Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Arizona at Pittsburgh Matchup Today

When estimating his home run talent, Joey Bart ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joey Bart is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.

This game is predicted to have the 13th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Joey Bart will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Brandon Pfaadt in the 80th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael A. Taylor, Jared Triolo, Joey Bart, Oneil Cruz).

As a result of his large platoon split, Brandon Pfaadt will benefit from squaring off against 6 batters in the projected lineup who share his hand in today’s outing.

Among all SPs, Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball spin rate of 2555 rpm is in the 98th percentile this year.

Brandon Pfaadt has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, compiling an 8.19 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.92 — a 0.73 K/9 gap.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage today.

Jared Triolo has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph figure.

Jared Triolo has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .256 rate is a fair amount lower than his .293 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his home run ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Eugenio Suarez has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 10.3% seasonal rate to 24.2% in the past two weeks.

Over the last 14 days, Eugenio Suarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Ke’Bryan Hayes will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Despite posting a .263 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ke’Bryan Hayes has been unlucky given the .037 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .300.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Andrew McCutchen will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Luis Ortiz will hold that advantage today.

Luis Ortiz has utilized his cutter 22.1% more often this season (22.4%) than he did last season (0.3%).

Among all starting pitchers, Luis Ortiz’s fastball velocity of 94.5 mph is in the 78th percentile this year.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Bryan Reynolds ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Brandon Pfaadt) today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Marco Gonzales throws from, Corbin Carroll will be in a tough position today.

Ketel Marte projects as the 16th-best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Ketel Marte has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.1% seasonal rate to 19.4% over the last 14 days.

Ketel Marte has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last season’s 91.1-mph figure.

Bryan Reynolds will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Michael A. Taylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Michael A. Taylor has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.8% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Michael A. Taylor has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 107-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 95.1-mph.

With a 1.9 difference between Luis Ortiz’s 2.75 ERA and his 4.65 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year and ought to perform worse in future games.

The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Arizona Diamondbacks has been 117 mph this year, ranking them as the #7 group of hitters in baseball by this metric.

Marco Gonzales will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Thomas in today’s matchup.

Alek Thomas has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 5.2% rate last year to 10.3% this season.

Alek Thomas has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last year’s 88.9-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Marco Gonzales throws from, Joc Pederson will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Joc Pederson has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.4% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Because of Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Oneil Cruz will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage today.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Pfaadt today… and even more favorably, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Rowdy Tellez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Rowdy Tellez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.9% up to 40%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Gabriel Moreno has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.5-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 90.3-mph average.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Gabriel Moreno’s 59.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.4%.

Michael A. Taylor’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 46.2% on the season to 58.3% over the past two weeks.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (12.8) provides evidence that Gabriel Moreno has experienced some negative variance this year with his 7.9 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

With a 1.29 K/BB rate this year, Gabriel Moreno has shown impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 98th percentile.

Joey Bart has made big gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.2% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 110.6-mph in recent games.

There has been a significant improvement in Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s launch angle from last season’s 10.7° to 16° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Pittsburgh Pirates offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

In his last outing, Brandon Pfaadt allowed a whopping 5 earned runs.

Brandon Pfaadt has relied on his sinker 10.8% more often this season (20.7%) than he did last season (9.9%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Friday player match stat slumps with D-Backs vs Pirates Matchup

The #6 park in the league for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

In Major League Baseball, the 6th-tallest fence height (on average) are at PNC Park.

Considering Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Joey Bart will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.

Today, Joey Bart is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.9% rate (80th percentile).

Joey Bart’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, falling from 8.6% on the season to 0% in the past two weeks.

Connor Joe has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Homers are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 8th-deepest among all major league parks.

Given Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Connor Joe will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Pfaadt to throw 85 pitches today (11th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

PNC Park profiles as the #27 venue in baseball for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brandon Pfaadt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Jared Triolo is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Considering Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Jared Triolo will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Jared Triolo’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (4.2°) is significantly worse than his 12.4° angle last year.

Jared Triolo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 17% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Marco Gonzales today.

Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Ke’Bryan Hayes is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage over Ke’Bryan Hayes in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.

Given Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Andrew McCutchen will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.

Andrew McCutchen pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Over the last week, Andrew McCutchen’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal figure of 93.3 mph to 80 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Ortiz to throw 82 pitches in this matchup (7th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Ortiz in this matchup, which is especially problematic given his huge platoon split.

In the last 7 days, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.7% down to 0%.

Over the last two weeks, Bryan Reynolds’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 94.5 mph to 90.5 mph.

PNC Park profiles as the #25 ballpark in the league for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In today’s matchup, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.7% rate (82nd percentile).

Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 16.5% to 9.1%.

As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will get to bat from his strong side against Marco Gonzales today.

Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Despite posting a .382 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ketel Marte has had positive variance on his side given the .020 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .362.

There has been a decrease in Connor Joe’s average exit velocity this year, from 88.9 mph last year to 85.1 mph now, Connor Joe’s average exit velocity has declined lately; his 85.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 76.2-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 17th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Michael A. Taylor is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Given Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Michael A. Taylor will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

Michael A. Taylor has compiled a .251 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 6th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 8th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

It may be best to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 7th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

The #3 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

PNC Park has the 9th-deepest LF fences in Major League Baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alek Thomas in the 25th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Alek Thomas is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Alek Thomas has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.

Today, Alek Thomas is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.6% rate (92nd percentile).

Joc Pederson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 23% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joc Pederson today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke’Bryan Hayes in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Oneil Cruz’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 43% on the season to 35.7% over the past 14 days.

By putting up a 4.56 K/BB rate this year, Oneil Cruz has shown poor plate discipline, grading out in the 10th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Rowdy Tellez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 23% of the time.

Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Using Statcast metrics, Eugenio Suarez grades out in the 24th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .230.

Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Marco Gonzales throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gabriel Moreno in today’s matchup.

Gabriel Moreno’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.6-mph mark last season has lowered to 89.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Bart’s true offensive ability to be a .299, providing some evidence that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .057 difference between that figure and his actual .356 wOBA.

Alek Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Alek Thomas’s launch angle lately (-4.1° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly worse than his 2.8° seasonal mark.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Marco Gonzales today.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup.

Rowdy Tellez has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .304 figure is quite a bit higher than his .287 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andrew McCutchen’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 16.7% on the season to 0% in the past week.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Andrew McCutchen grades out in the 25th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .231.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Marco Gonzales.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.344) provides evidence that Joc Pederson has had some very good luck this year with his .386 actual wOBA.

When assessing his home run ability, Jared Triolo ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ke’Bryan Hayes has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 7.5% rate last season has fallen to 2% this season.

Ke’Bryan Hayes’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92.6-mph average last season has dropped off to 88.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Brandon Pfaadt in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall pitching skills.

Placing in the 10th percentile, Corbin Carroll sits with a .244 BABIP this year.

As it relates to plate discipline, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s skill is quite bad, posting a 5.33 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 6th percentile.