Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Atlanta at Arizona Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in MLB for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to better offense.

This season, Marcell Ozuna has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.6 mph compared to last year’s 96.5 mph mark.

Considering Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Kevin Newman will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

The Atlanta Braves infield defense projects as the 10th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

Kevin Newman will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Sean Murphy ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the last 7 days, Sean Murphy’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.8-mph over the course of the season to 107.9-mph lately.

In the past week, Sean Murphy’s 83.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.2%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball.

Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Austin Riley has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 14.4% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the last 14 days.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

Matt Olson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Montgomery in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.

Considering Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Orlando Arcia has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 89.7-mph EV.

Orlando Arcia’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (9.1°) is significantly better than his 5.6° figure last year.

Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Chris Sale… and even better, Sale has a large platoon split.

Chris Sale projects as the 4th-best starting pitcher in MLB currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Chris Sale has averaged 97.8 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 97th percentile.

Projected catcher Sean Murphy grades out as a good pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jarred Kelenic is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chase Field as the 2nd-best venue in the league for left-handed BABIP.

Batting from the opposite that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have an advantage today.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randal Grichuk ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randal Grichuk is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

Randal Grichuk will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today… and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split.

When assessing his home run ability, Adam Duvall ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Adam Duvall has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 15.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit lower than his 28.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Geraldo Perdomo will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Geraldo Perdomo has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 87-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Gabriel Moreno will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale in today’s matchup… and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split.

Eugenio Suarez will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale today… and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split.

Eugenio Suarez will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his home run talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 77th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

There has been a significant improvement in Jarred Kelenic’s launch angle from last year’s 9.9° to 13° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Ozzie Albies’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 93.8-mph in recent games.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Gabriel Moreno ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Over the last 7 days, Gabriel Moreno’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.4% up to 27.3%.

Sean Murphy has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week.

Based on Statcast metrics, Sean Murphy is in the 86th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 28.800.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Randal Grichuk will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Eugenio Suarez’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Christian Walker will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game… and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split.

When estimating his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Marcell Ozuna as MLB’s 17th-best home run batter.

Marcell Ozuna’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (21°) is significantly better than his 15.9° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ozzie Albies in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Ozzie Albies’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls recently (19.3° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 15° seasonal mark.

Austin Riley has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal mark of 93.7-mph.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, Chris Sale projects as the 5th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his last start, Chris Sale turned in a great performance and posted 9 strikeouts.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.307) may lead us to conclude that Adam Duvall has had bad variance on his side this year with his .240 actual wOBA.

Christian Walker will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Monday player match stat slumps with Braves vs D-Backs Matchup

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions in MLB.

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.

Jordan Montgomery will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today’s matchup.

The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the 2nd-strongest among all the teams in action today.

Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Newman in the 4th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Kevin Newman is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Kevin Newman has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.

From last year to this one, Kevin Newman’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 11.8% to 8.1%.

Sean Murphy is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Sean Murphy meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Sean Murphy is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.3% rate (82nd percentile).

Jordan Montgomery will have the handedness advantage against Austin Riley in today’s game.

Austin Riley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Austin Riley will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The #1 stadium in MLB for suppressing home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

In today’s game, Matt Olson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.5% rate (83rd percentile).

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Olson in today’s game.

Matt Olson has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 10% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the worst stadium in baseball for RHB home runs.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s average exit velocity has decreased of late; his 88.6-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84.6-mph in the last 7 days.

When it comes to plate discipline, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.’s skill is quite poor, posting a 5.06 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 7th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Orlando Arcia is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the same side that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Orlando Arcia faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his home run ability, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 19% to 13%.

In the past 7 days, Geraldo Perdomo’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13%.

The 5th-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Chase Field ranks as the #2 stadium in baseball for BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 8 batters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today’s game, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.

Jarred Kelenic has been pulled from the game early 12% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Jarred Kelenic hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jarred Kelenic in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eli White in the 15th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Eli White is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jordan Montgomery will hold the platoon advantage against Eli White in today’s game.

In terms of his batting average, Randal Grichuk has experienced some positive variance this year. His .292 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .251.

Randal Grichuk grades out in the 22nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (39.6% rate this year).

A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play, and Randal Grichuk’s 31.2° mark (10th percentile) this year indicates a weak hitting profile.

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Jordan Montgomery throws from, Adam Duvall will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eli White in the 17th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Gabriel Moreno is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

Gabriel Moreno hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Gabriel Moreno’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 44.3% to 35.1%.

In terms of power, Gabriel Moreno finds himself in the 22nd percentile, having paced 10.4 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Eugenio Suarez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.2% down to 0%.

Over the last 7 days, Eugenio Suarez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 88.8 mph to 78.3 mph.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ozzie Albies will bat from his worse side against Jordan Montgomery in today’s game.

Ozzie Albies pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ozzie Albies today.

Geraldo Perdomo’s BABIP talent is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Chris Sale was on point in his previous GS and allowed 1 ER.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Kevin Newman ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Randal Grichuk has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .347 figure is quite a bit higher than his .322 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Randal Grichuk and his 9.1° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 25th percentile, among the lowest in the game since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 25th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 19.4% underlying K%.

Chris Sale will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Adam Duvall’s BABIP ability is projected in the 5th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).