Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Toronto at Chicago Game 3 Matchup Today

It is expected that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Jim Wolf) in charge of the strike zone in today’s game.

Wrigley Field has the 6th-deepest right field dimensions among all major league parks.

Among all major league parks, the 7th-tallest fences are at Wrigley Field.

As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 14.1-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for pitchers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest elevation among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.

Davis Schneider will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga today.

Davis Schneider pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Davis Schneider has been unlucky this year, notching a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .030 gap.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Among all parks, Wrigley Field’s LF fences are the 6th-shallowest.

Seiya Suzuki will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.5°, Seiya Suzuki has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 27° mark in the past two weeks.

Addison Barger has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs has just 1 same-handed RP.

Compared to his seasonal average of 11.7°, Addison Barger has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 31.6° mark over the last two weeks.

Addison Barger has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .223 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .267 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Dansby Swanson’s launch angle of late (43.8° in the past week) is quite a bit better than his 9.9° seasonal mark.

Despite posting a .284 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dansby Swanson has been unlucky given the .043 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis in today’s matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91.5-mph over the past two weeks.

As it relates to his batting average, Pete Crow-Armstrong has been unlucky this year. His .210 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .263.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Miguel Amaya will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Miguel Amaya has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 92-mph in the past 14 days.

Over the past week, Miguel Amaya’s 77.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Daulton Varsho’s launch angle this season (25.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 20.3° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have an advantage today.

Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year’s 90.6-mph figure.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Pete Crow-Armstrong has had some very poor luck this year. His .261 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .313.

Pete Crow-Armstrong and his 20.6° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 96th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball this year.

Checking in at the 81st percentile, Daulton Varsho has posted a .305 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Shota Imanaga will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

Among all SPs, Shota Imanaga’s fastball velocity of 91.2 mph is in the 17th percentile this year.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Shota Imanaga has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 54% of the time, grading out in the 100th percentile.

Considering the 0.84 difference between Shota Imanaga’s 3.16 ERA and his 4.00 estimated true talent ERA (per the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game this year and figures to see worse results in the future.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Cody Bellinger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bowden Francis today.

Cody Bellinger will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average skill.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Shota Imanaga today.

Extreme flyball batters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

Nico Hoerner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Over the last two weeks, Nico Hoerner’s 54.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45%.

Nico Hoerner has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .256 rate is considerably lower than his .288 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nico Hoerner has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 93rd percentile with a 1.48 K/BB rate.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.240) provides evidence that Miguel Amaya has experienced some negative variance this year with his .220 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Ernie Clement has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (88% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Ernie Clement will have the upper hand today.

Over the past week, Ernie Clement’s 29.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Michael Busch is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Bowden Francis in today’s game.

Michael Busch will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Michael Busch has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 19% over the last two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ian Happ ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Bowden Francis.

Ian Happ will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ian Happ’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 20.2%.

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Last year, Isaac Paredes had an average launch angle of 18° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 21.6°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

In the past week’s worth of games, Nico Hoerner’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, George Springer ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

George Springer is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, George Springer will have an advantage today.

George Springer has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .294 figure is deflated compared to his .353 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Chicago Cubs batters as a unit grade out 7th- in MLB for power this year when judging by their 92.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Shota Imanaga has averaged 91.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year, grading out in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Shota Imanaga in the 88th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

The #9 venue in MLB for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Compared to his seasonal average of 7.6°, Miguel Amaya has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 17.7° figure in the last week.

George Springer has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .218 BA is a fair amount lower than his .276 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 7th-best batter in the league.

Considering that flyball pitchers have a big edge over flyball batters, Bowden Francis and his 39.7% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a strong position in this game squaring off against 2 opposing FB batters.

Sunday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Blue Jays vs Cubs Matchup

Bowden Francis has averaged 78.4 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 6th percentile.

The Chicago Cubs have been the 4th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season, The #9 venue in the game for boosting BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Bowden Francis will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Bowden Francis has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.6% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.

Davis Schneider is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

21% of the time that Davis Schneider has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Hitting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Seiya Suzuki meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Seiya Suzuki’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 93.2 mph to 86.7 mph.

Addison Barger is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

Dansby Swanson is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Bowden Francis will hold the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

This year, Pete Crow-Armstrong has been pulled from the game early in 12% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Miguel Amaya is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

21% of the time that Miguel Amaya has started against a right-handed starter this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Batting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, Daulton Varsho faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Daulton Varsho is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.8% rate (98th percentile).

Alejandro Kirk has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Seiya Suzuki has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .265 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shota Imanaga in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall pitching talent.

In today’s game, Cody Bellinger is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35% rate (87th percentile).

Typically, hitters like Cody Bellinger who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Bowden Francis.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

When estimating his home run ability, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Ernie Clement will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Ernie Clement’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 90 mph to 87.2 mph.

This year, Michael Busch has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Over the past week, Ian Happ’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 95 mph to 92.5 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Batting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Isaac Paredes meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Isaac Paredes tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bowden Francis.

Over the last 7 days, Michael Busch’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.5%.

In the past week, Alejandro Kirk’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 0%.

George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

George Springer has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 82.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Typically, hitters like Davis Schneider who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Shota Imanaga.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 11th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Batting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Nico Hoerner will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Nico Hoerner has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 6th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 20.1% underlying K%.

Cody Bellinger has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Ernie Clement’s 85.7-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in MLB this year: 9th percentile.

Dansby Swanson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days.

Shota Imanaga will have the handedness advantage against Addison Barger today.

There has been a significant decline in George Springer’s launch angle from last year’s 11.8° to 8.6° this year.