ATH @ SEA






Athletics @ Mariners Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, April 21st
Time : 21/04/26 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positives for the Athletics Series Game 2 Game Today
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.
,Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Tyler Soderstrom will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.
,Tyler Soderstrom has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
,Among every team today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
,Luis Castillo has averaged 97.5 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 97th percentile.
,The Athletics have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zack Gelof, Nick Kurtz, Max Muncy).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-best park in baseball for strikeouts.
,Nick Kurtz projects as the 10th-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Nick Kurtz is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.
,In MLB, T-Mobile Park has the 9th-lowest average fence height.
,Nick Kurtz will have the handedness advantage over Luis Castillo in today’s game… and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split.
,Nick Kurtz has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
,Josh Naylor is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
,The #10 venue in MLB for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
,Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,When estimating his batting average talent, Jacob Wilson is projected as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Jacob Wilson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,HRs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the shallowest in the league.
,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.
,Rob Refsnyder will hold the platoon advantage over Jacob Lopez in today’s matchup.
,The Athletics infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst out of every team in action today.
,Cal Raleigh projects as the 6th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Cal Raleigh is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
,Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
,As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jacob Lopez in the 78th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.
,Considering that groundball pitchers have a substantial edge over groundball hitters, Jacob Lopez and his 40.7% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position in today’s outing going up against 2 opposing GB hitters.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
,Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Batting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Randy Arozarena will have the upper hand in today’s game.
,Nick Kurtz projects as the 18th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today’s game… and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.
,Jeff McNeil pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
,In terms of plate discipline, Jeff McNeil’s ability is quite good, putting up a 1.12 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 97th percentile.
,The #10 stadium in the league for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
,Max Muncy pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
,Max Muncy has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.3% rate last season to 15.9% this season.
,As it relates to his home run ability, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Considering Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Lawrence Butler will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.
,Lawrence Butler has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.
,Jeff McNeil’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 47.3% to 55.6%.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 79th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
,J.P. Crawford has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
,J.P. Crawford will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
,Max Muncy has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.7-mph average to last year’s 87.1-mph average.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst park in MLB for batting average.
,Jacob Lopez’s cutter utilization has spiked by 6.4% from last season to this one (14.2% to 20.6%) .
,Seattle’s 87.9-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in the league: #29 overall.
,Carlos Cortes is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
,Carlos Cortes will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today’s game… and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split.
,As it relates to plate discipline, Jacob Wilson’s skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.68 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 83rd percentile.
,Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
,Cole Young will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
,When it comes to his batting average, Cole Young has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .219 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236.
,Posting a 1.62 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Cole Young has displayed impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 85th percentile.
,When it comes to his home run skill, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
,Shea Langeliers pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
,Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Connor Joe will have the upper hand in today’s game.
,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
,Connor Joe has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .225 rate is a good deal lower than his .279 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Cole Young has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 10.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 16.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,J.P. Crawford has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.4-mph average to last year’s 87.3-mph EV.
,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
,Shea Langeliers is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Seattle (#3-worst of all teams on the slate today).
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
,Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
,As it relates to his BABIP ability, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 8th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have an advantage today.
,Despite posting a .249 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Lawrence Butler has had bad variance on his side given the .067 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.
,Lawrence Butler’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) has been 113.6 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 76th percentile.
,Carlos Cortes has recorded a .293 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
,Using Statcast metrics, Jacob Wilson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .297.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Naylor’s true offensive skill to be a .315, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .110 difference between that figure and his actual .205 wOBA.
,Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today’s game.
,Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 20.6% to 27.3%.
Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Series Game 2 Game Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the worst stadium in the game for left-handed batting average.
,Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to worse offense.
,Less offense (and more strikeouts) are strongly linked with cold weather, and the weather forecast for this game predicts the 4th-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 56°.
,Tyler Soderstrom will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
,Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 93.9-mph average last year has decreased to 91.8-mph.
,Mitch Garver, the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,T-Mobile Park grades out as the #29 stadium in MLB for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
,Nick Kurtz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
,From last year to this one, Nick Kurtz’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 20.7% to 15.8%.
,Jacob Lopez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Josh Naylor in today’s game.
,Josh Naylor’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 89.3-mph mark last season has fallen to 87-mph.
,With a .205 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games, Josh Naylor has been struggling at the plate.
,Luis Castillo will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Wilson in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
,Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jacob Wilson in today’s game.
,Jacob Wilson’s launch angle this season (5°) is significantly lower than his 8.9° figure last season.
,The #1 stadium in the game for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Jacob Lopez in today’s matchup.
,Extreme groundball batters like Cal Raleigh usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Jacob Lopez.
,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.
,The Seattle Mariners have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Lopez in this game.
,Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jacob Lopez today.
,In his previous GS, Jacob Lopez didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out and only managed to post 0 Ks.
,Jacob Lopez’s 89.8-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 3rd percentile out of all SPs.
,Randy Arozarena has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11.6% rate last season has fallen off to 6.5% this year.
,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this year (3.3°) is quite a bit worse than his 13.4° mark last year.
,As it relates to his home run talent, Jeff McNeil ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.
,Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jeff McNeil in today’s matchup.
,Cal Raleigh has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 19% rate last season has fallen to 9.1% this season.
,Max Muncy is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
,Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Max Muncy will be at a gigantic disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.
,Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lawrence Butler in today’s matchup.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeff McNeil in the 18th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
,Lawrence Butler’s launch angle this season (3.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 9.2° figure last year.
,J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.
,Jacob Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against J.P. Crawford in today’s game.
,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Max Muncy today.
,Jacob Lopez has tallied 14.5 outs per game per started since the start of last season, checking in at the 17th percentile.
,The Seattle Mariners have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward,T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF fences among all stadiums.
,J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 19% to 12.5%.
,Carlos Cortes’s BABIP skill is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,Carlos Cortes will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
,Carlos Cortes’s speed has dropped off this season. His 26.61 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.53 ft/sec now.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Wilson in the 2nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.
,From last year to this one, Tyler Soderstrom’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 15.3% to 10%.
,Cole Young is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.
,Hitting from the same side that Jacob Lopez throws from, Cole Young will have a tough matchup today.
,In terms of his home runs, Nick Kurtz has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His 39.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 30.1.
,Luis Castillo will have the handedness advantage over Shea Langeliers today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
,Shea Langeliers will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Joe in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
,Connor Joe is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.
,When it comes to his home run ability, Cole Young ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
,There has been a decrease in Julio Rodriguez’s average exit velocity this season, from 91.9 mph last year to 88.6 mph now,There has been a significant decline in Julio Rodriguez’s launch angle from last season’s 9.3° to 6.3° this season.
,This year, there has been a decline in Julio Rodriguez’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.23 ft/sec last year to 28.4 ft/sec currently.
,In terms of his home runs, Shea Langeliers has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 36.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 27.9.
,Since the start of last season, Connor Joe’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) is in the 17th percentile at 88.4 mph.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
,As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Carlos Cortes has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .360 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .318.
,Carlos Cortes has not been good at making hard contact. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (76 mph) rank him among MLB’s worst: in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.
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