
LAA @ SEA






Todays Game 3 Matchup Details
Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, July 24th
2024-07-24 15:40:00 EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Los Angeles at Seattle Game 3 Matchup Today
Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
T-Mobile Park has the 9th-shortest fences among all parks.
T-Mobile Park has the shallowest fences in MLB — generally good for HRs.
Nolan Schanuel will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo today… and even better, Castillo has a large platoon split.
Nolan Schanuel has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 3.8% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the past 7 days.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Anthony Rendon ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Anthony Rendon is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Anthony Rendon has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 89.6-mph.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Taylor Ward ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Taylor Ward is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.
Taylor Ward has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Taylor Ward has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 8.3% rate last season to 13.9% this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Luke Raley is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.
Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Luke Raley will have an edge in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Luke Raley will hold that advantage in today’s game.
When it comes to his home run talent, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo today… and moreover, Castillo has a large platoon split.
Mickey Moniak pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 4th-shallowest RF fences today.
Mickey Moniak has made big improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8% seasonal rate to 15% in the last 14 days.
Cal Raleigh projects as the 11th-best home run batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.
Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Cal Raleigh will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jo Adell has suffered from bad luck this year. His .284 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .321.
Placing in the 94th percentile, the hardest ball Jo Adell has connected with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 115.6 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.
Victor Robles has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (85% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Victor Robles pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Victor Robles will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Victor Robles has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 88.4-mph mark.
Victor Robles has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .352 rate is deflated compared to his .409 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Anthony Rendon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 16% to 20%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Rengifo in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Luis Rengifo is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Posting a .351 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Luis Rengifo is positioned in the 86th percentile.
Cal Raleigh has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.2-mph average to last season’s 89.6-mph EV.
Cal Raleigh’s launch angle lately (39.5° in the past week’s worth of games) is significantly better than his 18.8° seasonal figure.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Tyler Locklear will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Zach Neto has performed at a clip of 24.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 78th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Zach Neto and his 17.2° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 89th percentile, among the highest in Major League Baseball this year.
Luis Rengifo has compiled a .319 batting average this year, placing in the 99th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Josh Rojas is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
Josh Rojas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Griffin Canning in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Josh Rojas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Logan O’Hoppe is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.
Logan O’Hoppe pulls many of his flyballs (35.8% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Sporting a .335 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year, Logan O’Hoppe finds himself in the 76th percentile for hitting ability.
Zach Neto’s launch angle recently (20.6° over the last 7 days) is significantly higher than his 12° seasonal figure.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Luis Castillo’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 87th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game right now.
Luis Castillo is expected to throw 98 pitches in this game, which is the highest number of pitches for all pitchers on the slate today. This estimate is based on his inherent tendencies and the nature of the matchup.
It is scheduled that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Laz Diaz) in charge of the strike zone today.
Projected catcher Cal Raleigh projects as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
T-Mobile Park grades out as the #29 field in the game for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Jorge Polanco is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Jorge Polanco will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Dylan Moore pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Dylan Moore will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Dylan Moore has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 89.5-mph average.
Batting from the opposite that Griffin Canning throws from, Cade Marlowe will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Cade Marlowe pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Cade Marlowe will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Cade Marlowe and his 29.1% rank in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.
The Seattle Mariners projected batting order profiles as the 3rd-weakest on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill.
Over his last 3 starts, Griffin Canning has generated a big increase in his fastball spin rate: from 2104 rpm over the entire season to 2168 rpm recently.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run ability.
By putting up a 26.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jo Adell is ranked in the 86th percentile for power.
In the past two weeks, Taylor Ward has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 25.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 16.2°.
In notching a .442 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Luis Rengifo has performed in the 75th percentile.
In the past 7 days, Mickey Moniak’s 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.7%.
Mickey Moniak has been unlucky this year, posting a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .042 disparity.
The Seattle Mariners have 7 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Luke Raley, Cal Raleigh, Cade Marlowe, Tyler Locklear, Dylan Moore, Jorge Polanco, Jason Vosler).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles T-Mobile Park as the best venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play, and Cade Marlowe’s 23.8° mark (91st percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
In the last 7 days, Jorge Polanco’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.6% up to 16.7%.
