MLB Player match stats positives for Arizona at Philadelphia Saturday Matchup

When estimating his home run skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 97°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Jake McCarthy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.

Jake McCarthy has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for long-balls.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-best park in baseball for RHB home runs.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 37.1% to 50%.

With a 1.41 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Geraldo Perdomo has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 94th percentile.

Cristian Pache will hold the platoon advantage over Tommy Henry in today’s matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Tommy Henry throws from, Whit Merrifield will have an advantage today.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Whit Merrifield will hold that advantage today.

It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Dan Iassogna) behind the plate in this game.

Projected catcher Garrett Stubbs profiles as a horrible pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citizens Bank Park has the 9th-shallowest LF dimensions among all parks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Zack Wheeler in the 92nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zack Wheeler is projected to throw 98 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the most of all pitchers today.

Citizens Bank Park ranks as the #8 park in the majors for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When estimating his batting average ability, Trea Turner is projected as the 15th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Last year, Jake McCarthy had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.3°.

Cristian Pache will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Joc Pederson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #8 ballpark in MLB for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an advantage in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Eugenio Suarez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.3-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 87.7-mph average.

Bryce Harper projects as the 7th-best batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Bryce Harper will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alec Bohm ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14°, Geraldo Perdomo has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21.5° mark over the last week.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As a result of his large reverse platoon split, Tommy Henry will be at an advantage being matched up with 6 bats in the projected lineup who hit from the other side in this game.

Tommy Henry has gone to his curveball 5.2% more often this season (24.4%) than he did last year (19.2%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Current MLB player match stat slumps with D-Backs vs Phillies Matchup for Saturday

Citizens Bank Park projects as the #23 stadium in baseball for overall RHB offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Citizens Bank Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to less offense.

Zack Wheeler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Walker in today’s game.

Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The #5 ballpark in the game for suppressing batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 88.5-mph average last season has fallen off to 85.1-mph.

Zack Wheeler will have the handedness advantage over Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

Nick Castellanos has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the past two weeks.

Nick Castellanos has recorded a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

The #6 park in the league for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Zack Wheeler in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cristian Pache in the 23rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Cristian Pache is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

When it comes to his home run talent, Whit Merrifield ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Whit Merrifield is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense projects as the 5th-best among all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Zack Wheeler as the 11th-best starting pitcher in the league right now.

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #24 park in the game for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Zack Wheeler will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his metrics across the board.

Zack Wheeler’s 2417-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 79th percentile among all SPs.

Zack Wheeler has relied on his slider 15.9% less often this season (10.7%) than he did last season (26.6%).

The #5 ballpark in the league for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park.

This season, there has been a decline in Trea Turner’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.23 ft/sec last year to 29.61 ft/sec currently.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.262) may lead us to conclude that Trea Turner has had positive variance on his side this year with his .340 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 13th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Joc Pederson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 14.4% on the season to 10.3% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joc Pederson’s true offensive skill to be a .343, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .048 deviation between that mark and his actual .391 wOBA.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corbin Carroll today.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 16.5% to 8.3%.

Over the last two weeks, Corbin Carroll’s 2.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8.3%.

Joc Pederson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, falling from 46.4% on the season to 34.5% in the last 14 days.

Tommy Henry will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Schwarber in today’s game.

When it comes to his home runs, Kyle Schwarber has been lucky this year. His 30.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.2.

Whit Merrifield’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 85.1-mph average last year has decreased to 83.1-mph.

Alec Bohm’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 90.7-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 88.5-mph in the last 14 days.

In the last week’s worth of games, Alec Bohm’s 5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Zack Wheeler will have the handedness advantage against Eugenio Suarez today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eugenio Suarez in today’s game.

Tommy Henry will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Harper today.

Over the last 7 days, Bryce Harper’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.6% down to 4.8%.

Kyle Schwarber has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .362 figure is a good deal higher than his .333 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Despite posting a .359 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alec Bohm has experienced some positive variance given the .036 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

Placing in the 16th percentile, Corbin Carroll sits with a .274 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 17.5% to 13.1%.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 91.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 85.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Geraldo Perdomo today.

Bryce Harper has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph dropping to 88.7-mph over the past week.

In terms of his home runs, Bryce Harper has been lucky this year. His 33.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.0.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Whit Merrifield has been lucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 5.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the last week, Eugenio Suarez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Tommy Henry in the 21st percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Henry to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (8th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

This year, the hardest ball Trea Turner has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.3 mph (a reliable standard to evaluate power), placing in the 23rd percentile.

When it comes to power, Trea Turner is ranked in the 10th percentile, having averaged 6.5 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

—–DEBUG—–

D-Backs vs Phillies Match Player Stats Saturday June 22nd Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies Game Predictions, Players odds, Saturday lines and Betting Trends
D-Backs vs Phillies match player stats Saturday, June 22nd pre matchup. Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies player predictions