Seattle Seahawks vs. Minnesota Vikings
Line: Seattle -7
Where: CenturyLink Field
When: Sunday, 10/11, at 8:20 p.m. ET
Russell Wilson will be looking to add a primetime victory to his early MVP candidacy when
Seattle hosts Minnesota on Sunday night.
The Seahawks opened as 9-point favorites, but it has been bet down two points during the week.
Sunday’s total has moved from 58 to 56.5 in what is a correlated drop on Minnesota and the
Wilson is a +180 ‘chalk’ to win the NFL MVP this season. He has led Seattle to a 4-0 start,
completing 75.2 percent of his passes for a league-leading 1,285 yards and a 16-2 touchdown-to-
The Seahawks have covered in each of their first four games. However, they only covered by a
combined 5.5 points over the last three contests. Miami was unable to convert drives into
touchdowns in last week’s 31-23 decision.
Minnesota snapped a three-game losing skid with its first win of the season against a hapless
Houston team last week. The Vikings covered as 3.5-point underdogs in their 31-23 road win.
Their Kirk Cousins-led offense has actually been decent this season, scoring at least 30 points in
three of their first four games. Cousins has thrown six touchdowns and six interceptions, though,
and will have no room for error against a Seattle team that takes advantage of mistakes.
Running back Dalvin Cook leads the NFL with 424 rushing yards and six touchdowns on the
ground through four games. Cook is averaging 5.7 yards per carry on 75 attempts. He will face a
tough task against a Seattle team that allows the third-fewest rushing yards per game.
Rookie wide receiver Justin Jefferson has been a bright spot for Minnesota as well. He has gone
over 100 yards in each of his last two games, including a 175-yard outing against Tennessee in
Week 3. Seattle’s pass defense is dead last in the league, so Jefferson and Adam Thielen will be
key pieces for the Vikings.
The Seahawks’ ground game is led by Chris Carson, who has tallied 237 yards and two
touchdowns on 53 attempts. Wilson has added 18 attempts for 95 yards, averaging 5.3 YPC.
Second-year wideout DK Metcalf has picked up where he left off last season, catching 16 passes
for 403 yards and three scores. He is complemented by Tyler Lockett, who has 26 grabs for 298
yards and a team-high four touchdowns.
Seattle has won its last six head-to-head meetings with Minnesota and has covered the number in
five of those games. The Vikings have covered in four of their last five October games, but will
be facing a Seattle team that is 5-1 ATS in its last six contests.
The ‘over’ has been a strong play when these two teams meet, with four of the last six games
going ‘over.’ Seven of the last eight head-to-head games at CenturyLink Field have gone ‘over.’
The pick: Minnesota +7
This pick bucks all of the trends, but it’s tough to take a team that is 4-0 ATS and does not
deserve to have covered in all four of those games. Seattle’s defense is a major concern,
particularly in the secondary. Cousins has shown the ability to pick apart bad defenses—he did
so against Tennessee several weeks ago. Jefferson is already well on his way to becoming a star
receiver in this league and Thielen is a reliable target. The Vikings have some momentum under
their belt after last week’s win and they could certainly sneak in a backdoor cover against this