% down to 5.3%.

Shohei Ohtani’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 99.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 96.8-mph over the last 14 days.

Gavin Lux has been cold recently, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (2.5°) is considerably worse than his 10.2° angle last year.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-2.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 2.5°.

Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 95.5-mph figure last year has fallen to 91.4-mph.

Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Teoscar Hernandez has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Teoscar Hernandez in today’s game.

Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Joey Ortiz has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time.

Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Joey Ortiz will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Joey Ortiz has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Freddie Freeman in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Freddie Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 91.9 mph to 85.8 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kike Hernandez in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage against Jackson Chourio today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.9) provides evidence that Jackson Chourio has been very fortunate this year with his 21.6 actual HR/600.

Will Smith is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 99% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the same side that Frankie Montas throws from, Will Smith will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Will Smith in today’s matchup.

In notching a .292 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Brice Turang is ranked in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 4th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

As it relates to his home run ability, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

American Family Field projects as the #9 stadium in the game for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Over the last 14 days, Will Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.2% down to 0%.

Teoscar Hernandez has been lucky this year, notching a .359 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .344 — a .015 disparity.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.330) suggests that William Contreras has had some very good luck this year with his .352 actual wOBA.

In the last two weeks, Garrett Mitchell’s 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.4%.

Walker Buehler has averaged 81.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 17th percentile.

In his previous GS, Walker Buehler wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.

Ranking in the 11th percentile, Walker Buehler recorded a 7.2% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

When it comes to his home runs, Brice Turang has had some very good luck this year. His 9.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 4.8.

Rhys Hoskins’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (20.4° over the past week) is considerably worse than his 23.9° seasonal angle.

Rhys Hoskins’s BABIP ability is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).