Marshall: Week 4 Technical Edges

Marshall: Week 4 Technical Edges
GEORGIA STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA (Thursday, September 21)… Road team has won and covered last three years in series. Panthers covered 4 of last 5 on road a year ago. Tech edge-slight to Georgia State, based on series trends.
WISCONSIN at PURDUE (Friday, September 22)… Wiscy 1-2 vs. line for Luke Fickell, who has covered just 4 of last 16 on board including his days at Cincy. Badgers 1-6 vs. spread last seven as visitor. Boilermakers however haven’t beaten Wiscy outright since 2003, 3-13 last 16 vs. spread in series (though Purdue 3-4 vs. line last seven vs. Badgers). Tech edge-slight to Wisconsin, based on series trends.
NC STATE at VIRGINIA (Friday, September 12)… Wolfpack in a spread rut, just 2-10 last 12 on board since early 2022. Also 6-3-1 under last ten vs. FBS-level foes since early 2022. NCS also 0-6 last six as chalk. Tech edge-slight to Virginia, based on recent NCS negatives.
BOISE STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE (Friday, September 22)…  SDSU 5-2 vs. spread in seven meetings vs. Boise since Broncos joined Mountain West, though Broncos rolled 35-13 in 2022. Aztecs just 3-7 vs. spread at new Snapdragon Stadium since last year. Tech edge- slight to Boise State, based on team trends.
AIR FORCE at SAN JOSE STATE (Friday, September 22)…Falcs dropped first two vs spread in 2023.  Teams haven’t met annually in MW but Spartans have covered last three meetings. SJSU 5-6 as dog since 2021. Spartans also 3-1 over this season, 6-2 over since late 2022 though under last week at Toledo. Tech edge-slight to San Jose State and over, based on recent and totals trends.
GEORGIA TECH at WAKE FOREST…  Teams haven’t met since 2017.  Jackets 7-4 vs. spread last ten vs. FBS-level opposition.  Deacs 3-6 last nine as chalk. Tech on 7-1 over run since late 2022. Tech edge-Over and slight to Georgia Tech, based on totals and team trends.
MIAMI-FLA at TEMPLE… Rivals from the days of Big East football, haven’t met since 2003. Cristobal has Canes off to 3-0 SU start (2-0 vs. FBS) in 2023 after 2-10 mark vs. number last year. Temple covered 5 of last 6 as year ago but has started 0-2 vs. number against FBS foes in 2023. Tech edge-slight to Miami, based on recent trends.
ARMY at SYRACUSE.. Black Knights 8-1 vs. spread last nine  since mid 2022. Covers in last three as dog. Cuse has covered first three this season including first two at home in 2023, but was 0-3 vs. spread last three at Dome vs. FBS foes last season. Tech edge-slight to Army, based on team trends.
TEXAS TECH at WEST VIRGINIA… Red Raiders have won and covered last four meetings. Mounties only 4-5 vs. spread last nine at home vs. Big 12 foes. Tech edge-Texas Tech, based on series trends.
   
VIRGINIA TECH at MARSHALL…  Hokies on 8-17 spread skid since early 2021 (5-9 for Brent Pry). VPI 4-8 vs. line last 12 as visitor. Herd 5-1 vs. spread last six against FBS opposition, also under 15-6 since mid 2021. Tech edge-Under and Marshall, based on “totals” and team trends.
UAB at GEORGIA… Bulldogs 0-5-1 vs. number last six laying 30 or more, though they did powder Blazers by 56-7 count in 2021. Kirby Smart on 13-7 under run. Trent Dilfer 0-2 vs. spread vs. FBS opposition while at UAB. Tech edge-slight to under, based on totals trends.
NEW MEXICO at UMASS… Lobos over two of first three this season, Minutemen over three of first four in 2023. Tech edge-slight to over, based on totals trends.
