Todays Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Arizona at Pittsburgh Game 2 Matchup Today

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in the league, which often leads to better offense.

Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Andrew McCutchen will have an advantage today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Jared Triolo will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Jared Triolo has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 98-mph over the last 7 days.

Jared Triolo has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .256 figure is considerably lower than his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Alek Thomas will have an advantage in today’s game.

Alek Thomas has made significant strides with his Barrel%, upping his 5.2% rate last season to 10.3% this year.

Alek Thomas has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last season’s 88.9-mph mark.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 10th-best home run batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz has big-time HR ability (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (31% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jordan Montgomery struggles to strike batters out (9th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.

Oneil Cruz will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Oneil Cruz has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 19.2% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Oneil Cruz has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 95.2-mph to 100.1-mph over the past 7 days.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Corbin Carroll has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.4-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.1-mph figure.

Michael A. Taylor will have the handedness advantage over Jordan Montgomery today.

Michael A. Taylor has a ton of pop (78th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (31.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jordan Montgomery has a pitch-to-contact profile (8th percentile K%) — great news for Taylor.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Michael A. Taylor will hold that advantage today.

Michael A. Taylor has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last two weeks.

Michael A. Taylor has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 107-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.1-mph.

Ketel Marte projects as the 16th-best batter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Over the last 14 days, Ketel Marte has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 11.1% to 19.4%.

Ketel Marte has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last season’s 91.1-mph average.

In the past week, Ketel Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.7-mph over the course of the season to 109.4-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan De La Cruz in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Bryan De La Cruz is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Bryan De La Cruz will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Bryan De La Cruz will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Bryan De La Cruz has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 89.6-mph average.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Alek Thomas has suffered from bad luck this year. His .281 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .309.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge in today’s game.

Joc Pederson has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.4% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Joc Pederson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 92-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Eugenio Suarez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.3% seasonal rate to 24.2% over the past 14 days.

Eugenio Suarez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.4-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 91.6-mph.

Eugenio Suarez’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (26.4° over the past two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 16.9° seasonal angle.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season, Jordan Montgomery will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Jordan Montgomery conceded a colossal 6 earned runs in his last start.

Jordan Montgomery’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.6 mph this season (91 mph) below where it was last year (92.6 mph).

With a 4.57 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that concentrates on the aspects of pitching most within the pitcher’s control), Jordan Montgomery ranks in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Josh Bell ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Josh Bell is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Josh Bell has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 7.7% seasonal rate to 13.8% in the past 14 days.

Josh Bell has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph to 91.4-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Gabriel Moreno has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 93.5-mph in the past two weeks.

Over the past two weeks, Gabriel Moreno’s 59.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (12.8) provides evidence that Gabriel Moreno has experienced some negative variance this year with his 7.9 actual HR/600.

Utilizing Statcast data, Gabriel Moreno grades out in the 80th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .270.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage today.

Bryan Reynolds’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, rising from 16.9% on the season to 40% in the last week.

Bryan Reynolds has compiled a .350 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 88th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Connor Joe is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Connor Joe will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 110.6-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.1-mph.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s launch angle this year (16°) is quite a bit better than his 10.7° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 80th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Ke’Bryan Hayes will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Ke’Bryan Hayes will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has been unlucky this year, posting a .263 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .037 deviation.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Gabriel Moreno has exhibited good plate discipline this year, placing in the 98th percentile with a 1.29 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home runs, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been unlucky this year. His 19.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.1.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

When estimating his home run talent, Joey Bart ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Bart is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Joey Bart will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Joey Bart has big-time HR ability (78th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (29.8% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jordan Montgomery is a pitch-to-contact type (13th percentile K%) — great news for Bart.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Bryan De La Cruz ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mitch Keller has averaged 95.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 91st percentile.

Mitch Keller will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his metrics across the board.

Mitch Keller’s 2411-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 80th percentile among all starting pitchers.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael A. Taylor, Oneil Cruz, Joey Bart).

Jordan Montgomery has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 5.79 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.91 — a 1.13 K/9 disparity.

