Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Atlanta at Los Angeles Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Taylor Ward is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.

Angel Stadium projects as the #9 field in the league for righty BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Angel Stadium has the shortest average fence height among all major league stadiums.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 84°.

Niko Kavadas is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Angel Stadium as the 9th-best ballpark in the game for lefty base hits.

Niko Kavadas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Charlie Morton in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run talent, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Logan O’Hoppe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Logan O’Hoppe is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Logan O’Hoppe will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Angel Stadium profiles as the #10 park in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Whit Merrifield has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 83.3-mph to 89.5-mph in the past week.

Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Whit Merrifield has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 21.9° figure over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Zach Neto is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 87% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (73% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 80th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Ramon Laureano has strong power (80th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jack Kochanowicz is a pitch-to-contact type (21st percentile K%) — great news for Laureano.

Michael Stefanic will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have an edge today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Austin Riley ranks as the 18th-best batter in the game.

Austin Riley is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Recording 96.6 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Charlie Morton checks in at the 94th percentile.

It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Rob Drake) behind the plate in today’s game.

In his previous outing, Charlie Morton was rolling and allowed 2 ER.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Charlie Morton must realize this, because he has gone to his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 61.8% of the time, ranking in the 85th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Placing in the 91st percentile, Michael Stefanic has put up a .282 batting average since the start of last season.

When assessing his home run ability, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Angel Stadium as the 10th-best venue in the majors for lefty home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Marcell Ozuna as Major League Baseball’s 15th-best home run batter.

Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Mickey Moniak will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Mickey Moniak has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph to 100.1-mph over the past week.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage today.

Whit Merrifield’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Niko Kavadas will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Nolan Schanuel is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Nolan Schanuel will hold the platoon advantage over Charlie Morton today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarred Kelenic in the 76th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Ramon Laureano has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 12.9% seasonal rate to 27.8% over the past two weeks.

Ramon Laureano has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.2-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 95.4-mph.

Angel Stadium grades out as the #2 venue in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 6 bats of the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected offense, Jack Kochanowicz ought to benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

Given that flyball pitchers hold a sizeable advantage over flyball hitters, Jack Kochanowicz and his 51.2% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in today’s game being matched up with 2 opposing FB hitters.

Jack Kochanowicz will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats in all categories.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Stefanic in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Jarred Kelenic’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 46.5% on the season to 57.9% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

In the last two weeks, Jo Adell’s maximum exit velocity (a good measure of recent form and raw power) has been 114.1-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the league.

Jo Adell has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .201 BA is significantly deflated relative to his .229 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the opposite that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Michael Harris II will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Charlie Morton in the 87th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

The Los Angeles Angels have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Niko Kavadas, Mickey Moniak, Jo Adell).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Michael Harris II ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the last two weeks, Sean Murphy’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 100.4-mph in recent games.

As it relates to his home run ability, Niko Kavadas ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Taylor Ward will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Matt Olson will have the upper hand today.

Austin Riley has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.2-mph to 96.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

This season, Marcell Ozuna has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.5 mph compared to last year’s 96.5 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jack Kochanowicz in the 19th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching skills.

The 4th-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill is that of the Atlanta Braves.

The Atlanta Braves have been the unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games

Sunday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Braves vs Angels Matchup

Among all major league parks, Angel Stadium’s left field fences are the 10th-deepest.

Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage against Taylor Ward in today’s matchup.

Taylor Ward has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 12.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 7.7% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Niko Kavadas in the 1st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Olson in today’s game.

Matt Olson’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 93.7-mph EV last year has fallen to 91.3-mph.

Matt Olson’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 94.1-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 88.1-mph in the past two weeks.

Sporting a .228 batting average this year, Matt Olson is ranked in the 22nd percentile.

Batting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Logan O’Hoppe will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Logan O’Hoppe pulls many of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Logan O’Hoppe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.2% down to 0%.

Logan O’Hoppe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 20% to 16.9%.

