Brooks Koepka’s dominating weekend at the PGA Championship has generated interesting questions about how long he can sustain this current run of success.
He’s now won each of the last two PGA Championships and the last two US Opens. Koepka also has six other top-10 finishes in major competitions since 2014, including a runner-up finish to Tiger Woods in the 2019 Masters.
So how many majors will he win?
If you have a guess, the folks at Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook have a proposition for you: How many majors will Koepka win by his 50th birthday on March 3, 2040?
That total includes the four majors he’s already won, meaning he’d just have to double his output over the next 21 years in order to cash on the ‘over.’
It’s worth noting that only six golfers have ever reached the eight-major benchmark: Jack Nicklaus (18), Woods (15), Walter Hagen (11), Ben Hogan (9), Gary Player (9) and Tom Watson (8). That partially explains the heavy -150 juice on the under.
Still, it seems possible Koepka could fly over the 7.5 mark if he sustains his current run. He’s finished in the top six in six of his last eight majors. There are still two more majors on the calendar for this season, starting with the U.S. Open on June 13.
It’s also worth considering Koepka raises his game higher than any other PGA Tour player for major championships. According to FiveThirtyEight, a staggering 57 percent of Koepka’s career wins on the tour have come in majors. The next closest? Angel Cabrera at 33 percent. Tiger Woods is sixth at just over 17 percent.
At a press conference prior to his PGA Championship win, Koepka explained why he believes majors are the easiest tournaments to win.
“165 in the field, so you figure at least 80 of them I’m just going to beat,” he said. “From there, the other — you figure about half of them won’t play well from there, so you’re down to about maybe 35. And then from 35, some of them just — pressure is going to get to them. It only leaves you with a few more, and you’ve just got to beat those guys.”
If you’re willing to kick the money down the road for a few years, this could be a worthwhile bet. If you correctly bet the over, the book confirmed you won’t have to wait until 2040 to cash the ticket.