ATH @ SEA






Athletics @ Mariners Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Date : Todays Game is on Wednesday, April 22nd
Time : 22/04/26 16:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Athletics Series Game 3 Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 80th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
,Among all major league stadiums, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.
,The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 9.6-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for bats.
,Lawrence Butler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today.
,Lawrence Butler has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.
,T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.
,Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
,The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team in action today.
,Zack Gelof has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 22.8° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (96th percentile).
,When assessing his home run skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Shea Langeliers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
,Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 15th-best batter in the league.
,Nick Kurtz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game.
,Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Nick Kurtz will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
,Nick Kurtz has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
,Logan Gilbert projects as the 17th-best pitcher in the league currently when it comes to his strikeout ability, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,The Athletics have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Nick Kurtz, Zack Gelof, Max Muncy).
,Projected catcher Cal Raleigh profiles as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,T-Mobile Park projects as the #2 stadium in the game for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,It may be smart to expect stronger performance for the Athletics offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.
,The 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB are found in T-Mobile Park.
,When assessing his batting average skill, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 10th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Jacob Wilson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.
,Leo Rivas will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Leo Rivas’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.2-mph over the course of the season to 92.9-mph of late.
,Compared to his seasonal average of 16.7°, Leo Rivas has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.9° figure in the past two weeks.
,When estimating his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.
,Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Logan Gilbert today.
,Jeff McNeil pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,Jeff McNeil’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 47.3% to 55.6%.
,Luke Raley’s BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand today.
,Luke Raley will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
,T-Mobile Park profiles as the #10 ballpark in MLB for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Cole Young will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today’s game.
,Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as baseball’s 6th-best home run batter.
,Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.
,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his good side against Aaron Civale today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
,Max Muncy pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
,Cole Young will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
,Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
,Batting from the opposite that Aaron Civale throws from, Josh Naylor will have an advantage in today’s game.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.
,Dominic Canzone will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale today.
,Carlos Cortes is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 77% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
,Hitting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Carlos Cortes will have the upper hand in today’s game.
,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
,Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
,Cole Young has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85.7-mph to 88.5-mph over the past week.
,Lawrence Butler has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.8-mph.
,Josh Naylor will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
,It may be best to expect better numbers for the Seattle Mariners offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.
,Shea Langeliers, the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,As it relates to his home run ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 10th-best ballpark in MLB for right-handed home runs.
,Nick Kurtz projects as the 9th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.4% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,Cal Raleigh will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
,When it comes to his home run skill, Zack Gelof ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
,Tyler Soderstrom is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.
,In the last 7 days, Max Muncy’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.9% up to 22.2%.
,Tallying 17.4 outs per GS this year on average, Logan Gilbert falls in the 85th percentile.
,This season, Max Muncy has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 98.6 mph compared to last year’s 93.1 mph mark.
,J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Civale in today’s matchup.
,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
,Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have an advantage today.
,Tyler Soderstrom has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
,Dominic Canzone will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Series Game 3 Game Today
Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 8th in the lineup today.
,T-Mobile Park projects as the #29 ballpark in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.
,Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 2nd-coldest temperature of all games today at 53°.
,Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lawrence Butler in today’s game.
,T-Mobile Park profiles as the #31 stadium in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Aaron Civale will hold the platoon advantage over Randy Arozarena in today’s game.
,Randy Arozarena has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 87.6-mph in the last 7 days.
,Zack Gelof’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Zack Gelof is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.
,Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage over Shea Langeliers in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Shea Langeliers today.
,The #1 field in the majors for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Kurtz today.
,Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) implies that Nick Kurtz has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .281 actual batting average.
,Alfonso Marquez grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone today.
,Logan Gilbert’s 2108-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 7th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
,With a 1.34 discrepancy between Logan Gilbert’s 11.53 K/9 and his 10.19 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in MLB since the start of last season when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see negative regression the rest of the season.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Gilbert in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for batting average.
,Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Logan Gilbert will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Jacob Wilson faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jacob Wilson today.
,Jacob Wilson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 47.6% to 42.3%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Rivas in the 15th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
,Leo Rivas is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Aaron Civale will hold the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez today.
,Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 15.2% to 9.8%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 18th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
,Jeff McNeil is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
,Luke Raley is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.
,Luke Raley has been lucky this year, putting up a .409 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .087 gap.
,When assessing his home run talent, Cole Young ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Cole Young is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Cole Young’s launch angle in recent games (13° in the last week’s worth of games) is significantly lower than his 18.9° seasonal figure.
,Cal Raleigh’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 90.8-mph EV last year has lowered to 84.7-mph.
,Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 39% to 24.1%.
,Max Muncy is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
,Hitting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Max Muncy will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
,Josh Naylor has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.2% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
,Josh Naylor’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.3-mph figure last season has dropped to 87-mph.
,Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Dominic Canzone has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 94.3-mph dropping to 92.3-mph in the past 7 days.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Cortes in the 11th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
,Carlos Cortes has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 47% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.
,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Carlos Cortes in today’s game.
,When it comes to his home run talent, Leo Rivas ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Leo Rivas will bat from his worse side against Aaron Civale in today’s game.
,J.P. Crawford has recorded a .174 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season, grading out in the 14th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 11th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
,There has been a significant decline in Randy Arozarena’s launch angle from last year’s 13.4° to 3.7° this year.
,Launch angles in the range of -4° to 26° tend to become base hits at a high rate; Cole Young and his 39.3% since the start of last season rank in the 9th percentile by this measure.
,As it relates to his home run skill, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeff McNeil today.
,Given his reverse platoon split, Aaron Civale will be in a good position matching up with 7 hitters in the projected offense who hit from the other side in today’s game.
,In his last start, Aaron Civale was in good form and conceded 2 ER.
,Aaron Civale has utilized his four-seam fastball 6.9% less often this year (9.9%) than he did last year (16.8%).
,Shea Langeliers has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph dropping to 89.6-mph in the last week.
,Cal Raleigh’s BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Logan Gilbert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Gelof in today’s matchup.
,Zack Gelof will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
,Zack Gelof has been cold in recent games, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) over the last week.
,Leo Rivas has been cold of late, posting a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) in the past two weeks.
,Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Soderstrom in today’s matchup.
,Tyler Soderstrom’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 91.6-mph average last year has fallen to 89.5-mph.
,In the last week, Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal figure of 92.3 mph to 89.7 mph.
,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Max Muncy today.
,Lawrence Butler’s launch angle this year (4.6°) is significantly lower than his 9.2° mark last season.
,Aaron Civale will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
,Aaron Civale has compiled an 8.5% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, placing in the 15th percentile.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
,Jacob Wilson’s 84.6-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the game since the start of last season: 1st percentile.
,Notching a -5.3° launch angle in the past week suggests that Carlos Cortes has been finding it challenging to lift the ball recently, which is a key component of hitting for power.
,In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Carlos Cortes has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .380 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .318.
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