Logan O’Hoppe’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 46.7% on the season to 0% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 12th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Whit Merrifield is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jack Kochanowicz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Whit Merrifield in today’s matchup.

Whit Merrifield will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Batting from the same side that Charlie Morton throws from, Zach Neto will not have the upper hand today.

Zach Neto pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jo Adell is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Charlie Morton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jo Adell in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jo Adell’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 36.7%.

Jo Adell ranks in the 5th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (36.7% rate this year).

Michael Harris II has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball batters like Michael Harris II tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II in today’s game.

Ranking in the 17th percentile, Michael Harris II sits with a .178 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Michael Harris II has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 15th percentile with a 4.23 K/BB rate.

Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Ramon Laureano has been pulled from the game early 13% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Batting from the same side that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Ramon Laureano has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Ramon Laureano pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ramon Laureano in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Stefanic in the 1st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Michael Stefanic is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.

Charlie Morton will have the handedness advantage against Michael Stefanic in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Michael Stefanic’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 82.8 mph to 77.6 mph.

Jarred Kelenic is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jarred Kelenic today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jarred Kelenic’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.5% down to 0%.

From last season to this one, Jarred Kelenic’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 53.3% to 46.5%.

When it comes to plate discipline, Jarred Kelenic’s skill is quite bad, putting up a 4.11 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 17th percentile.

Hitting from the same side that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Austin Riley meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Austin Riley in today’s matchup.

The Los Angeles Angels have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future, The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Angel Stadium as the 7th-best venue in the game for home runs.

Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Charlie Morton in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Sean Murphy will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Sean Murphy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Sean Murphy today.

Sean Murphy has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 15.9% rate last season has fallen to 10.5% this year.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Sean Murphy has had some very good luck this year. His .313 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .292.

Mickey Moniak is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.

In the last 14 days, Mickey Moniak’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 0%.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 20.1°, Mickey Moniak has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.7°) over the last two weeks.

In notching a .210 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Mickey Moniak has performed in the 6th percentile.

Mickey Moniak has posted a .276 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 15th percentile.

Sporting a .280 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Mickey Moniak finds himself in the 14th percentile for hitting ability.

Batting from the same side that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Marcell Ozuna meets a tough challenge today.

Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 89th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Marcell Ozuna today.

Despite posting a .401 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcell Ozuna has been very fortunate given the .053 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .348.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Orlando Arcia in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Orlando Arcia is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Orlando Arcia will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Orlando Arcia pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Orlando Arcia tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz.

Whit Merrifield’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 16.6% to 13.5%.

Nolan Schanuel has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.6-mph dropping to 80.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

This year, the hardest ball Nolan Schanuel has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 103.9 mph (a reliable metric to measure power), ranking in the 0th percentile.

Jarred Kelenic has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph dropping to 85.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jack Kochanowicz in the 2nd percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Kochanowicz to throw 83 pitches in this game (9th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

In his previous GS, Jack Kochanowicz struggled when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.

Jack Kochanowicz’s high usage percentage of his fastball (61.2% since the start of last season) is likely weakening his results, considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 7.8°, Michael Stefanic has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-17.5°) over the past 14 days.

Logan O’Hoppe has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 25.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably higher than his 21.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his home run ability, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his home runs, Nolan Schanuel has had positive variance on his side this year. His 15.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 10.5.

Checking in at the 18th percentile, Nolan Schanuel has put up a .181 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

With a .282 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Michael Harris II is positioned in the 19th percentile.

Zach Neto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 18.6% on the season to 8.3% in the past week.

Charlie Morton’s fastball velocity has dropped 1 mph this season (93.3 mph) below where it was last season (94.3 mph).

Los Angeles Angels hitters jointly rank 27th- in baseball for power this year when assessing with their 91.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Orlando Arcia today.

Taylor Ward’s launch angle of late (10.8° in the past 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.3° seasonal mark.

Jack Kochanowicz is an extreme groundball pitcher (51.2% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Angel Stadium — the #7 HR venue in MLB — in today’s game.