TOR @ TB



Blue Jays @ Rays Series Game 4 Matchup Details
Series : Series Game 4
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, September 18th
Time : 18/09/25 13:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Toronto Blue Jays Game Today
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Davis Schneider ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions on the schedule today.
When it comes to his home run talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best venue in baseball for righty home runs.
In the league, George M. Steinbrenner Field has the lowest average fence height.
Addison Barger is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage over Shane Baz today.
Addison Barger is likely to have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.
Addison Barger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
As it relates to his home run talent, Addison Barger ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The #4 field in the game for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.
When it comes to his home run ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Junior Caminero will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Carson Williams’s BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Carson Williams will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Chandler Simpson is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Chandler Simpson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s game… and moreover, Bassitt has a large platoon split.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 18th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average talent.
Chandler Simpson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
Robert Seymour will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Robert Seymour will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
George Springer is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand today.
Andres Gimenez will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Tampa Bay Rays only has 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #6 park in MLB for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Chris Bassitt today.
Chris Bassitt’s fastball velocity has dropped 1.7 mph this year (90.9 mph) below where it was last season (92.6 mph).
Chris Bassitt has averaged 94.2 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 88th percentile.
The Tampa Bay Rays have 5 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Everson Pereira, Christopher Morel, Carson Williams, Robert Seymour, Tristan Gray).
In his last start, Chris Bassitt performed well and accumulated 7 strikeouts.
When it comes to his batting average talent, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Yandy Diaz projects as the 20th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average skill.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 5th-best hitter in baseball.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
Alejandro Kirk has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Hunter Feduccia will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Bassitt has a large platoon split.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Hunter Feduccia will hold that advantage today.
Tristan Gray is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Tristan Gray will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s game… and even better, Bassitt has a large platoon split.
Tristan Gray will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Nathan Lukes has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Nathan Lukes will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
The Tampa Bay Rays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Shane Baz in the 86th percentile among all SPs in the game.
Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Shane Baz will hold that advantage in today’s game.
In his last game started, Shane Baz performed well and posted 10 strikeouts.
Shane Baz’s curveball usage has jumped by 6.4% from last season to this one (20.5% to 26.9%) .
Negatives with the Tampa Bay Rays Game Today
Davis Schneider is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Shane Baz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Davis Schneider in today’s game.
In today’s game, Davis Schneider is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.2% rate (97th percentile).
Davis Schneider will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Addison Barger in today’s game.
Chris Bassitt will have the handedness advantage over Junior Caminero in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.
Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.
The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams playing today.
Carson Williams is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 5th-deepest centerfield fences in the league.
Chris Bassitt will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Williams today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson in the 0th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
In today’s matchup, Chandler Simpson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.3% rate (98th percentile).
Robert Seymour is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, George Springer has a tough challenge today.
George Springer hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for George Springer today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 11th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Andres Gimenez is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.
Andres Gimenez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
The Tampa Bay Rays projected batting order projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate in terms of overall batting skill.
Mike Estabrook profiles as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches in this game.
Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk grades out as a good pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Chris Bassitt has gone to his secondary pitches 5.2% less often this season (49.6%) than he did last year (54.8%).
Among all starting pitchers, Chris Bassitt’s fastball spin rate of 2149 rpm is in the 19th percentile this year.
Chris Bassitt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Bassitt’s large platoon split.
Batting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s game.
Shane Baz will have the handedness advantage against Alejandro Kirk today.
Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
When assessing his home run talent, Ernie Clement ranks in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ernie Clement is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Shane Baz throws from, Ernie Clement will have a disadvantage today.
Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Ernie Clement will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Feduccia in the 16th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Hunter Feduccia is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.
Hunter Feduccia has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Gray in the 7th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Tristan Gray hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Nathan Lukes has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will be challenged by the game’s 7th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nathan Lukes in today’s game.
The Toronto Blue Jays (18.5 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the least strikeout-prone set of hitters on the slate.
As a result of his reverse platoon split, Shane Baz will be in a tough position facing 6 hitters in the projected batting order of the same handedness in today’s matchup.
Shane Baz has had some very good luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 9.67 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.45 — a 0.22 K/9 disparity.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shane Baz in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.
In his last game started, Shane Baz was rolling and gave up 0 ER.
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