Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Chicago at St. Louis Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report expects the 4th-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 87°.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 4th-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the platoon advantage over Lance Lynn today.

Over the past two weeks, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s 56.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Busch Stadium has the 7th-shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.

Hayden Wesneski’s slider percentage has jumped by 6.1% from last season to this one (32.2% to 38.3%) .

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (53% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Masyn Winn will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Dansby Swanson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 13.7% on the season to 25% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Ian Happ is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Lance Lynn today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Nolan Arenado will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Nolan Arenado’s 53.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 44.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the league’s 11th-best home run hitter.

Batting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (15.8°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.2° angle last year.

Nolan Gorman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Over the last 14 days, Nolan Gorman has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 16.5% to 21.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Willson Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Tomas Nido’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 54.8% on the season to 66.7% in the past 14 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.320) may lead us to conclude that Tomas Nido has suffered from bad luck this year with his .238 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his home run skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Nico Hoerner has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .251 rate is a good deal lower than his .274 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tomas Nido’s launch angle lately (25.7° in the past week’s worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 12.6° seasonal figure.

The #3 ballpark in the game for suppressing home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Lance Lynn will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

Among all SPs, Lance Lynn’s fastball spin rate of 2454 rpm is in the 86th percentile this year.

Given the 0.18 disparity between Lance Lynn’s 4.48 ERA and his 4.30 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the league this year and ought to see positive regression in future games.

Batting from the opposite that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Brendan Donovan will have the upper hand in today’s game.

When it comes to plate discipline, Nico Hoerner’s ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.4 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Michael Busch is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Dansby Swanson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.7-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 95.4-mph.

Seiya Suzuki hits many of his flyballs to center field (42.1% — 100th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The Chicago Cubs have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Christopher Morel, Michael Busch, Pete Crow-Armstrong).

By putting up a .342 BABIP this year, Masyn Winn is positioned in the 91st percentile.

Michael Busch will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lance Lynn in today’s game.

Michael Busch has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past week’s worth of games.

Hayden Wesneski’s 2110-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 15th percentile out of all SPs.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Paul Goldschmidt will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Christopher Morel ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the past two weeks, Christopher Morel’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 101-mph in recent games.

Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Saturday Series Game 2 player match stat slumps with Cubs vs Cardinals Matchup

Pete Crow-Armstrong is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

In Major League Baseball, Busch Stadium’s RF fences are the 2nd-deepest.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 93.3 mph to 90.7 mph.

Pete Crow-Armstrong’s 86.6-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in Major League Baseball since the start of last season: 25th percentile.

Busch Stadium projects as the #27 stadium in MLB for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brendan Donovan has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Brendan Donovan’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%.

Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 91.4-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 88-mph over the last two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.2°, Brendan Donovan’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-0.7° in the past 14 days).

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hayden Wesneski is projected to throw 82 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of all pitchers on the slate.

The #5 field in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Hayden Wesneski today.

The #3 field in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Lance Lynn will hold the platoon advantage over Seiya Suzuki today.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Seiya Suzuki in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Seiya Suzuki’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.8%.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Seiya Suzuki has been lucky this year. His .346 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.

When it comes to his home run talent, Masyn Winn ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Masyn Winn will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Today, Masyn Winn is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (76th percentile).

Masyn Winn has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.1-mph dropping to 83-mph in the last 7 days.

Dansby Swanson is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Lance Lynn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson today.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.

Dansby Swanson’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (13.4°) is quite a bit worse than his 17.8° mark last year.

Lars Nootbaar has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest fences among all stadiums — generally bad for long-balls.

Hitting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Paul Goldschmidt has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Paul Goldschmidt’s 7.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.7%.

Posting a 3.8 K/BB rate this year, Paul Goldschmidt has displayed bad plate discipline, grading out in the 21st percentile.

Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Ian Happ has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 12.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.

Ian Happ has been lucky this year, putting up a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .018 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Nolan Arenado has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Nolan Gorman’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (21.8° in the last 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 26.4° seasonal angle.

With a .206 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Nolan Gorman is positioned in the 6th percentile.

Alec Burleson has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Alec Burleson has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph dropping to 84.6-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alec Burleson’s true offensive talent to be a .314, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .023 deviation between that figure and his actual .337 wOBA.

Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 88.8-mph figure last year has fallen off to 85-mph.

Alec Burleson has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 27.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 18.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 19th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Hitting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Willson Contreras will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 11.8°, Willson Contreras has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.2°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Willson Contreras has had some very good luck this year. His .385 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .339.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Tomas Nido ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tomas Nido is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Tomas Nido has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 33% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Batting from the same side that Lance Lynn throws from, Tomas Nido meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Tomas Nido has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Lance Lynn throws from, Christopher Morel faces a tough challenge today.

Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christopher Morel in today’s matchup.

Christopher Morel’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 91.9-mph average last year has decreased to 89.9-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 3rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Lance Lynn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nico Hoerner in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nico Hoerner today.

Lance Lynn has averaged 15.1 outs per outing this year, ranking in the 25th percentile.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future, According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Willson Contreras (the Cardinals’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

This year, Michael Busch has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Michael Busch in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.223) suggests that Michael Busch has experienced some positive variance this year with his .278 actual batting average.

Placing in the 23rd percentile, Dansby Swanson sits with a .282 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

In his last GS, Lance Lynn struggled when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.

Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 89.7-mph figure last year has lowered to 86-mph.

Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 45.3% on the season to 21.7% in the last week.

With a 4.04 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Gorman has demonstrated bad plate discipline, checking in at the 18th percentile.

Hayden Wesneski performed well in his last start and conceded 0 ER.

St. Louis Cardinals bats jointly have been among the worst in the league this year ( 6th-worst) as far as their 88.1-mph average exit velocity.

In the past 7 days, Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 89.1 mph to 82 mph.

Nico Hoerner’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (-0.8° over the last 14 days) is significantly worse than his 3.8° seasonal figure.

Christopher Morel’s launch angle in recent games (5.5° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit lower than his 14.3° seasonal angle.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.319) provides evidence that Michael Busch has been lucky this year with his .366 actual wOBA.