MISSISSIPPI STATE at SOUTH CAROLINA… Teams haven’t met since 2016. Bulldogs have won five of last six outright (4-2 vs. line) since late 2022. Gamecocks “over” 5-1 last six at Williams-Brice. Tech edge-slight to over, based on team and totals trends.
BOSTON COLLEGE at LOUISVILLE… Home team has won last four and covered all of last five meetings. Even with cover vs. FSU, Eagles on 5-12 and 7-15 spread skids dating to 2021. BC 2-5 vs. spread last seven on ACC trail. Cards have covered last six in the “ville. Tech edge-Louisville, based on team trends..
AKRON at INDIANA... Even after loss at UK, Zips have actually covered four of last five and five of last seven as visitor. Hoosiers have covered first three this season but were just 6-19 previous 25 vs. spread. IU was also just 1-5 last six as chalk entering 2023 before Indiana State cover. Tech edge-slight to Akron, based on extended trends.
FLORIDA STATE at CLEMSON… Noles haven’t beaten Dabo since 2014. Tigers have also covered last five meetings. FSU on 6-3 spread run since mid 2022, had covered last six reg season away from Tallahassee prior to BC escape last week. Dabo could be home dog for first time since 2016 vs. ‘Ville. Tech edge-slight to Clemson, based on series trends.
DUKE at UCONN…  UConn 10-6 vs. line for Jim Mora, covered five of last six at Pratt & Whitney Stadium, though just 1-2 vs. line this season. Mike Elko 11-5 vs. line for Duke since last year,  though only 3-3 vs. spread last six away from Durham. Huskies 11-4-1 under for Mora. Tech edge-Under and slight to Duke, based on totals and team trends
UTSA at TENNESSEE...  Roadrunners have dropped four straight vs. line since late 2022 but are 9-3 vs. points as dog for Traylor since 2020.  Vols 11-3 vs. line against FBS foes since 2022, and were 6-1 vs. spread at Knoxville last year (before non-cover vs. FCS Austin Peay on Sept. 9). Tech edge-slight to UTSA, based on team trends.
NORTH CAROLINA at PITTSBURGH… Home team has won and covered last four series meetings. Panthers low-scoring vs. WVU in backyard Brawl last week but still over 11-4 since 2022.  Tech edge-slight to Pitt and over, based on series and totals trends.
BYU at KANSAS… First official Big 12 game for BYU. Cougs were on 5-13 spread skid since late 2021 prior to Arkansas upset. Jayhawks 7-1-1 vs. spread last nine at Lawrence. Tech edge-Kansas, based on team trends.
RUTGERS at MICHIGAN… Jim Harbaugh set to return in this game for Wolverines. Greg Schiano has covered 2 of 3 vs. Michigan (though not last season when Harbaugh rolled 52-17), and is 8-4-1 vs. number on Big Ten road since returning to Scarlet Knights in 2020. Michigan only 3-6-1 vs. spread last ten at Ann Arbor, but now under five straight at home.  Tech edge-Under and slight to Rutgers, based on totals and team trends.
OKLAHOMA at CINCINNATI… First Big 12 game for Bearcats. Even after Miami-O loss, Scott Satterfield teams on 7-3 spread run since mid 2022 (‘Ville and Cincy). Sooners 1-6-1 vs. points last eight as Big 12 visitor. Tech edge-Cincinnati, based on team trends.
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at BALL STATE… Eagles won and covered at home vs. Cards last season, After near-miss cover at Wiscy last week, Clay Helton 5-2 vs. spread on non-Sun Belt road with GSU. Ball State only 4-8 vs. number at Muncie since 2021. Tech edge-Georgia Southern, based on team trends.
RICE at SOUTH FLORIDA … Owls make AAC debut. Rice 10-4 last 14 vs. spread in reg season, 4-2 last six vs. spot as visitor. Even after Bama cover, Bulls just 2-6 vs. spread last seven in Tampa. Tech edge-Rice, based on team trends.
