It took half of the season to get here, but there are now two familiar names listed as consensus favorites to win the Super Bowl.
Tampa Bay is the ‘chalk’ at every book, with a price ranging from 9/2 (Westgate) to +550 (Circa Sports). Kansas City is the favorite coming out of the AFC, with the best available price listed at offshore sportsbook BetOnline (+700).
The Buccaneers were co-favorites with Buffalo for most of the season, but the Bills have dropped to 9/1 following two losses in their last four games. Tampa Bay has now won consecutive games over the Giants and Colts, moving to 8-3 overall this season.
Kansas City fell as low as 16/1 when it had a 3-4 record through the first seven weeks of the season, but the Chiefs have won four consecutive games to get to 7-4. They are coming off a 19-9 win over Dallas and had their bye in Week 12.
The Chiefs are -225 favorites in the tight AFC West Division. They currently have a one-game lead over the Chargers, Raiders and Broncos—they will face all three teams over the next three weeks.
Kansas City is also a +330 ‘chalk’ to win the AFC. Buffalo has dropped to +350, while New England has moved all the way up to +450 after extending its winning streak to six games with a win over Tennessee on Sunday. Baltimore (+550) is the only other team priced inside of 10/1 to win the conference.
The Ravens are currently listed at -175 to win the AFC North, but they are going to have to fend off Cincinnati (+200) and Cleveland (+900). Buffalo is now a slight -140 favorite over New England (+115) in the AFC East.
Tampa Bay has the shortest odds (+275) to win the NFC, despite trailing Arizona (+350) and Green Bay (+350) as it currently stands. Dallas (+550 and Los Angeles (+650) are both one game back of the Buccaneers in the standings.
Buccaneers quarterback Tom Brady has swapped places with Buffalo quarterback Josh Allen at the top of the MVP betting market. Brady is now a +350 favorite and Allen has the second-shortest odds at +450. Aaron Rodgers (+600) and Patrick Mahomes (10/1) could also jump into the conversation.
New England quarterback Mac Jones has a stronghold on the Offensive Rookie of the Year betting market following the six-game winning streak. He is the -300 favorite in what appears to be a two-man race with Ja’Marr Chase (+225).
Micah Parsons is a heavy -500 favorite to win Defensive Rookie of the Year and Dak Prescott is -400 to be the Comeback Player of the Year. Tennessee head coach Mike Vrable was the +175 ‘chalk’ to win NFL Coach of the Year two weeks ago, but he has plummeted to +800 following consecutive losses.
New England’s Bill Belichick has been propelled to a +300 favorite after the Patriots’ unexpected hot streak. Kliff Kingsbury (+400) and Matt LaFleur (+600) are also in the mix.