Padres’ World Series odds shift after trades for Hader, Soto

Padres’ World Series odds shift after trades for Hader, Soto

The MLB trade deadline can often be one of the most influential days in the World Series betting market.

Last year, Atlanta acquired Jorge Soler, who wound up being the World Series MVP. San Francisco snagged third baseman Kris Bryant en route to a franchise-record 107 wins, while the Dodgers picked up Max Scherzer and Trea Turner. All of those moves impacted the betting market last year, but of course only one team can come out on top every October.

This year appears to follow the same pattern following several huge trades earlier this week. San Diego made the biggest moves, which began when the Padres traded for Milwaukee closer Josh Hader—sportsbook PointsBet moved their futures price from 22-1 to 16-1, which eventually moved even further to 15-1.

Hader has not been as dominant this year as he has been in the past, but he remains on the top relievers in baseball. San Diego was happily willing to ship some prospects away for another star arm in its bullpen.

The Padres then completed one of the biggest deals in MLB history, acquiring star outfielder Juan Soto from Washington. Soto ranks first in on-base percentage among all hitters before their 24th birthday since 1974 (the Divisional Era). He also ranks first in walks per plate appearance and seventh in home runs, which is why he was able to turn down a $440 million extension offer from the Nationals several weeks ago.

San Diego was considered a finalist for Soto, but the official news still created a big stir in the futures market. The Padres dipped all the way to 12-1 at PointsBet before moving to 10-1.

The Padres sent a huge haul of talented prospects to Washington in return for Soto, so they are clearly trying to win a title this season. DraftKings has them priced at -1200 to make the playoffs, although they are currently in a Wild Card position.

Soto, along with former Washington teammate Josh Bell, joins a lineup that already features star third baseman Manny Machado. The Padres will also get Fernando Tatis Jr. (wrist) back soon, making them one of the most dangerous lineups in the majors.

They will still have to overcome the Yankees, Dodgers and Astros, who remain at the top of the World Series market. New York picked up starting pitcher Frankie Montas and reliever Lou Trivino from Oakland for four prospects, while Houston added Trey Mancini from Baltimore.

Los Angeles did not make any big moves, but it did not really need to. The Dodgers are one game back of the best record in the MLB and they have the top pitching staff.

Here are the current World Series odds at DraftKings following the trade deadline:

Yankees +390

Dodgers +390

Astros +475

Mets +650

Braves +950

Padres 11-1

Blue Jays 12-1

Brewers 22-1

White Sox 35-1

Mariners 35-1

Phillies 40-1

Cardinals 45-1

Rays 55-1