Todays Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Los Angeles at Milwaukee Game 2 Matchup Today

Joey Ortiz’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

Joey Ortiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Joey Ortiz has compiled a .339 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Sporting a 1.46 K/BB rate this year, Joey Ortiz has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Gavin Lux’s BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gavin Lux is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

The #9 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is American Family Field.

In the majors, American Family Field has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

Batting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Garrett Mitchell hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

William Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

American Family Field grades out as the #9 venue in MLB for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When assessing his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

The 8th-shallowest CF fences among all stadiums are found in American Family Field.

When it comes to his home run ability, Rhys Hoskins ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rhys Hoskins will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

In the past two weeks, Rhys Hoskins has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 31° compared to his seasonal mark of 23.6°.

Rhys Hoskins and his 23.6° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 100th percentile, among the highest in the game this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 4th-best hitter in the game.

Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Sporting a 1.91 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has shown good plate discipline, placing in the 81st percentile.

Mookie Betts projects as the 14th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mookie Betts is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Willy Adames will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio’s BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Kevin Kiermaier will have the handedness advantage over Colin Rea today.

Kevin Kiermaier has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year’s 87.4-mph average.

Kevin Kiermaier’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (8.1°) is significantly better than his 4.4° figure last season.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Teoscar Hernandez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 14.8% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last week.

In the last week’s worth of games, Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.1-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph in recent games.

Kike Hernandez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Kike Hernandez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 15.4%.

Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Brice Turang will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Freddie Freeman projects as the 10th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Kike Hernandez has been unlucky this year, notching a .274 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .296 — a .022 difference.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Will Smith ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Stone throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage in today’s game.

Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Mitchell in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

William Contreras will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

It may be wise to expect worse numbers for the Milwaukee Brewers offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the luckiest offense in MLB this year.

Gavin Stone will hold the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in this matchup.

Milwaukee’s 11° launch angle (a reliable standard to study the ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in Major League Baseball this year: #28 overall.

The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The Los Angeles Dodgers have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 4th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.

Brice Turang hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Brice Turang will hold that advantage today.

American Family Field projects as the #3 stadium in the league for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his last start, Colin Rea performed well and posted 9 strikeouts.

Jackson Chourio will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Freddie Freeman will have the upper hand today.

Given the 1.09 gap between Gavin Stone’s 6.89 K/9 and his 7.97 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see positive regression the rest of the season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Garrett Mitchell will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Gavin Lux will have an edge today.

Gavin Lux hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences today.

Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Posting a .289 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Mookie Betts is positioned in the 93rd percentile.

Last season, Will Smith had an average launch angle of 12.4° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 22.1°.

In the last week’s worth of games, Will Smith has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 31.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 22.1°.

The Milwaukee Brewers collectively rank 4th- overall in Major League Baseball this year as it relates to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Frelick in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Sal Frelick will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Tuesday Game 2 player match stat slumps with Dodgers vs Brewers Matchup

Joey Ortiz is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.

Gavin Stone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Ortiz today.

Joey Ortiz has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Joey Ortiz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%.

Joey Ortiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 91.3-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 80.2-mph in the past 14 days.

11% of the time that Gavin Lux has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-best among every team today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gavin Lux in today’s game.

Gavin Lux’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, decreasing from 11.1% on the season to 0% over the past week.

Gavin Lux has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) over the past 7 days.

Garrett Mitchell is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Garrett Mitchell’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, falling from 9.4% on the season to 5.3% in the last 14 days.

Despite posting a .339 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Garrett Mitchell has been very fortunate given the .037 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .302.

Hitting from the same side that Gavin Stone throws from, William Contreras will have a tough matchup today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.262) implies that William Contreras has had some very good luck this year with his .283 actual batting average.

Hitting from the same side that Gavin Stone throws from, Willy Adames meets a tough challenge today.

Rhys Hoskins is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Hitting from the same side that Gavin Stone throws from, Rhys Hoskins has a tough challenge today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Rhys Hoskins’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 94.3 mph to 78.8 mph.

Rhys Hoskins has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .225 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .195 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Checking in at the 8th percentile, Rhys Hoskins has notched a .249 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Shohei Ohtani will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Shohei Ohtani has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 95.3-mph dropping to 92.4-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Shohei Ohtani’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, falling from 47.6% on the season to 25.8% over the last two weeks.

As it relates to his home run ability, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miguel Rojas is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

This year, Miguel Rojas has been pinch hit for in 16% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Colin Rea will hold the platoon advantage against Miguel Rojas in today’s game.

Miguel Rojas has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Mookie Betts faces a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mookie Betts in today’s game.

Mookie Betts has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 12.5% rate last year has fallen off to 6% this season.

Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 95.5-mph EV last season has fallen to 91.4-mph.

Mookie Betts’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (12.5°) is a considerable dropoff from his 18.6° mark last year.

Batting from the same side that Gavin Stone throws from, Jackson Chourio will have a tough matchup today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.6) may lead us to conclude that Jackson Chourio has had some very good luck this year with his 21.8 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 13th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Kevin Kiermaier is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

This year, Kevin Kiermaier has been pinch hit for in 27% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Kevin Kiermaier will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Teoscar Hernandez meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Teoscar Hernandez today.

In the past week, Teoscar Hernandez’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kike Hernandez in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Kike Hernandez is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Kike Hernandez meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Kike Hernandez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run talent, Brice Turang ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Last season, Brice Turang had a launch angle of 10.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 2.5°.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 2.5°, Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly recently (-0.7° in the past 14 days).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (4.8) implies that Brice Turang has been lucky this year with his 9.4 actual HR/600.

Checking in at the 10th percentile, Brice Turang sits with a .156 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Freddie Freeman in today’s game.

Freddie Freeman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 91.9-mph seasonal average has dropped to 83-mph over the past 7 days.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, William Contreras has been lucky this year. His .347 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .329.

Will Smith has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Will Smith encounters a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Will Smith in today’s matchup.

Will Smith has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 14 days.

When assessing his home run ability, Sal Frelick ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Sal Frelick is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 85.5-mph average last season has decreased to 83.2-mph.

Sal Frelick’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 83.2-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 75.1-mph over the last two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 5°, Sal Frelick’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly lately (-1.6° in the past 14 days).

Miguel Rojas’s BABIP skill is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

An inconsistent launch angle is generally a measure of bad hitting skills, and Garrett Mitchell has been very inconsistent with his of late, putting up a 14.5° launch angle standard deviation over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Stone to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (8th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks American Family Field as the 3rd-best park in baseball for walks.

Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gavin Stone today.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats in all categories, and Colin Rea will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In his last game started, Colin Rea was on point and conceded 0 ER.

Colin Rea has relied on his slider 6.4% more often this season (17.1%) than he did last year (10.7%).

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Rhys Hoskins has been lucky this year. His .322 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .301.

In the past two weeks, Kike Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 90.5 mph to 85.8 mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.1°, Kike Hernandez’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (0.6° in the past 14 days).

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Colin Rea is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

Colin Rea’s 91.7-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 24th percentile among all starters.

Colin Rea has put up an 8.1% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 6th percentile.

In his last start, Gavin Stone wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 2 Ks.

Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, falling from 16.7% on the season to 13.3% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Teoscar Hernandez’s true offensive talent to be a .344, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .018 deviation between that figure and his actual .362 wOBA.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Kevin Kiermaier ranks in the 1st percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .235.

Based on Statcast metrics, Gavin Lux grades out in the 10th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 8.300.

As it relates to his batting average, Sal Frelick has had positive variance on his side this year. His .269 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .247.