Astros vs Mariners match player stats | 2026 Tuesday, September 22nd

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HOU @ SEA

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Astros @ Mariners Matchup Details

Teams : Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners

Date : Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 22nd
Time : 22/09/26 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Houston Astros Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,T-Mobile Park has the 10th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.

,T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers.

,The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the worst among every team playing today.

,Cam Smith’s launch angle of late (36° in the past week’s worth of games) is considerably higher than his 12.2° seasonal mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,The Houston Astros infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team on the slate today.

,Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Daulton Varsho will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Daulton Varsho pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 16.2°, Daulton Varsho has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 23.6° angle in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 13th-best hitter in MLB when assessing his batting average ability.

,Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Cristian Javier throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,J.P. Crawford will hold the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

,Jose Altuve is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,The #7 park in the game for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,Jeremy Pena pulls many of his flyballs (34.8% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Christian Walker has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.1% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects T-Mobile Park as the 7th-best venue in the game for lefty home runs.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best batter in the league.

,Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have an advantage in today’s game.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Logan Gilbert’s overall pitching skill is in the 91st percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball right now.

,Logan Gilbert has averaged 94.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year, checking in at the 89th percentile.

,Compared to their .342 overall projected rate, the .326 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Houston Astros projected batting order in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup quite a bit a bit watered down.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s game) profiles as a good pitch framer.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst stadium in the league for batting average.

,Brock Rodden pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Brock Rodden will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Brock Rodden is very athletic, grading out in the 82nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.58 ft/sec this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 86th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Hitting from the opposite that Cristian Javier throws from, Josh Naylor will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (34.6% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Cal Raleigh projects as the 4th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

,As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Cristian Javier in today’s matchup.

,Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.5% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Cam Smith has been unlucky this year, compiling a .287 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .033 disparity.

,Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

,Checking in at the 75th percentile, Yainer Diaz sits with a .449 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lazaro Montes in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Hitting from the opposite that Cristian Javier throws from, Lazaro Montes will have an advantage in today’s game.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Daulton Varsho ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Yainer Diaz’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In notching a .272 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Yainer Diaz has performed in the 78th percentile.

,Cole Young will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cristian Javier in today’s matchup.

,Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Cole Young will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Jeremy Pena’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (46.3% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Over the past two weeks, Isaac Paredes’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.4-mph over the course of the season to 94.8-mph of late.

,Cristian Javier has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball on balls in play this year with a .308 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

,Cristian Javier has compiled a 13.1% Swinging Strike percentage this year, placing in the 87th percentile.

,Collectively, Seattle Mariners bats have done poorly as it relates to hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), ranking 6th-worst in the game.

,In the last 7 days, Jeremy Pena’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 20%.

,Isaac Paredes’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 42.2% on the season to 61.3% in the past 14 days.

,The Seattle Mariners have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Cal Raleigh, Lazaro Montes, Brock Rodden).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-best park in baseball for strikeouts.

,Josh Naylor will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Daulton Varsho’s true offensive ability to be a .302, indicating that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .024 disparity between that figure and his actual .278 wOBA.

,Lazaro Montes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,Lazaro Montes has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 97.8-mph.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Logan Gilbert in the 94th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Game Today

Cam Smith is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

,The #2 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.

,Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Cam Smith will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cam Smith in today’s matchup.

,In the last week, Cam Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.1% down to 0%.

,Cristian Javier will hold the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena today.

,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this year (9.8°) is considerably worse than his 13.4° mark last season.

,In the last week, Randy Arozarena’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.1%.

,Randy Arozarena has been lucky this year, notching a .372 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .349 — a .023 difference.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

,T-Mobile Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

,Daulton Varsho will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Cristian Javier will have the handedness advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

,Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, decreasing from 13.8% on the season to 2.9% over the past two weeks.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Dominic Canzone has been pinch hit for 20% of the time.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst park in MLB for lefty batting average.

,Dominic Canzone has been lucky this year, notching a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .027 difference.

,Posting a 9.500 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , J.P. Crawford is positioned in the 15th percentile for power.

,By putting up a .263 BABIP this year, J.P. Crawford has performed in the 16th percentile.

,Logan Gilbert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jose Altuve in today’s matchup.

,Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,In the past week, Jose Altuve’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 91.5 mph to 79.6 mph.

,Logan Gilbert will hold the platoon advantage against Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

,Jeremy Pena will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Jeremy Pena has displayed bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 6th percentile with a 4.39 K/BB rate.

,Christian Walker is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

,Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Christian Walker will have a disadvantage today.

,Christian Walker will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Christian Walker has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 84.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,J.P. Crawford has notched a .364 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, ranking in the 21st percentile.

,Cam Smith’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 88.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 79.4-mph over the last 7 days.

,Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Yordan Alvarez today.

,It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the Houston Astros offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the unluckiest offense in MLB this year.

,The 4th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in T-Mobile Park.

,Logan Gilbert has a reverse platoon split and will be disadvantaged being matched up with 6 same-handed bats in this outing.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brock Rodden in the 24th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Brock Rodden is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Brock Rodden has been pinch hit for 31% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,Josh Naylor has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card today.

,Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 90.3-mph mark last season has decreased to 88.3-mph.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 88.3 mph to 84.3 mph.

,Typically, bats like Cal Raleigh who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristian Javier.

,Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 39% to 31.6%.

,Cal Raleigh’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, going from 31.6% on the season to 22.2% in the last 14 days.

,T-Mobile Park ranks as the #30 stadium in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Logan Gilbert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz today.

,Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Yainer Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 91.9 mph to 81.6 mph.

,Yainer Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 13.3% to 9.2%.

,Yainer Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, decreasing from 9.2% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

,Lazaro Montes is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Lazaro Montes has been pulled from the game early 23% of the time.

,In the last week’s worth of games, Lazaro Montes’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 26.3%.

,Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 89.5-mph EV last year has fallen off to 86.7-mph.

,Daulton Varsho’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 89.7-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 87.7-mph in the last week.

,Cole Young is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,In the last week, Cole Young’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.1% down to 0%.

,Cole Young’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 90.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 85.1-mph over the past 7 days.

,There has been a significant decline in Jose Altuve’s launch angle from last season’s 18° to 10.7° this season.

,Isaac Paredes’s BABIP skill is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Logan Gilbert will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Isaac Paredes today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cristian Javier to throw 85 pitches in this game (14th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,It may be wise to expect improved performance for the Seattle Mariners offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

,With 7 hitters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Cristian Javier will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

,Cristian Javier will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,In his previous GS, Cristian Javier didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to tally 1 Ks.

,Lazaro Montes’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Isaac Paredes has been lucky this year, posting a .347 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .320 — a .027 gap.

,Logan Gilbert’s slider rate has dropped by 8.2% from last year to this one (35.2% to 27%) .

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.2°, Cole Young has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-3.3°) over the last two weeks.

,Over the last 14 days, Josh Naylor’s 9.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

,Christian Walker’s BABIP skill is projected in the 12th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Christian Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, decreasing from 14.5% on the season to 0% in the past week.

,Logan Gilbert will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his metrics across the board.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

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