Todays 08/14/2024 Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Cardinals at Reds Matchup Prediction for Today

The Cincinnati Reds and the St. Louis Cardinals will face off on August 14, 2024, at Great American Ball Park in what promises to be an exciting National League Central matchup. Both teams currently hold average records, with the Reds at 59-61 and the Cardinals at 60-60. This game is particularly significant as the Reds won their last encounter against the Cardinals on August 13, 2024, with a score of 4-1, showcasing their ability to compete in tightly contested games., On the mound, the Reds are projected to start Emilio Pagan, who has been primarily a reliever this season with a Win/Loss record of 2-3 and an ERA of 4.22. While his advanced stats suggest he might have been unlucky, Pagan’s projections indicate he may struggle today, averaging just 1.0 innings pitched with a concerning 1.0 hits allowed. In contrast, the Cardinals will counter with Kyle Gibson, a right-handed pitcher with a more established role, having started 22 games this season. Gibson boasts a 7-4 record and a solid 3.99 ERA, although his xERA of 4.85 suggests he could be due for a downturn., Offensively, the Reds rank 18th in MLB, but they shine in the stolen base department, leading the league. Their best hitter, Elly De La Cruz, has made a significant impact this season. Meanwhile, the Cardinals rank 19th overall but have a slightly better batting average thanks to Alec Burleson, their standout player. , According to the leading MLB projection system, the Reds are projected to score around 5.16 runs, while the Cardinals may tally 5.55 runs. With a high game total of 9.5 runs, bettors should expect a competitive matchup as both teams look to gain momentum heading into the latter part of the season.

Wednesday Series Game 3 Prediction Explination for Cardinals vs Reds Matchup

Kyle Gibson has utilized his change-up 7.7% less often this year (9.3%) than he did last season (17%)., Kyle Gibson – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+145/-185), Paul Goldschmidt has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (92% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game., Paul Goldschmidt – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150), The 6.8% Barrel% of the St. Louis Cardinals makes them the #28 club in MLB this year by this stat., The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the worst out of every team today., Cincinnati Reds – Moneyline (-110), Elly De La Cruz has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 103-mph in the last week’s worth of games., Elly De La Cruz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135), Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.7% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup., Jeimer Candelario – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150), The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Run Line in 65 of their last 114 games (+10.45 Units / 7% ROI), Cincinnati Reds – Run Line +1.5 (-160), The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.35 Units / 32% ROI), St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under Team Total, Elly De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+8.60 Units / 23% ROI), Elly De La Cruz – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (-150/+120)

Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead., The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher., Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power., Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs., Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it., This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.