WESTERN MICHIGAN at TOLEDO… Home team has won and covered last four meetings. Broncos on 8-1 under run since mid 2022. Rockets 5-3 vs. number last eight at Glass Bowl. Tech edge-Under and slight to Toledo, based on totals and series trends.
OKLAHOMA STATE at IOWA STATE… Mike Gundy has covered last four in series. Last four meetings under as well. Cowboys 9-0 under since mid 2022. Cyclones 1-4-1 vs. line last six vs. FBS-level foes at Ames. ISU 13-3 under since late 2021. Tech edge-Under, based on “totals” trends.
MINNESOTA at NORTHWESTERN… PJ Fleck has brutalized Cats last three meetings (Minn 2-0-1 in those, no win by fewer than 16 points). Gophers 8-3 vs. spread last 11 on Big Ten road. NU 8-19 vs. spread since 2021. Minn also on 9-3-1 “under” run since early 2022. Tech edge-Minnesota and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.
FLORIDA ATLANTIC at ILLINOIS… Tom Herman was 10-5 as a dog away from home in his years at Houston and Texas before blowout loss at Clemson. Bret Bielema no covers last 4 or 6 of last 8 since late 2022. Illini 1-5 vs. spread last six at Champaign-Urbana. Tech edge-slight to FAU, based on extended trends.
SOUTHERN MISS at ARKANSAS STATE… Golden Eagles had covered 14 of their last 17 before running into Florida State on September 9. Butch Jones on 1-6 spread skid vs. FBS-level foes since late 2022 for Red Wolves. Tech edge-Southern Miss, based on team trends.
JAMES MADISON at UTAH STATE… Even after win at Troy, Dukes just 3-6 vs. spread since mid 2022, also 7-4 over last eleven vs. FBS-level foes. Utags over 5-2 last seven after Air Force game. Tech edge-slight to over, based on totals trends.
UCLA at UTAH… Bruins won handily at Rose Bowl last year, breaking five-game series win and cover streak for Utes. Chip Kelly 7-3 vs. spread last ten as visitor, 6-4 last ten as dog. Utah 6-2 vs. line last eight, 9-3 last 12 vs. line at Salt Lake City. Tech edge-slight to Utah, based on extended trends.
USC at ARIZONA STATE… SC  had been over ten straight prior to taking foot off pedal vs. Stanford. Sun Devils have covered last three meetings, but ASU 0-3 vs. spread for Kenny Dillingham and now 5-10 vs. line since start of last season. Tech edge-Over and slight to SC, based on totals and team trends.
COLORADO at OREGON... Deion Sanders 3-0 SU and 2-1 vs. line with Buffs. Ducks 9-1 vs. spread last ten at Eugene, also over 8-2 last eleven at Autzen Stadium. Tech edge-Over and slight to Oregon, based on “totals” and extended trends.
CALIFORNIA at WASHINGTON...  Golden Bears have covered last four in series, including a pair of upset wins. Cal 9-4 as dog since 2021 for Justin Wilcox, and 16-6 last 22 in role. Huskies 6-3 vs. spread at Seattle for Kalen DeBoer, also over 9-6-1 since last season. Tech edge-Cal and slight to over, based on series and totals trends.
OREGON STATE at WASHINGTON STATE… Beavers now on 13-3 spread run since start of last season. Also ten SU wins in a row ((-1 vs. line, spread L last week vs. SD State). Cougs 15-4 vs. spread in reg season vs FBS foes for Jake Dickert. Tech edge-slight to WSU, based on team trends.
OHIO at BOWLING GREEN… Bobcats have won and covered five of last six meetings. Ohio has covered last four and seven of last eight on MAC road.  Bobcats on 7-1 under run since late 2022. Falcons 5-8 vs. points last 13 vs. FBS-level foes. Tech edge-Ohio and under, based on series and totals trends.
MARYLAND at MICHIGAN STATE… Terps have covered four of last six in series. Spartans 5-14 vs. spread last 19 as Big Ten host since late 2018. Also 7-1 over last eight as Big Ten host. Tech edge-Maryland and slight to over, based on team and totals trends.
