MLB Player match stats positives for Arizona at Philadelphia Sunday Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season, Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 ballpark in the league for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the majors, which often leads to lower offensive output.

In his previous GS, Slade Cecconi turned in a great performance and allowed 0 ER.

Slade Cecconi has been unlucky this year, putting up a 5.90 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.52 — a 1.38 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #6 park in baseball for righty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Long-balls are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 93°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.6-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge in today’s game.

Garrett Stubbs will hold the platoon advantage over Slade Cecconi today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Garrett Stubbs will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Blaze Alexander is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Alec Bohm is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Jake McCarthy has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

David Dahl will hold the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today’s matchup.

David Dahl will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-best park in baseball for LHB home runs.

Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 7th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Bryce Harper will have the upper hand today.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jose Herrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ketel Marte in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will get to bat from his good side against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Kevin Newman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s matchup.

Eugenio Suarez pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Eugenio Suarez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 15th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Garrett Stubbs, the Phillies’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.

Jake McCarthy’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (16.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 11.1° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today’s game.

Bryson Stott has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the game’s 2nd-best home run hitter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Corbin Carroll has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randal Grichuk will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Marsh ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #8 ballpark in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Because flyball pitchers have a sizeable edge over flyball hitters, Cristopher Sanchez and his 54.5% underlying FB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong spot in this outing squaring off against 2 opposing FB hitters.

Cristopher Sanchez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats across the board.

Cristopher Sanchez’s 93.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 2.2-mph jump from last year’s 91.6-mph figure.

Current MLB player match stat slumps with D-Backs vs Phillies Matchup for Sunday

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Slade Cecconi is projected to throw 78 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least on the slate.

The 5th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ben May) behind the plate today.

Projected catcher Jose Herrera grades out as a horrible pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 9th-shallowest left field fences in the majors are found in Citizens Bank Park.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 6.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last week.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91.6-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 86.7-mph over the last 14 days.

In terms of plate discipline, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s talent is quite poor, sporting a 4.58 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 11th percentile.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Eugenio Suarez has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week.

Eugenio Suarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 93.6-mph mark last season has decreased to 89.4-mph.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Garrett Stubbs ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Garrett Stubbs is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 4th-worst stadium in the game for left-handed batting average.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.173) may lead us to conclude that Garrett Stubbs has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .196 actual batting average.

Blaze Alexander will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Blaze Alexander’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 88.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 77.2-mph over the last two weeks.

Over the last two weeks, Blaze Alexander’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-18.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 6.8°.

Blaze Alexander has been cold recently, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Slade Cecconi will hold the platoon advantage over Alec Bohm today.

Alec Bohm’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 88.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Over the past two weeks, Alec Bohm’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (3.9°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.9°.

Despite posting a .359 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has been very fortunate given the .036 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Jake McCarthy faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Typically, hitters like Jake McCarthy who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.

Batting from the same side that Slade Cecconi throws from, Nick Castellanos faces a tough challenge today.

Nick Castellanos has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 84.8-mph over the last 14 days.

Nick Castellanos has posted a .281 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 22nd percentile.

By putting up a .260 BABIP this year, Nick Castellanos is positioned in the 24th percentile.

David Dahl is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, David Dahl’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 95.1 mph to 91.5 mph.

Over the past week, David Dahl has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power).

Brandon Marsh is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

Brandon Marsh has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.

Brandon Marsh has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 17.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 13.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Walker in today’s game.

Bryce Harper’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 91-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 88.4-mph in the past week.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Bryce Harper has been lucky this year. His .389 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .360.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jose Herrera ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jose Herrera is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today.

Typically, bats like Jose Herrera who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.

Jose Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 4th-worst field in the majors for right-handed batting average.

Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 17.5% to 13%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.334) implies that Kyle Schwarber has had positive variance on his side this year with his .362 actual wOBA.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ketel Marte in today’s matchup.

Ketel Marte’s launch angle this season (7°) is considerably lower than his 10.6° mark last year.

Ketel Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 43.9% on the season to 23.1% in the past week.

Slade Cecconi will have the handedness advantage against Trea Turner in today’s matchup.

Trea Turner’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) has been 108.3 mph this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

Trea Turner has averaged 6.6 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 11th percentile for power.

When estimating his home run talent, Kevin Newman ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kevin Newman is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Kevin Newman will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

From last year to this one, Kevin Newman’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 11.8% to 6.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

This year, there has been a decline in Trea Turner’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.23 ft/sec last year to 29.61 ft/sec currently.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.263) may lead us to conclude that Trea Turner has had positive variance on his side this year with his .340 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cristopher Sanchez in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.

Today’s version of the D-Backs projected lineup is missing some of their usual firepower, as their .309 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA is considerably below their .322 overall projected rate.

It may be best to expect negative regression for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Randal Grichuk today.

Randal Grichuk has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 7 days.

Randal Grichuk’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (6.3°) is significantly worse than his 9.7° figure last year.

Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Randal Grichuk has had some very good luck given the .037 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Using Statcast metrics, Garrett Stubbs grades out in the 5th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .216.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Bryson Stott’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 88.1-mph average last season has fallen off to 86.1-mph.

Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 91.2-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 88.1-mph over the last 14 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.3) implies that Kyle Schwarber has experienced some positive variance this year with his 30.6 actual HR/600.

Cristopher Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Carroll today.

Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 16.5% to 8.1%.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 8.1% on the season to 0% over the last week.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Kevin Newman ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.9) provides evidence that Bryce Harper has had positive variance on his side this year with his 33.6 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 19th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.5) suggests that Ketel Marte has been lucky this year with his 27.5 actual HR/600.

Using Statcast data, Bryson Stott ranks in the 18th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 10.200.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez in this game.

Garrett Stubbs has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 3.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 0.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

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D-Backs vs Phillies Match Player Stats Sunday June 23rd Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies Game Predictions, Players odds, Sunday lines and Betting Trends
D-Backs vs Phillies match player stats Sunday, June 23rd pre matchup. Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies player predictions