Todays Game 4 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Toronto at Baltimore Game 4 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

The #8 park in the league for boosting base hits to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 89°.

Ernie Clement has compiled a .275 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Placing in the 80th percentile, Ernie Clement has posted a .274 batting average this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of MLB’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Alejandro Kirk has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.6% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past week’s worth of games.

Leo Jimenez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Leo Jimenez has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Leo Jimenez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.5-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 88.3-mph figure.

In the past week’s worth of games, Leo Jimenez’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 59.4%.

Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Daulton Varsho will hold the platoon advantage against Grayson Rodriguez in today’s game.

Daulton Varsho pulls a lot of his flyballs (40% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Daulton Varsho’s launch angle from last season’s 20.3° to 26.5° this year.

Ernie Clement has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 15.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount lower than his 18.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alejandro Kirk’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #8 stadium in baseball for lefty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

George Springer is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

George Springer has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .227 BA is deflated compared to his .285 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to plate discipline, George Springer’s ability is quite good, putting up a 1.68 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 88th percentile.

As it relates to his batting average talent, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Among all major league parks, Oriole Park at Camden Yards’s RF fences are the shallowest.

Hitting from the opposite that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Addison Barger will have an edge in today’s game.

Alejandro Kirk, the Blue Jays’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As a result of his reverse platoon split, Paolo Espino figures to be at an advantage going up against 6 bats in the projected offense of the opposite hand in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Spencer Horwitz will have the handedness advantage over Grayson Rodriguez today.

Spencer Horwitz has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.9-mph average in the last two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 89.6-mph mark.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last year’s 92.1-mph mark.

Leo Jimenez’s launch angle of late (20.2° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly better than his 15.9° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 7th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, George Springer has had some very poor luck this year. His .304 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .362.

Wednesday Game 4 player match stat slumps with Blue Jays vs Orioles Matchup

Ernie Clement is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the deepest LF dimensions among all parks.

Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Ernie Clement will be in a tough position in today’s game.

Out of every team today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ernie Clement in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 2nd-worst park in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 9th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.

Grayson Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage against Alejandro Kirk today.

Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Alejandro Kirk has paced 5.3 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 6th percentile for power.

Leo Jimenez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.

Grayson Rodriguez will hold the platoon advantage over Leo Jimenez in today’s game.

Daulton Varsho’s BABIP talent is projected in the 4th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #28 ballpark in baseball for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Daulton Varsho will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 13th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 87.8-mph figure last year has dropped to 85.6-mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 15.4°, Daulton Varsho’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (5° in the past 14 days).

Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, George Springer meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Grayson Rodriguez throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. today.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle in recent games (-1.7° over the past week) is a considerable dropoff from his 6.2° seasonal figure.

Alejandro Kirk’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 41.8% on the season to 26.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Alejandro Kirk has compiled a .279 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 16th percentile.

Addison Barger is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

This year, Addison Barger has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Paolo Espino in the 1st percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Paolo Espino to be on a bit of a short leash in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 76 pitches.

It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Adrian Johnson) in charge of the strike zone today.

Paolo Espino will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Spencer Horwitz has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 17th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Leo Jimenez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Leo Jimenez has been cold lately, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) over the last two weeks.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Addison Barger in today’s game.

Despite posting a .349 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Horwitz has been very fortunate given the .028 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for George Springer in today’s matchup.

George Springer has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.