KENTUCKY at VANDERBILT… Dores have covered last three meetings. Cats 14-2 “under” since late 2021. Vandy 0-4 vs. spread in 2023, 3-8 last 11 vs. number. Tech edge-“Under, ” based on “totals” trends.
SMU at TCU... Metroplex War for the Skillet. Interesting that teams have split identical 42-34 scorelines the past two seasons, road team winning each. Visiting team 7-0-1 vs. line last eight meetings. Before facing FCS Prairie View, SMU was 6-11 vs. spread since late 2021. Tech edge-slight to SMU, based on series trends.
LA TECH at NEBRASKA… Bulldogs just 4-8 vs. spread last 11 vs. FBS-level foes, also 1-7 vs. spread away for Sonny Cumbie.  Tech also just 1-5 for Cumbie in road dog role that was so good for several years under Skip Holtz. Matt Rhule 2-1 vs. line with Huskers, who actually covered three of last four at home a season ago. Nebraska “under” 11-4 since 2022.  Tech edge-“Under” and  Nebraska, based on “totals” and team trends.
TULSA at NORTHERN ILLINOIS…Golden Hurricane involved in high-scoring battle vs. OU last week but still under 7-4-1 since early 2022.  Huskies 0-7 as chalk last season. Tech edge- Tulsa and slight to under, based on team and “totals” trends.
MEMPHIS vs MISSOURI (at the Dome at America’s Center, St Louis)… Memphis has have now covered 5 of last 6 away from Liberty Bowl Stadium, after big struggles away earlier in Ryan Silverfield era. Mizzou just 1-5 last six as chalk. Tech edge-Memphis, based on team trends.
UCF at KANSAS STATE... Big 12 debut for Knights. Gus Malzahn no covers last four away from Orlando. Even after Mizzou loss., Cats now on 11-5 spread uptick since late in 2021 campaign. Tech edge-Kansas State, based on team trends.
OLE MISS at ALABAMA…Lane Kiffin 2-1 vs. spread against Nick Saban since taking over Rebs in 2020. Kiffin 6-3 last nine as dog. Saban 9-3-1 at home vs. SEC since 2020. Tech edge-slight to Bama, based on extended trends.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at SOUTH ALABAMA… Jim McElwain and CMU cover at Nore Dame, but just  3-8 last eleven vs. spread since early 2022. Though Chips 5-2 last six as non-conference road dog. CMU also on 6-1 over run since late 2022. Even after blowout win at Ok State, Jags covers only one of last six since late 2022, also on 9-6-1 over run. Tech edge-slight to “over,” based on totals trends.
NEVADA at TEXAS STATE… Wolf Pack’s last SU win was early in 2022 at Reno vs. Bobcats, since then 13 straight losses, 3-10 vs. line in those games. Texas State 3-0 vs. line for new HC GJ Kinne. Tech edge-Texas State, based on recent trends.
TEXAS at BAYLOR…  Bears have covered 4 of last 5 in series. Bears 9-4 as dog since 2021.  Sarkisian 4-7 last eleven as chalk, just 2-5 vs line last seven on Big 12 trail. Tech edge-Baylor, based on team trends
ARKANSAS at LSU… Last three games all decided by 3 points, all “under” as well. Sam Pittman 13-7 as dog with Razorbacks since 2020. Brian Kelly 7-1 vs. spread at Baton Rouge with Tigers. Tech edge-slight to “under” and  Arkansas, based on “totals” and extended trends.
WESTERN KENTUCKY at TROY… Troy won this game on road last season in mild upset. Trojans however have failed to cover first three this season after 11-3 spread mark year ago. Tops were on 15-5 spread uptick for Tyson Helton since mid 2021 before running into Ohio State at Columbus last week. Tech edge-slight to WKU, based on team trends.
