Todays Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Arizona at Tampa Bay Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest left field dimensions among all major league stadiums.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today’s game.

There has been a significant improvement in Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s launch angle from last year’s 10.7° to 15.8° this year.

In the majors, Tropicana Field’s right field fences are the 5th-shallowest.

Dylan Carlson will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Dylan Carlson’s launch angle lately (29.3° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably better than his 17.2° seasonal angle.

Dylan Carlson’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (23°) is considerably higher than his 15° mark last year.

Dylan Carlson has been unlucky this year, notching a .261 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .046 discrepancy.

Josh Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Josh Lowe will have an advantage today.

Josh Lowe has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Josh Lowe will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Josh Lowe has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last year’s 91.3-mph figure.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Yandy Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Yandy Diaz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 92.3-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Corbin Carroll has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 92.1-mph.

Despite posting a .303 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corbin Carroll has been unlucky given the .028 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

Sporting a 1.79 K/BB rate this year, Corbin Carroll has displayed impressive plate discipline, placing in the 85th percentile.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 bats in the projected batting order that will hold the platoon advantage over Jeffrey Springs in this matchup.

Jeffrey Springs’s 89.7-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 7th percentile among all SPs.

Among all SPs, Jeffrey Springs’s fastball spin rate of 2131 rpm grades out in the 20th percentile this year.

Arizona Diamondbacks bats jointly have been among the best in the majors this year (6th-) as it relates to their 89.2-mph average exit velocity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Christopher Morel is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Christopher Morel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Christopher Morel has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .188 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .220 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.3% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Over the last 14 days, Eugenio Suarez has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 25.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 18.2°.

Based on Statcast data, Eugenio Suarez is in the 79th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 24.700.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Josh Bell is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Josh Bell has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Josh Bell has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.9-mph average.

Josh Bell’s launch angle this year (11.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 8.7° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Jake McCarthy has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Jake McCarthy has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 3.5% seasonal rate to 10% in the past 7 days.

Last year, Jake McCarthy had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Brandon Lowe will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s game.

Brandon Lowe will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Compared to last season, Brandon Lowe has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.6% to 20.7% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Junior Caminero is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Junior Caminero will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Junior Caminero is remarkably quick, grading out in the 90th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.97 ft/sec since the start of last season.

In the last 14 days, Jake McCarthy’s 58.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.8%.

When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Zac Gallen in the 82nd percentile among all SPs in the league.

Zac Gallen has averaged 96.4 adjusted pitches per GS this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Josh Lowe, Ben Rortvedt, Kameron Misner, Christopher Morel).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Tropicana Field as the 4th-best field in the league for strikeouts.

Over the last 14 days, Jake McCarthy has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 19.5° compared to his seasonal mark of 16°.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 14th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Randal Grichuk is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Randal Grichuk will have the handedness advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today’s game.

Randal Grichuk pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

This season, Randal Grichuk has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.9 mph compared to last year’s 90.4 mph mark.

Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Ben Rortvedt will have an edge today.

Ben Rortvedt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Ben Rortvedt will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Grading out in the 92nd percentile, Ben Rortvedt sports a .357 BABIP this year.

With a 24.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Junior Caminero is positioned in the 81st percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Junior Caminero ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel’s launch angle of late (8.8° in the last week’s worth of games) is significantly lower than his 14.3° seasonal angle.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Jeffrey Springs in the 75th percentile among all starters in MLB.

Jeffrey Springs will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Saturday Game 2 player match stat slumps with D-Backs vs Rays Matchup

The #2 stadium in MLB for suppressing offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game -8° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

Among every team today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the Tampa Bay Rays.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.1-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 80.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 15.8°, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0°) in the past 14 days.

With a 4.56 K/BB rate this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 12th percentile.

Dylan Carlson is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Dylan Carlson will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Zac Gallen in this game.

Dylan Carlson’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.4-mph average last year has dropped off to 88.3-mph.

Josh Lowe has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 14.9% on the season to 4.8% in the last 14 days.

Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today’s matchup.

Last season, Yandy Diaz had a launch angle of 4.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 0.4°.

Corbin Carroll has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the same side that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Corbin Carroll will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Corbin Carroll’s launch angle in recent games (-6.5° over the last week) is a considerable dropoff from his 11.5° seasonal mark.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the Arizona Diamondbacks in today’s game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .309, which is significantly worse than their actual wOBA of .331 this year.

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Phil Cuzzi projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be calling pitches in this game.

Tropicana Field profiles as the #28 stadium in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Christopher Morel will be at a disadvantage today.

Over the past 7 days, Christopher Morel’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.5% down to 0%.

Over the last 14 days, Christopher Morel’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 94.5 mph to 84.2 mph.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Eugenio Suarez’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 90.2-mph mark last season has dropped off to 88.1-mph.

Eugenio Suarez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph dropping to 83.2-mph in the last week.

The #4 stadium in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

Sporting a 6.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Dylan Carlson is positioned in the 16th percentile for power.

The #4 park in baseball for suppressing base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Tropicana Field.

Josh Bell will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Over the past week, Josh Bell’s 5.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.6%.

Batting from the same side that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Jake McCarthy faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Brandon Lowe has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.

Brandon Lowe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the last week, Brandon Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.1% down to 6.3%.

Zac Gallen will have the handedness advantage against Junior Caminero today.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Zac Gallen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.292) suggests that Josh Bell has been very fortunate this year with his .315 actual wOBA.

Jake McCarthy has been lucky this year, putting up a .365 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .059 gap.

Yandy Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, falling from 39% on the season to 11.8% in the past week’s worth of games.

Randal Grichuk will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The standard deviation of Randal Grichuk’s launch angle this year (31.2°) is in the 6th percentile. A high mark like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Zac Gallen’s overall pitching talent is in the 91st percentile out of all starters in MLB currently.

It may be smart to expect worse results for the Tampa Bay Rays offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 8th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 9th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Ben Rortvedt is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

This year, Ben Rortvedt has been pinch hit for in 15% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Jeffrey Springs has averaged 81.3 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, checking in at the 20th percentile.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.5°, Brandon Lowe has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.1°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rortvedt in the 15th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Ben Rortvedt’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 86.6-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 74.8-mph in the last 14 days.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (20.3 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone set of batters of the day.

In terms of his batting average, Randal Grichuk has been lucky this year. His .274 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .249.