Marshall: Week 3 NFL Technical Corner

NY GIANTS at SAN FRANCISCO (Thursday, September 21) … Giants were 14-5 vs. spread for Brian Daboll a year ago before laying the big egg in 2023 opener vs. Cowboys and another spread L (but a big second-half rally to win) last Sunday at Arizona. G-Men were 7-1 vs. spread away in reg season a year ago. Niners 10-2-1  vs. spread last 13 since mid 2022. Tech edge-Niners, based on team trends.
LA CHARGERS at MINNESOTA... Chargers 7-2 vs. line away in reg season 2022. Vikings 3-7 last 10 vs. points at US Bank Stadium. Minn also 8-2 “over” since mid 2022; Bolts “over” first two in 2023 and four straight since late last season.,.  Tech edge-Chargers and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
TENNESSEE at CLEVELAND… Titans 12-7 vs. line last 19 as road dog. Also on 6-1 “under” run since late 2022. Browns 3-9 last 12 as chalk, Cleve also on 7-2 “under” run since late 2022.  Tech edge-“Under” and Titans, based on “totals” and team trends.
HOUSTON at JACKSONVILLE... Texans are finding Jags had lost nine in a row SU vs. Texans prior to 31-3 win last Dec. 19. Jan. 1. Jags on 7-2 SU (both losses to the Chiefs) and spread uptick since late 2022.  Tech edge-Jags, based on recent trends.
NEW ENGLAND at NY JETS… Belichick has owned Jets, winning last 14 SU and covering last five meetings.  J-Men barely missed their seventh straight “under” since late 2022 in the Dallas game last week.   Tech edge-Patriots and slight to “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.
NEW ORLEANS at GREEN BAY… Saints 10-2 “under” since mid 2022. Also covers in last four on road. Pack just 2-5 last seven vs spread at Lambeau last season.  Tech edge-Saints and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
DENVER at MIAMI... Broncos “under” 24-12 since 2021. Denver still 6-3 as dog in disappointing 2022. Dolphins surprisingly “under” 7-1 at Hard Rock in 2022.  Tech edge-“Under” and slight to Broncos, based on “totals” and team trends.
BUFFALO at WASHINGTON… Before thumping Raiders last week, Bills were just 4-9 vs. spread since beating Chiefs in what was thought to be a “hump” win last October.  Ron Rivera 5-2 last seven as home dog for Washington. Rivera also on 14-5-1 “under” run.  Tech edge-Bills and “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
ATLANTA at DETROIT… Falcons only 1-4 vs. spread last five away a year ago, also  6-2 “under” since late 2022. Lions lost in OT last week but still on 10-2 spread uptick since mid 2022.  Tech edge-Lions and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
INDIANAPOLIS at BALTIMORE… Even after win at Houston, Colts 1-4 last 5, 2-6 last eight, 4-9 last 13 vs. spread back to 2022. Indy also just 4-7 last eleven vs. number away. Colts also on 7-1 “over” run since late 2022. Ravens 6-2 vs. spread since late 2022, 2-0 this season. Tech edge-Ravens and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
CAROLINA at SEATLLE... Panthers covered 8 of 11 down stretch in 2022 but 0-1-1 vs. spread for Frank Reich in 2023. Seahawks were on 1-9 spread skid since mid 2022 prior to last week’s win vs. Lions.  Carolina also “under” last three since late 2022.  Tech edge-slight to Panthers, based on team trends.
DALLAS at ARIZONA… Cowboys had five straight “unders” before narrowly clearing 39 last week vs. the Jets.  Cards actually 5-2 vs. spread last seven at Glendale and 2-0 vs. number this season despite outright losses in the first two games.  Tech edge-slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.
CHICAGO at KANSAS CITY…  Bears have lost last 12 SU and on 1-9 and 2-10 spread skids since mid 2022.  Also on 10-3 “over” run since early 2022.  Chiefs only 4-8 vs. line since late 2021 at Arrowhead.  Tech edge-“Over” and slight to Chiefs,
PITTSBURGH at LAS VEGAS... Mike Tomlin covered last four on road a year ago, if dog note 12-7 spread mark getting points since 2021. Steel also “over” 4-1 last five away in 2022.  Tech edge-Steelers, based on team trends.
PHILADELPHIA at TAMPA BAY (Monday, September 25) …. Eagles 1-0 vs. line away this season but 3-7 vs. points in role since a year ago. Bucs only 4-8 vs. line last 12 at home, but are 2-0 SU and vs. line this season after win over Bears last week.  Tech edge-slight to Eagles, based on team trends.
LA RAMS at CINCINNATI (Monday, September 25)… Super Bowl XVI rematch. Rams have covered last two on road but had dropped previous six vs. spread away. Rams also on 13-7-1 “under” run since late 2021. Bengals 0-2 SU and vs. line thus far in 2023, but 8-4 vs. spread last 12 at home, and “under” 17-8-1 since late 2021. Tech edge-“Under” and slight to Bengals, based on “totals” and team trends.