BUFFALO at ULL-LAFAYETTE… Ragin’ Cajuns 5-1 last six vs spread at home. Bulls, however, 6-1-1 vs spread last eight away. Tech edge-slight to Buffalo, based on team trends.
AUBURN at TEXAS A&M… Teams split past two seasons, home side winning and covering each. Tigers on 7-2 “over” run since mid 2022. Jimbo no covers last four as SEC chalk, 4-7 overall last ten as chalk. Tech edge-slight to “‘over” and Auburn, based on “totals” and team trends.
EASTERN MICHIGAN at JACKSONVILLE STATE… Underdog side has covered in last 13 Eagles games!. Gamecocks under in first three FBS games. Tech edge-Eastern Michigan and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NEW MEXICO STATE at HAWAII…  Teams met three times the past two seasons, Ags covering last two. NMSU did cover 6 of last 7 for Jerry Kill in 2022 and 1-2 vs. spread thus far in 2023. Rainbows 11-4 vs. line last 15 for Timmy Chang since early 2022, but only 4-13 SU for Chang. UH also under 6-2 last eight in Honolulu. Tech edge-slight to under, based on totals trends. .
LIBERTY at FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL… Jamey Chadwell has won and covered his first three for Flames. Underdog side however has covered in last six Panthers games since late 2022, and Mike MacIntyre’s FIU 4-1 last five as home dog. Tech edge-slight to FIU, based on team trends.
CHARLOTTE at FLORIDA...Billy Napier 9-6 vs. spread in reg season with Gators, though only 3-5 as chalk.  Florida under 5-2 since late 2022. 49ers under 6-3 since mid 2022 (1-1 for Biff Poggi). Tech edge-slight to under, based on totals trends.
APP STATE at WYOMING… Mounties only 5-10 vs. spread since last season but have covered last pair on 2023 . Craig Bohl 2-7 last nine as chalk for Wyo. Cowboys 7-2 under since late 2022. Tech edge-slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.
COLORADO STATE at MIDDLE TENNESSEE… Rams, as 14-point chalk,  lost heavy 34-19 verdict to Blue Raiders at Fort Collins last year.  CSU 11-3 “under” for Jay Norvell since last season but “over” first two in 2023, and Rams 4-1 last five as road dog after CU effort. Tech edge-slight to CSU and “under,” based on team and extended “totals” trends. .
SAM HOUSTON at HOUSTON… Bearkats have covered both and also been  way under their first two as an FBS member. Cougs 2-7 as chalk since last season. Tech edge-slight to Sam Houston and “under,” based on recent and “totals” trends.
OHIO STATE at NOTRE DAME… Irish covered in opener last season. ND was 3-1 as dog for Marcus Freeman in his debut season of 2022. Buckeyes 2-6 vs. line last eight since late 2022 (0-2 this season). OSU 2-6 vs. number last eight away from Big Horseshoe. Bucks also “under” first two this season after 12-3 “over” entering 2023. Tech edge-Notre Dame, based on team trends.
IOWA at PENN STATE... Even after a rare over vs. WMU, rugged Hawkeyes now “under” 12-5 since late in 2021.  Kirk Ferentz also 6-4 last ten as dog, but  James Franklin now on 9-0-1 spread surge since mid 2022 for Nittany Lions, who also over 11-5 since 2022.  Tech edge-slight to Penn State, based on recent trends.
UNLV at UTEP…Rebels 9-4 vs. spread away since 2021, also six straight covers vs. non-Mountain West opposition. Miners 5-10 vs spread vs FBS foes since last season, also 5-10-1 under since last season. Tech edge-UNLV and slight to under,  based on team and totals trends
KENT STATE at FRESNO STATE...Golden Flashes under 8-3 vs. FBS-level foes since early last season. Jeff Tedford’s Bulldogs 9-3 vs. line since early 2022, with covers last three as DD chalk vs. FBS-level foes. Tech edge-Fresno State, based on recent trends.