Todays Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Oakland at New York Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as the majors’s 13th-best home run hitter.

Pete Alonso is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the highest temperatures of all games today at 87°.

Pete Alonso pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Oakland Athletics.

J.J. Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so J.J. Bleday can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

J.J. Bleday hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The New York Mets infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

Miguel Andujar’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miguel Andujar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks.

Miguel Andujar will hold the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today’s game.

Tyler Nevin is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Tyler Nevin will have an advantage in today’s game.

Scott Barry profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be umping today.

Projected catcher Shea Langeliers profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Mitch Spence throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have the upper hand today.

Brandon Nimmo has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jose Iglesias’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Iglesias will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his home run talent, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Shea Langeliers will have the upper hand today.

Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Compared to last year, J.J. Bleday has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 15.2% to 18.8% this season.

Jose Quintana has averaged 91.5 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 76th percentile.

The Oakland Athletics projected lineup projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.

It may be wise to expect worse results for the Oakland Athletics offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Hitting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Armando Alvarez will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

Harrison Bader will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Posting a .267 batting average this year, Harrison Bader has performed in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 78th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 58% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Lawrence Butler may have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets only has 1 same-handed RP.

Lawrence Butler has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Daz Cameron has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Daz Cameron will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Daz Cameron hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Darell Hernaiz will have the handedness advantage against Jose Quintana today.

Darell Hernaiz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.270) implies that Darell Hernaiz has suffered from bad luck this year with his .226 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his home run ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Mark Vientos has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (65% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s shallowest CF fences today.

Mark Vientos will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesse Winker in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Jesse Winker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Spence throws from, Jesse Winker will have an advantage in today’s game.

Jesse Winker has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Zack Gelof will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Quintana in today’s game.

Zack Gelof hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Mitch Spence throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an edge in today’s game.

Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jeff McNeil will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Luis Torrens hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s shallowest CF fences today.

Luis Torrens will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

J.D. Martinez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Francisco Lindor is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Quintana throws from, Max Schuemann will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Max Schuemann hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Posting a .324 BABIP this year, Max Schuemann is ranked in the 80th percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.346) may lead us to conclude that Daz Cameron has had some very poor luck this year with his .279 actual wOBA.

Jeff McNeil has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.3-mph average.

Grading out in the 92nd percentile, Jose Iglesias sports a .362 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citi Field as the 5th-best ballpark in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Jose Quintana will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

In his previous start, Jose Quintana was firing on all cylinders and accumulated 8 strikeouts.

The New York Mets have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luis Torrens, Mark Vientos, J.D. Martinez).

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Mark Vientos ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and J.D. Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Francisco Lindor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Tyler Nevin’s 94.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 79th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Alonso in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 84th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Over the last two weeks, Zack Gelof has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 29.7° compared to his seasonal mark of 19.2°.

Grading out in the 88th percentile, Jose Iglesias has notched a .475 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Pete Alonso will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Thursday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Athletics vs Mets Matchup

Citi Field profiles as the #30 venue in MLB for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built just 13 feet above sea level, Citi Field has one of the lowest elevations in the league, which often leads to lower offensive output.

Mitch Spence will have the handedness advantage over Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.

Pete Alonso has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 30.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 27.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

J.J. Bleday’s BABIP ability is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Citi Field profiles as the #30 field in the majors for overall lefty offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jose Quintana will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.J. Bleday in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for J.J. Bleday in today’s game.

Citi Field ranks as the #30 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Miguel Andujar in today’s game.

Miguel Andujar has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph dropping to 81.6-mph over the last week.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.2°, Miguel Andujar has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (3.8°) over the last two weeks.

When starting against a lefty hurler this year, Tyler Nevin has been pinch hit for 36% of the time.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler Nevin today.

Tyler Nevin has notched a .244 BABIP this year, checking in at the 24th percentile.

The New York Mets have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in future games, Citi Field ranks as the #30 stadium in the majors for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Mitch Spence turned in a great performance in his last game started and conceded 2 ER.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Mitch Spence must realize this, because he has used his secondary offerings a lot this year: 85.2% of the time, placing in the 99th percentile.

Brandon Nimmo has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks.

Brandon Nimmo has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph dropping to 86.8-mph in the past two weeks.

Jose Iglesias is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Mitch Spence throws from, Jose Iglesias faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Jose Iglesias’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 83 mph to 78.2 mph.

Citi Field projects as the #21 park in MLB for RHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Shea Langeliers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Citi Field grades out as the #21 stadium in baseball for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

J.J. Bleday has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.5-mph dropping to 81.9-mph over the past week.

In his previous start, Jose Quintana conceded a whopping 5 earned runs.

Placing in the 13th percentile, Shea Langeliers has notched a .256 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Armando Alvarez in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Armando Alvarez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Armando Alvarez today.

Harrison Bader is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Mitch Spence throws from, Harrison Bader will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

In the last 14 days, Harrison Bader’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.

Jose Quintana will hold the platoon advantage over Lawrence Butler today.

Lawrence Butler will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Lawrence Butler’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 91.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 87.1-mph over the last two weeks.

Daz Cameron has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 47% of the time when starting against a left-handed starter this year.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Daz Cameron in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run skill, Darell Hernaiz ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Darell Hernaiz is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

36% of the time that Darell Hernaiz has started against a southpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Citi Field projects as the #30 park in MLB for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the same side that Mitch Spence throws from, Mark Vientos will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos’s true offensive talent to be a .318, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .049 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .367 wOBA.

In the past two weeks, Jesse Winker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%.

Jesse Winker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 14.7% to 9.3%.

Over the last 14 days, Jesse Winker’s 4.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 9.3%.

Zack Gelof is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Zack Gelof will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Zack Gelof’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 94.1-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 91.1-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Armando Alvarez in the 21st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

When assessing his home run talent, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When it comes to his home runs, Jeff McNeil has experienced some positive variance this year. His 16.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 10.9.

Luis Torrens is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Mitch Spence will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Torrens today.

Luis Torrens has been lucky this year, compiling a .338 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .294 — a .044 discrepancy.

Hitting from the same side that Mitch Spence throws from, J.D. Martinez will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

J.D. Martinez’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 96.9-mph average last year has dropped to 94.3-mph.

Last season, J.D. Martinez had a launch angle of 18.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 15.6°.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Mitch Spence in today’s matchup.

Francisco Lindor has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 12.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Francisco Lindor’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.8-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 85.8-mph in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 18th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Max Schuemann is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Max Schuemann has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 24% of the time.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Max Schuemann in today’s game.

When assessing his home run ability, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Quintana’s 90.1-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 5th percentile among all starters.

Jose Quintana’s 2068-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 11th percentile among all starters.

Checking in at the 15th percentile, Jose Quintana compiled an 8.6% Swinging Strike% this year.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mitch Spence today.

Mitch Spence wasn’t on when it came to striking batters out in his last game started and posted 2 Ks.

Using Statcast metrics, Jeff McNeil grades out in the 17th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .284.

By putting up a .254 BABIP this year, Jeff McNeil is ranked in the 11th percentile.

When assessing his home run ability, Miguel Andujar ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Darell Hernaiz in today’s game.