Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Arizona at Chicago Game 3 Matchup Today

When assessing his home run skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

The #8 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.8% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Michael Busch is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

The #9 ballpark in the game for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Given Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Michael Busch will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Michael Busch will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randal Grichuk in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

Wrigley Field ranks as the #10 venue in the majors for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Randal Grichuk will hold the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s game… and even better, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The #9 venue in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Ketel Marte projects as the 18th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Shota Imanaga.

When estimating his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Christian Walker will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field’s LF fences are the 5th-shallowest.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Shota Imanaga in this game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Geraldo Perdomo’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.2% up to 20%.

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 96-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal 86.6-mph figure.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corbin Carroll has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Corbin Carroll has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Brandon Pfaadt’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 79th percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

Tallying 17.9 outs per outing this year on average, Brandon Pfaadt falls in the 89th percentile.

Lance Barrett projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in this game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Brandon Pfaadt… and even better, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.

Ian Happ will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

In the past two weeks, Dansby Swanson’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.8-mph over the course of the season to 104.2-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Gabriel Moreno will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Shota Imanaga’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 78th percentile out of all starters in the league right now.

Shota Imanaga has averaged 92.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 77th percentile.

It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

When estimating his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Eugenio Suarez pulls many of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Tauchman in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Mike Tauchman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Pfaadt in today’s game… and moreover, Pfaadt has a large platoon split.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mike Tauchman has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Shota Imanaga in the 82nd percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 8th-best park in the game for strikeouts.

Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Shota Imanaga will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP.

Nico Hoerner has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 95th percentile with a 1.41 K/BB rate.

Nico Hoerner has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .261 figure is considerably lower than his .285 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the last week’s worth of games, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 33.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Brandon Pfaadt in the 80th percentile when it comes to his strikeout talent.

The Chicago Cubs have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Michael Busch, Christopher Morel, Pete Crow-Armstrong).

Brandon Pfaadt’s fastball velocity over his last 3 GS (93.9 mph) has been quite a bit higher than than his seasonal rate (92.9 mph).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Sunday Game 3 player match stat slumps with D-Backs vs Cubs Matchup

Among all parks, the 7th-tallest average fence height are at Wrigley Field.

Considering Brandon Pfaadt’s large platoon split, Christopher Morel will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Checking in at the 4th percentile, Christopher Morel has put up a .223 BABIP this year.

Michael Busch has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

In MLB, Wrigley Field’s right field fences are the 5th-deepest.

In the past 7 days, Michael Busch’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 94.9 mph to 92.2 mph.

Michael Busch’s launch angle recently (-3.7° in the last week’s worth of games) is considerably worse than his 16.9° seasonal mark.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Randal Grichuk in today’s matchup.

Randal Grichuk’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (6.4°) is significantly worse than his 9.7° mark last season.

Randal Grichuk has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .283 figure is a fair amount higher than his .246 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The standard deviation of Randal Grichuk’s launch angle this year (31°) is in the 11th percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower BABIP.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

This year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 10% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has shown poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 8th percentile with a 5.06 K/BB rate.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ketel Marte in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.1) suggests that Ketel Marte has been lucky this year with his 27.5 actual HR/600.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Christian Walker in today’s game.

Christian Walker has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 15.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 14 days.

Christian Walker’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 94.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 63.1-mph over the past 7 days.

Christian Walker’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (-1.2° over the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 13.5° seasonal figure.

When it comes to his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Geraldo Perdomo today.

As it relates to his batting average, Geraldo Perdomo has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .252 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .225.

Brandon Pfaadt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.

In the last 14 days, Seiya Suzuki’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.1%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.244) implies that Seiya Suzuki has had some very good luck this year with his .267 actual batting average.

Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Brandon Pfaadt will hold the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.

Dansby Swanson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

Dansby Swanson’s launch angle lately (-1.7° over the last week) is significantly lower than his 10.2° seasonal mark.

Ketel Marte’s launch angle in recent games (11.7° in the past week’s worth of games) is considerably higher than his 7.7° seasonal figure.

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Shota Imanaga will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Carroll in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today’s matchup.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 16.5% to 8.5%.

It may be smart to expect positive regression for the Chicago Cubs offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 6th-best ballpark in MLB for BABIP.

Brandon Pfaadt will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Brandon Pfaadt’s sinker percentage has spiked by 11% from last year to this one (9.9% to 20.9%) .

Chicago’s 92.8-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #6 offense in MLB this year by this metric.

In today’s game, Gabriel Moreno is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40% rate (96th percentile).

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gabriel Moreno today.

Gabriel Moreno’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.6-mph mark last year has decreased to 89.5-mph.

Over the last two weeks, Gabriel Moreno’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-0.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.6°.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

Because groundball hitters hold a sizeable edge over flyball pitchers, Shota Imanaga and his 40.9% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a hard position in today’s game facing 1 opposing GB batters.

Among all SPs, Shota Imanaga’s fastball velocity of 91.2 mph grades out in the 14th percentile this year.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Shota Imanaga has relied on his fastball a lot this year, though: 55% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 16th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .285.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

Eugenio Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Utilizing Statcast data, Eugenio Suarez grades out in the 11th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .217.

Gabriel Moreno’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 44.3% to 37.3%.

When it comes to his home runs, Geraldo Perdomo has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 5.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 3.4.

Ketel Marte has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .372 mark is a fair amount higher than his .359 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Placing in the 16th percentile, Eugenio Suarez has posted a .212 batting average this year.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.324) provides evidence that Seiya Suzuki has experienced some positive variance this year with his .346 actual wOBA.

Mike Tauchman is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Mike Tauchman has been pinch hit for 10% of the time.

The Arizona Diamondbacks (20.2 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 3rd-least strikeout-prone group of hitters of all teams on the slate.

Brandon Pfaadt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today’s matchup… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Pfaadt’s large platoon split.

Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 88.4-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 79-mph over the last two weeks.

Over the past two weeks, Nico Hoerner’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (-2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 3.3°.

Over the last 14 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s 17.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Mike Tauchman does not make a lot of hard contact. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (105.3 mph) put him among the game’s worst: in the 15th percentile this year.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has put up a .321 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, grading out in the 13th percentile.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, going from 34.9% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.