Considering the 1.11 difference between Mitch Keller’s 3.30 ERA and his 4.41 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year and should see negative regression going forward.

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Arizona Diamondbacks has been 117 mph this year, ranking them as the #7 squad in Major League Baseball by this metric.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 78th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Over the last week, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s 84.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44%.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Joey Bart’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.2% up to 27.3%.

Saturday Game 2 player match stat slumps with D-Backs vs Pirates Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 6th-worst field in the league for righty home runs.

Among all major league stadiums, the 6th-tallest average fence height are at PNC Park.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 5th-most suitable for pitching on the slate today.

Andrew McCutchen pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Andrew McCutchen’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.3-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 80-mph in the last week.

Jared Triolo is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield among all major league stadiums — generally bad for homers.

Alek Thomas is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Alek Thomas has been pinch hit for 15% of the time.

PNC Park projects as the #25 venue in the game for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Oneil Cruz has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Today, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.7% rate (82nd percentile).

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 18th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Michael A. Taylor is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will bat from his worse side (0) today against Mitch Keller, Over the past 7 days, Bryan De La Cruz’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.2%.

As it relates to his home run talent, Alek Thomas ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Joc Pederson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 23% of the time.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Eugenio Suarez encounters a tough challenge today.

PNC Park ranks as the #26 venue in the majors for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In Major League Baseball, PNC Park’s left field fences are the 9th-deepest.

Jordan Montgomery has utilized his curveball 7.4% more often this season (29.6%) than he did last year (22.2%).

Jordan Montgomery will have the handedness advantage over Oneil Cruz today.

Over the past 14 days, Oneil Cruz’s 35.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43%.

In today’s matchup, Josh Bell is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.4% rate (85th percentile).

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Josh Bell today.

Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Joc Pederson has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .386 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .344 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will bat from his weak side against Jordan Montgomery in today’s matchup.

Bryan Reynolds has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 10.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Bryan Reynolds’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 94.5 mph to 90.5 mph.

Connor Joe’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 88.9-mph EV last year has dropped off to 85.1-mph.

Andrew McCutchen’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, falling from 16.7% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Andrew McCutchen has put up a .231 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of plate discipline, Bryan De La Cruz’s ability is quite poor, putting up a 4.73 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 9th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Mitch Keller, Mitch Keller will have the handedness advantage over Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s game.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

By putting up a 5.33 K/BB rate this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has demonstrated weak plate discipline, checking in at the 6th percentile.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

When assessing his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Eugenio Suarez today.

Connor Joe’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 85.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 76.2-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

In the last week’s worth of games, Connor Joe’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.6%.

Joey Bart pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

In the last 14 days, Joey Bart’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8.6%.

Ke’Bryan Hayes has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 7.5% rate last year has decreased to 2% this year.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.6-mph mark last season has dropped off to 88.9-mph.

Jared Triolo’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (4.2°) is quite a bit lower than his 12.4° angle last year.

Over the past week, Jared Triolo’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17%.

Hitting from the same side that Mitch Keller throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have a tough matchup today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gabriel Moreno today.

PNC Park grades out as the #27 ballpark in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 6 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Mitch Keller will have a tough matchup while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Mitch Keller’s cutter rate has dropped by 7% from last season to this one (24.3% to 17.3%) .

Placing in the 21st percentile, Mitch Keller posted a 9% Swinging Strike rate this year.

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Jordan Montgomery in the 20th percentile among all SPs in the game.

Jordan Montgomery struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his previous outing and put up 1 Ks.

Posting a .251 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Michael A. Taylor finds himself in the 6th percentile.

It may be sensible to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte in today’s game.

Despite posting a .382 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ketel Marte has had some very good luck given the .020 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .362.

Despite posting a .356 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joey Bart has been lucky given the .057 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Alek Thomas has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alek Thomas today.

When assessing his home run talent, Jared Triolo ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Bell has had positive variance on his side this year. His .304 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .285.

Checking in at the 25th percentile, Josh Bell has posted a .271 BABIP this year.

From last year to this one, Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.5% to 9.1%.

Checking in at the 10th percentile, Corbin Carroll has put up a .244 BABIP this year.