Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Arizona at San Diego Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Petco Park has the shallowest CF dimensions in MLB.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.2-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters.

Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge in today’s game.

Last year, Jake McCarthy had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.8°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Joc Pederson will have an edge today.

Over the past week, Joc Pederson’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 25%.

Jurickson Profar is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Petco Park projects as the #4 field in the league for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Petco Park has the 4th-lowest fences among all stadiums.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jurickson Profar will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Donovan Solano is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 4th-best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Christian Walker has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 11.3% rate last year to 17.1% this season.

When assessing his home run ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ha-seong Kim in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Ha-seong Kim hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Gabriel Moreno hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Petco Park projects as the #4 stadium in the league for home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his last start, Dylan Cease allowed a whopping 6 earned runs.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, David Peralta will have an edge in today’s game.

David Peralta hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Manny Machado ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Manny Machado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Manny Machado hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Manny Machado will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Luis Arraez is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

When assessing his batting average talent, Luis Arraez is projected as the best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Arraez will have the handedness advantage over Ryne Nelson in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Jake Cronenworth is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Dylan Cease throws from, Corbin Carroll will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Jackson Merrill will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Eugenio Suarez’s true offensive ability to be a .315, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .043 gap between that mark and his actual .272 wOBA.

The San Diego Padres have been the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games, Ryne Nelson turned in a great performance in his previous start and conceded 1 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Cease to throw 99 pitches in this game (most on the slate), taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ha-seong Kim will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Ha-seong Kim has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.8-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.1-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Merrill in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Dylan Cease projects as the 9th-best starter in the majors right now when estimating his strikeout skill, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-best venue in MLB for strikeouts.

Jackson Merrill hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jackson Merrill will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Jurickson Profar has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 90.6-mph EV.

Jurickson Profar’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 42% to 50.4%.

Donovan Solano hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Donovan Solano will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ryne Nelson’s cut-fastball usage has jumped by 7.9% from last season to this one (14.8% to 22.7%) .

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and David Peralta will hold that advantage today.

In the last 7 days, David Peralta’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4% up to 14.3%.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s launch angle this season (14.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 10.7° angle last season.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Cronenworth will hold the platoon advantage over Ryne Nelson in today’s matchup.

Gabriel Moreno has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.4% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past 7 days.

Gabriel Moreno has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.5-mph average.

Sunday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with D-Backs vs Padres Matchup

Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

The #7 park in MLB for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.

Petco Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to worse offense.

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 4th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

Jake McCarthy will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

This year, Joc Pederson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 22% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.

In today’s game, Joc Pederson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.4% rate (93rd percentile).

Jurickson Profar has been pulled from the game early 13% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Jurickson Profar will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side against Ryne Nelson in today’s matchup.

Today, Jurickson Profar is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.8% rate (91st percentile).

Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Donovan Solano will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams today.

Donovan Solano’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 91.9-mph average last season has fallen to 89.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Petco Park as the 7th-worst field in Major League Baseball for RHB base hits.

Dylan Cease will hold the platoon advantage against Christian Walker in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Walker today.

Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Walker’s true offensive skill to be a .342, providing some evidence that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .020 disparity between that figure and his actual .362 wOBA.

Ha-seong Kim is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Ryne Nelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ha-seong Kim in today’s game.

Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have a tough matchup today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gabriel Moreno today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Dylan Cease’s overall pitching talent is in the 93rd percentile out of all SPs in MLB currently.

Alex MacKay profiles as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be behind the plate in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Kyle Higashioka (the Padres’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as an elite pitch framer.

Dylan Cease will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats in all categories.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corbin Carroll today.

Corbin Carroll’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 89.9-mph figure last season has dropped off to 87.5-mph.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 16.5% to 8.6%.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 36.5% on the season to 28.6% in the last week.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Dylan Cease will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez in today’s matchup.

Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Eugenio Suarez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.

David Peralta is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

45% of the time that David Peralta has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Arraez in the 0th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.6-mph mark last year has fallen off to 87.1-mph.

Luis Arraez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 87.1-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 79.1-mph in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 9th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 88.5-mph figure last season has lowered to 85.2-mph.

Batting from the same side that Dylan Cease throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 85.3-mph in the last week.

By putting up a 5.05 K/BB rate this year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 7th percentile.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Luis Arraez is in the 1st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 1.400.

Jake Cronenworth has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9.1% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 14 days.

In the past two weeks, Jake Cronenworth’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5.7°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.4°.

Corbin Carroll’s launch angle recently (3.4° in the last 7 days) is significantly worse than his 10.3° seasonal mark.

Manny Machado’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (5.5°) is considerably lower than his 8.7° angle last season.

Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

When it comes to his home runs, Jackson Merrill has experienced some positive variance this year. His 22.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.2.

Ha-seong Kim has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Ryne Nelson’s overall pitching skill is in the 22nd percentile out of all SPs in the game right now.

Ryne Nelson has recorded 14.6 outs per GS this year, placing in the 15th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jurickson Profar in the 22nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

David Peralta’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 89.3-mph mark last year has fallen off to 85.9-mph.

In terms of plate discipline, Jackson Merrill’s skill is quite weak, sporting a 3.92 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 18th percentile.

With a 0.16 disparity between Dylan Cease’s 11.47 K/9 and his 11.31 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in MLB this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to see worse results the rest of the season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ryne Nelson in the 9th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the San Diego Padres with a 18.4% underlying K%.

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ryne Nelson today.

Over his previous 3 GS, Ryne Nelson has experienced a significant fall off in his fastball spin rate: from 2223 rpm over the entire season to 2168 rpm lately.

Over the past 7 days, Manny Machado’s 6.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.4%.

Over the last week, Jake Cronenworth’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 92.5 mph to 88.6 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run ability.