Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Chicago at Cleveland Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Progressive Field grades out as the #7 park in the game for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to more offense.

Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Michael Busch is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Alex Cobb throws from, Michael Busch will have the upper hand today.

Michael Busch may have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

Seiya Suzuki’s launch angle this season (16.4°) is a considerable increase over his 10.6° angle last season.

With a .479 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Seiya Suzuki has performed in the 86th percentile.

Steven Kwan is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Steven Kwan will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Steven Kwan can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Steven Kwan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

David Fry is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Progressive Field profiles as the #7 field in baseball for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

David Fry pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.5% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and David Fry will hold that advantage today.

In the last 7 days, David Fry’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 18.2%.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the past week, Dansby Swanson’s 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has had bad variance on his side given the .039 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball.

Miguel Amaya has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.8-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 87.9-mph figure.

Miguel Amaya has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .218 figure is considerably lower than his .238 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jose Ramirez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks, Brayan Rocchio’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.1%.

Brayan Rocchio has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .206 BA is deflated compared to his .223 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Josh Naylor will have the upper hand today.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Naylor stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Jameson Taillon’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this year (60.6% vs. 55.4% last year) ought to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Pete Crow-Armstrong’s BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alex Cobb in today’s game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians only has 1 same-handed RP.

Over the last week, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.5% up to 15.4%.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph to 91.7-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an advantage today.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andres Gimenez stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Andres Gimenez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.314) provides evidence that Andres Gimenez has had some very poor luck this year with his .277 actual wOBA.

Jameson Taillon has recorded 17.4 outs per game per started this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile.

The Cleveland Guardians have been the 9th-luckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games, The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Alex Cobb.

Compared to last season, Ian Happ has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 19.9% this season.

Over the last 14 days, Ian Happ’s 29.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Alex Cobb throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Cody Bellinger has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Cleveland Guardians has just 1 same-handed RP.

Nico Hoerner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner has made notable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 1.6% seasonal rate to 7.1% over the past week.

Nico Hoerner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 14.6% on the season to 21.4% in the last week’s worth of games.

In terms of plate discipline, Nico Hoerner’s talent is quite good, sporting a 1.48 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 93rd percentile.

Nico Hoerner’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, rising from 45.1% on the season to 64.3% in the last 7 days.

When it comes to his batting average, Nico Hoerner has had some very poor luck this year. His .256 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .288.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Bo Naylor (the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a good pitch framer.

Alex Cobb will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Alex Cobb must realize this, because he has gone to his non-fastballs a lot since the start of last season: 59.9% of the time, checking in at the 80th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Sporting a .345 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Ian Happ finds himself in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability.

When it comes to his home run skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Busch has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 12.8% seasonal rate to 21.7% over the last 14 days.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Isaac Paredes usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Alex Cobb.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future, Isaac Paredes’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (21.6°) is considerably better than his 18° mark last season.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .261 figure is a good deal lower than his .307 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.4°, Seiya Suzuki has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 25.4° figure over the past two weeks.

Wednesday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Cubs vs Guardians Matchup

As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-most suitable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.3-mph in this contest, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 19.3°, Jose Ramirez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (10°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

From last season to this one, Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 44.3% to 38.9%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.339) suggests that Jose Ramirez has had positive variance on his side this year with his .363 actual wOBA.

The 7th-deepest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Progressive Field.

The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the strongest out of every team in action today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Busch today.

The #8 venue in MLB for suppressing home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Among all stadiums, the 4th-highest average fence height are at Progressive Field.

Hitting from the same side that Alex Cobb throws from, Seiya Suzuki has a tough challenge today.

As it relates to his home run ability, Steven Kwan ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Progressive Field ranks as the #22 field in baseball for lefty home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, David Fry encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes David Fry has had some very good luck given the .044 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .310.

Dansby Swanson is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

Miguel Amaya’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miguel Amaya is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 22nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Brayan Rocchio is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Alex Cobb will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson in today’s game.

Today, Dansby Swanson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (95th percentile).

Over the past week, Josh Naylor’s 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.3%.

Checking in at the 8th percentile, Josh Naylor has notched a .248 BABIP this year.

Josh Naylor has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 33.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is quite a bit higher than his 25.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Cleveland Guardians (18.3 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 2nd-least strikeout-prone team of batters on the slate today.

With 7 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Jameson Taillon will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jameson Taillon today.

Jameson Taillon’s 91.8-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a significant 1.2-mph drop off from last year’s 93-mph figure.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 19th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Andres Gimenez is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Progressive Field profiles as the #8 ballpark in the majors for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his last game started, Jameson Taillon allowed a staggering 5 earned runs.

Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, posting a .378 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .312 — a .066 deviation.

Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (42% — 100th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cody Bellinger today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

Alex Cobb will have the handedness advantage over Miguel Amaya in today’s matchup.

Considering that groundball batters hold a notable edge over flyball pitchers, Alex Cobb and his 54.4% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult position today going up against 0 opposing GB bats.

In his previous outing, Alex Cobb didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to post 1 Ks.

Alex Cobb’s 2140-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 24th percentile among all starters.

Ranking in the 11th percentile, Alex Cobb compiled an 8.3% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.

Over the past two weeks, Andres Gimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 88.1 mph to 84.6 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 5th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Isaac Paredes’s BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Alex Cobb throws from, Isaac Paredes will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Alex Cobb throws from, Nico Hoerner has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ian Happ today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Alex Cobb’s overall pitching talent is in the 76th percentile out of all SPs in the game currently.

Cody Bellinger’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 87.4-mph seasonal average has lowered to 85.1-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 25th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.