When it comes to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Luis Castillo in the 78th percentile among all starters in MLB.
In the past 7 days, Josh Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.4-mph over the course of the season to 98.6-mph of late.
Logan O’Hoppe has compiled a .266 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to his batting average, Dylan Moore has been unlucky this year. His .206 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .232.
Wednesday Game 3 player match stat slumps with Angels vs Mariners Matchup
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 3rd-most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Nolan Schanuel will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Nolan Schanuel has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 14.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 9.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Grading out in the 19th percentile, Nolan Schanuel has notched a .173 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-worst venue in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.
Luis Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Anthony Rendon today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
Among every team today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.
Anthony Rendon will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
T-Mobile Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output.
Luis Castillo will have the handedness advantage against Taylor Ward in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Luke Raley has been pinch hit for 11% of the time.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the 2nd-worst stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.
Luke Raley has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 8% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks.
Mickey Moniak is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
This year, Mickey Moniak has been pulled from the game early in 24% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.
Anthony Rendon’s launch angle in recent games (4.4° over the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 14.6° seasonal angle.
Placing in the 2nd percentile, Anthony Rendon has put up a .119 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Griffin Canning in today’s game.
Cal Raleigh has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph dropping to 83.3-mph in the last 7 days.
Jo Adell is penciled in 9th in the batting order today.
The #2 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.
Luis Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jo Adell today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
Victor Robles has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 19% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Griffin Canning will hold the platoon advantage over Victor Robles in today’s matchup.
The switch-hitting Luis Rengifo will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Luis Castillo… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Rengifo in today’s matchup.
Cal Raleigh’s BABIP ability is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler Locklear is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Griffin Canning will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Locklear today.
Zach Neto is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today.
Luis Castillo will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Neto in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.
Luke Raley’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, going from 15.9% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.3) suggests that Luke Raley has had some very good luck this year with his 23.2 actual HR/600.
When assessing his home run skill, Josh Rojas ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Josh Rojas has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 17% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
When it comes to power, Josh Rojas is ranked in the 10th percentile, having averaged 7.7 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Given Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Logan O’Hoppe will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Zach Neto today.
Zach Neto has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 85-mph over the last 14 days.
The Los Angeles Angels have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season, In the majors, T-Mobile Park’s RF fences are the shallowest.
Luis Castillo’s 2167-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a substantial 120-rpm drop off from last year’s 2287-rpm rate.
Luis Castillo’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 GS (2102 rpm) has been considerably lower than than his seasonal rate (2167 rpm).
From last year to this one, Jorge Polanco’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 19.9% to 12.4%.
Jorge Polanco has compiled a .272 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.
Dylan Moore is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.
Griffin Canning will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dylan Moore in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cade Marlowe in the 6th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Cade Marlowe is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.
Since the start of last season, Cade Marlowe has been pulled from the game early in 21% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Griffin Canning in the 25th percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.
The Seattle Mariners have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future, Griffin Canning will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Over the past 14 days, Dylan Moore’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.
Luis Rengifo’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 91.7-mph EV last season has decreased to 88.7-mph.
Luis Rengifo’s launch angle this year (5.4°) is considerably lower than his 10.9° angle last year.
Griffin Canning’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.1 mph this season (92.9 mph) below where it was last season (94 mph).
Griffin Canning has notched a 16.1% Strikeout% this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.
Logan O’Hoppe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
In the last two weeks, Logan O’Hoppe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10% down to 0%.
It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Luis Castillo has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 61% of the time, ranking in the 100th percentile.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jo Adell today.
In the last week’s worth of games, Jo Adell’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 94.4 mph to 87 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cade Marlowe in the 11th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Taylor Ward will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Jorge Polanco has notched a .146 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 9th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dylan Moore in the 20th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Mickey Moniak in today’s matchup.
In the last week, Victor Robles’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.3% down to 11.1%.
