Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Toronto at Baltimore Matchup Today

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest weather on the slate at 90, °.

The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.4-mph in this game, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters.

Cedric Mullins II will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today.

Cedric Mullins II pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Cedric Mullins II will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Yariel Rodriguez in the 78th percentile among all SPs in MLB.

Spencer Horwitz’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #8 park in MLB for LHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Colton Cowser is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, George Springer will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average ability.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Povich in today’s matchup.

Ernie Clement’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Ernie Clement will have an advantage today.

Ernie Clement has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .291 figure is quite a bit lower than his .321 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Davis Schneider ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for RHB base hits.

Davis Schneider will have the handedness advantage over Cade Povich today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Spencer Horwitz has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.6-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 89.5-mph average.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage today.

The shallowest right field fences in the majors are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

This season, Kevin Kiermaier has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 90.6 mph compared to last year’s 87.4 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kevin Kiermaier’s true offensive talent to be a .274, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .036 disparity between that mark and his actual .238 wOBA.

Justin Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Justin Turner will have an edge today.

In the past two weeks, Justin Turner’s 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.2%.

Gunnar Henderson projects as the 17th-best hitter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an advantage today.

When it comes to his home run talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the past week, Davis Schneider’s 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.1%.

Ramon Urias has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Urias will hold that advantage today.

The Baltimore Orioles projected batting order ranks as the 3rd-strongest on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 7th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Anthony Santander is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.2% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s shallowest RF fences today.

Connor Norby’s BABIP skill is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Davis Schneider has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 19.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is deflated compared to his 22.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Ryan O’Hearn is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Ryan O’Hearn will have an edge today.

Anthony Santander will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 76th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

In notching a .324 BABIP since the start of last season, Ramon Urias grades out in the 86th percentile.

Kevin Kiermaier’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (10°) is considerably higher than his 4.4° angle last season.

Monday player match stat slumps with Blue Jays vs Orioles Matchup

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins II in the 11th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #28 ballpark in MLB for left-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Among all major league parks, the 9th-highest fences are at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Cedric Mullins II has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 85-mph over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yariel Rodriguez to throw 79 pitches in today’s game (2nd-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

The Baltimore Orioles have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yariel Rodriguez today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yariel Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Cade Povich throws from, Spencer Horwitz will be in a tough position today.

In today’s matchup, Spencer Horwitz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.9% rate (93rd percentile).

Out of all the teams in action today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Spencer Horwitz in today’s game.

Spencer Horwitz has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past 14 days.

Colton Cowser is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

11% of the time that Colton Cowser has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Colton Cowser has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The #2 ballpark in the league for suppressing home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

The deepest left field fences among all parks are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for George Springer in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.2°, George Springer has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.5°) over the past two weeks.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Ernie Clement is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Davis Schneider is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Davis Schneider pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Davis Schneider in today’s matchup.

Davis Schneider has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 12.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Connor Norby is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Connor Norby will be in a tough position in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Kevin Kiermaier is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Cade Povich throws from, Kevin Kiermaier meets a tough challenge today.

Baltimore’s #2-ranked outfield defense of the day poses a formidable challenge for Kevin Kiermaier, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Justin Turner in today’s matchup.

Gunnar Henderson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s deepest LF fences today.

Gunnar Henderson has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 13.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past 7 days.

Gunnar Henderson’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 95.8-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 84.5-mph over the past week.

Ramon Urias is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.

12% of the time that Ramon Urias has started against a northpaw this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Batting from the same side that Yariel Rodriguez throws from, Ramon Urias will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Ramon Urias has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

Ramon Urias’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 90.5-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 72.3-mph in the past 7 days.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Baltimore Orioles offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #30 field in MLB for walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Anthony Santander’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Placing in the 6th percentile, Anthony Santander has notched a .235 BABIP this year.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Adley Rutschman will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Yariel Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

Adley Rutschman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 90.7-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 77.1-mph over the last 7 days.

As it relates to his home runs, Adley Rutschman has been very fortunate this year. His 23.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.4.

Ryan O’Hearn has been pinch hit for 17% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

When it comes to his home runs, Anthony Santander has had positive variance on his side this year. His 41.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 34.8.

In terms of his home runs, Cedric Mullins II has been very fortunate this year. His 19.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.5.

Ernie Clement will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Ernie Clement has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph dropping to 79.9-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 9°, Gunnar Henderson has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.5°) over the past 14 days.

Despite posting a .394 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has been lucky given the .033 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .361.

Ranking in the 12th percentile, George Springer sports a .248 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 14th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Over the past week, Colton Cowser’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.1% down to 8.3%.

Colton Cowser’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 96.4-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 86.3-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Using Statcast metrics, Cedric Mullins II is in the 7th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .268.

Cedric Mullins II has posted a .278 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.

Justin Turner’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89.5-mph average last year has fallen to 86.8-mph.

Justin Turner’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 86.8-mph seasonal average has dropped to 84.6-mph over the past 7 days.