UGA listed as a 16-point favorite vs. LSU in SECCG

DraftKings has unbeaten Georgia installed as a 16-point favorite vs. LSU in the SEC Championship Game on Dec. 3.

As of Monday afternoon, DraftKings had Georgia (10-0 straight up, 6-4 against the spread) listed as a 16-point favorite vs. LSU in the SEC Championship Game on Dec. 3 in Atlanta.

UGA has won 12 games in a row since losing to Alabama in last year’s SECCG. The Bulldogs are off a 45-19 win at Mississippi St. this past Saturday as 16.5-point road ‘chalk.’ They’re 4-1 ATS in their last five games, with the lone non-cover coming in a 42-20 win over Florida as 23-point favorites three weeks ago.

LSU (8-2 SU, 6-4 ATS) clinched the SEC West this past Saturday by virtue of its win at Arkansas and Ole Miss’s loss vs. Alabama. The Tigers won a 13-10 decision in Fayetteville as 5.5-point road favorites on a chilly afternoon in the Ozarks.

True freshman linebacker Harold Perkins was the catalyst against Arkansas, recording eight tackles, four sacks, two forced fumbles and one pass broken up. A potential third forced fumble was reversed on replay and ruled an incomplete pass.

Since losing 40-13 at home vs. Tennessee on Oct. 8, Brian Kelly’s first team in Baton Rouge has ripped off four consecutive wins. LSU won 45-35 at Florida, 45-20 vs. Ole Miss and 32-31 vs. Alabama in overtime before edging the Razorbacks, who were playing without star quarterback KJ Jefferson (shoulder).

LSU QB Jayden Daniels had been on fire, throwing seven TD passes without an interception and rushing for seven TDs in the wins over the Gators, Rebels and Crimson Tide. However, Sam Pittman’s team kept the transfer from Arizona St. in check all day long at Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium.

Daniels completed only 8-of-15 passes for 86 yards with one interception. He ran for merely 10 yards on 19 attempts.

Nevertheless, Daniels has enjoyed a monster campaign. He’s connected on 68.9 percent of his passes for 2,080 yards with a 14/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Daniels has 629 rushing yards, 10 TDs and a 4.2 yards-per-carry average.

For his career, Daniels has 8,105 passing yards and a 46/15 TD-INT ratio. Ten of those 15 picks were thrown for the Sun Devils last year when he had a 10/10 TD-INT ratio. However, in his freshman and sophomore seasons at ASU combined with this year in Redstick, he has a 36/5 TD-INT ratio.

LSU will return to the SECCG for the first time since blasting fourth-ranked UGA by a 37-10 count as a seven-point favorite in 2019. The Tigers are 3-1 both SU and ATS as underdogs this year on Kelly’s watch, beating ‘Bama in their lone spot as double-digit ‘dogs (+13.5).

LSU is 7-3-1 ATS with four outright wins in 11 games as a double-digit underdog since 2004, but the Tigers are 5-1 ATS with three outright victories in their last six games as double-digit ‘dogs.

Georgia has been favored by double digits in every game this season and is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 such spots. The Bulldogs have won by at least 14 points in nine of their 10 games this year.

UGA is ranked third in the nation in total offense, ninth in passing yards, 32nd in rushing yards and seventh in scoring with its 40.6 points-per-game average. The Bulldogs are ranked sixth nationally in total defense, 21st in pass defense, fourth against the run and second in scoring ‘D’ (11.6 PPG).

LSU is ranked 40th in total offense, 55th in passing yards, 40th in rushing yards and 39th in scoring (32.6 PPG). The Tigers are 35th in total defense, 40th at defending the pass, 55th versus the run and 29th in scoring ‘D’ (21.0 PPG).

Most books have LSU listed as a 14.5-point home favorite Saturday vs. UAB, while most spots have UGA favored by 22.5 points Saturday at Kentucky.

LSU is 18-13-1 against UGA in the all-time series. This will be the fifth time they’ve collided in the SECCG. Back in 2011, ‘The Honey Badger’ stole the show in a 42-10 win over the Bulldogs, who beat LSU 34-14 in Atlanta at the 2008 SECG. In 2003, LSU smoked the Dawgs, 34-13, at the old Georgia Dome.

The Tigers have won four of the last five head-to-head meetings with UGA dating back to 2009.

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