Texas A&M (7-1 straight up, 4-4 against the spread) is 3-0 both SU and ATS in three games as a road favorite this season to improve to 5-0 ATS as a road ‘chalk’ during Jimbo Fisher’s three-year tenure. Since losing at Alabama, Jimbo Fisher’s team has won six consecutive games, including five in a row by double-digit margins.
Texas A&M senior QB Kellen Mond has an 18/2 TD-INT ratio and two rushing TDs. Sophomore RB Isaiah Spiller has 114 rushing yards or more in six of the Aggies’ eight games. For the season, Spiller has produced 904 rushing yards, six TDs and a 6.0 yards-per-carry average.
Tennessee ended a six-game losing streak with a spread-covering win at Vanderbilt last week, but the Commodores were fielding a JV squad due to opt outs, injuries and COVID. Vandy was also without its head coach after Derek Mason’s dismissal, so I don’t give UT much credit for the win or the cover.
The Vols were on a 0-5 ATS slide until a fourth-and-10 TD pass in the last 30 seconds gave them a fortunate backdoor cover vs. Florida two weeks ago. All six of UT’s losses have come by double-digit margins, and it has lost three straight home games by margins of 27, 31 and 12. However, the 31-19 loss to Florida had a 31-7 score midway through the fourth quarter.
Texas A&M is No. 5 in the College Football Rankings and looking for style points. I think the Aggies will get those style points, cover this number and deliver Jeremy Pruitt a pink slip in the process.