Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Los Angeles at Chicago Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Wrigley Field ranks as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.9-mph in this game, the best of the day for hitters.

Christopher Morel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.8% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The #10 stadium in the game for boosting base hits to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

Zach Neto pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Taylor Ward is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Wrigley Field as the 8th-best stadium in MLB for run-scoring.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Logan O’Hoppe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Logan O’Hoppe is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Michael Busch has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (51% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Seiya Suzuki in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field’s LF fences are the 5th-shallowest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Nico Hoerner is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Dansby Swanson will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Wrigley Field profiles as the #10 ballpark in the game for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Ian Happ is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Ian Happ will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Jose Soriano.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miles Mastrobuoni in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Soriano throws from, Miles Mastrobuoni will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The Los Angeles Angels have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Miles Mastrobuoni can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

The Los Angeles Angels have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jo Adell, Keston Hiura, Mickey Moniak).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Wrigley Field as the 10th-best venue in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Hayden Wesneski will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Hayden Wesneski was firing on all cylinders in his previous GS and notched 7 strikeouts.

Hayden Wesneski has gone to his slider 5.8% more often this season (38%) than he did last season (32.2%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Wrigley Field as the 7th-best park in the majors for lefty home runs.

Keston Hiura’s BABIP ability is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Keston Hiura has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keston Hiura in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Los Angeles Angels hitters as a unit rank near the bottom of the league this year ( 8th-worst) as it relates to their 88.5-mph average exit velocity.

The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Sunday Series Game 3 player match stat slumps with Angels vs Cubs Matchup

Christopher Morel is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Wrigley Field has the 7th-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.

Jose Soriano will have the handedness advantage over Christopher Morel in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Christopher Morel’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

Zach Neto is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hayden Wesneski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Neto today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Zach Neto today.

Zach Neto’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 88.8-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 83.1-mph in the last two weeks.

Zach Neto’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, going from 42.8% on the season to 12.5% over the past week.

Hayden Wesneski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Taylor Ward today.

Taylor Ward has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Taylor Ward will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Taylor Ward’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 93.5-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 84.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Batting from the same side that Hayden Wesneski throws from, Logan O’Hoppe encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Logan O’Hoppe will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

When it comes to his batting average, Logan O’Hoppe has experienced some positive variance this year. His .280 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260.

Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field’s RF fences are the 5th-deepest.

Michael Busch has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 3.8% over the past 14 days.

When it comes to his batting average, Michael Busch has had some very good luck this year. His .262 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .217.

Hitting from the same side that Jose Soriano throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Seiya Suzuki has had some very good luck this year. His .343 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .326.

Christopher Morel ranks in the 10th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (37.5% rate this year).

Christopher Morel has compiled a .215 BABIP this year, grading out in the 2nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 3rd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Hitting from the same side that Jose Soriano throws from, Nico Hoerner will be in a tough position in today’s game.

In today’s game, Nico Hoerner is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.1% rate (91st percentile).

Nico Hoerner’s launch angle lately (4.9° in the last 14 days) is considerably lower than his 8.8° seasonal figure.

Today, Cody Bellinger is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.5% rate (89th percentile).

Over the last 14 days, Cody Bellinger’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.4% down to 0%.

Cody Bellinger’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 90.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 86.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Cody Bellinger has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .274 mark is a fair amount higher than his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jose Soriano will hold the platoon advantage over Dansby Swanson in today’s matchup.

Dansby Swanson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.

With a .283 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Dansby Swanson finds himself in the 25th percentile.

Ian Happ has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 86.4-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ian Happ’s true offensive skill to be a .330, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .017 difference between that mark and his actual .347 wOBA.

Grading out in the 20th percentile, Dansby Swanson sits with a .214 batting average this year.

Miles Mastrobuoni is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Miles Mastrobuoni’s 2.9% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) is in the 20th percentile since the start of last season.

Miles Mastrobuoni has recorded a .248 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 21st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miles Mastrobuoni in the 13th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Miles Mastrobuoni has performed at a clip of 5.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 14th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Hayden Wesneski is projected to throw 78 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of the day.

Lance Barksdale grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone today.

Out of all starting pitchers, Hayden Wesneski’s fastball spin rate of 2110 rpm ranks in the 15th percentile this year.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Cody Bellinger has been very fortunate this year. His .326 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .308.

Hayden Wesneski will hold the platoon advantage over Keston Hiura in today’s game.

Keston Hiura has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.9%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Keston Hiura today.

In terms of his home runs, Logan O’Hoppe has been very fortunate this year. His 26.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.2.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.243) provides evidence that Seiya Suzuki has had positive variance on his side this year with his .262 actual batting average.

The Los Angeles Angels have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, Wrigley Field grades out as the #6 field in the game for base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Michael Busch has had some very good luck this year. His .349 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .313.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 13.8°, Dansby Swanson’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly lately (7° in the past 14 days).