The Bears are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Cole Kmet to earn 5.0 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 85th percentile among tight ends.
Cole Kmet has totaled a whopping 41.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among tight ends.
Cole Kmet’s 37.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in the NFL: 90th percentile for tight ends.
The Bears are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Darnell Mooney has run a route on 93.1% of his team’s passing plays since the start of last season, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
THE BLITZ projects Darnell Mooney to accrue 7.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 83rd percentile among wide receivers.
Darnell Mooney has totaled a colossal 85.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 89th percentile among wide receivers.
The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears to be the 6th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 45.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects David Montgomery to accrue 14.8 rush attempts in this game, on average, putting him in the 90th percentile among RBs.
David Montgomery has generated 62.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the highest marks in the league among running backs (93rd percentile).
The Green Bay Packers defense has had the 5th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks since the start of last season, giving up 4.83 yards-per-carry.
The Packers are a heavy 10-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
Aaron Jones has earned 48.9% of his team’s carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 81st percentile among running backs.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line profiles as the 9th-best in the NFL since the start of last season at blocking for the run game.
Aaron Jones has generated 50.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the biggest figures in the NFL among RBs (82nd percentile).
Aaron Jones’s running efficiency (4.83 yards per carry) has been some of the best in football since the start of last season (84th percentile among running backs).
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.2% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Aaron Rodgers has been among the leading passers in football since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 252.0 yards per game while checking in at the 83rd percentile.
Aaron Rodgers has been among the most accurate QBs in the league since the start of last season with a stellar 70.3% Completion%, checking in at the 100th percentile.
Aaron Rodgers has been among the best per-play QBs in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 8.04 yards-per-target while grading out in the 94th percentile.
The Bears are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Chicago Bears offensive line has afforded their QB 2.51 seconds before getting pressured (10th-best in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.
The Green Bay Packers defense has gotten pressure on opposing QBs 2.52 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 8th-worst in the league since the start of last season.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.2% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Allen Lazard has played on 76.3% of his team’s snaps since the start of last season, putting him in the 76th percentile among wideouts.
Allen Lazard has been among the most efficient receivers in football, averaging a stellar 9.54 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 82nd percentile among wide receivers.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has exhibited weak efficiency versus wideouts since the start of last season, surrendering 8.57 yards-per-target to the position: the 10th-most in the NFL.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-most pass-heavy offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 65.2% pass rate.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Robert Tonyan has run a route on 64.0% of his offense’s dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 86th percentile among TEs.
Robert Tonyan has accumulated a monstrous 32.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 85th percentile among tight ends.
Robert Tonyan has been among the most effective pass-catchers in football among tight ends, averaging an impressive 8.72 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 85th percentile.
The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Green Bay Packers linebackers grade out as the 2nd-best LB corps in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.
The Chicago Bears have gone up against a stacked the box on a mere 14.2% of their plays since the start of last season, 10th-least in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Darnell Mooney has been among the least efficient receivers in the league, averaging a measly 7.47 yards-per-target since the start of last season while checking in at the 23rd percentile among wideouts, The Bears are an enormous 10-point underdog in this week’s contest, indicating an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects David Montgomery to be a much smaller part of his team’s run game this week (54.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (71.6% in games he has played).
The Chicago Bears offensive line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season at blocking for rushers.
THE BLITZ projects the Green Bay Packers as the 4th-least run-oriented offense in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 34.8% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
The Green Bay Packers have gone no-huddle on just 2.7% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the league). This slows down the pace, resulting in less volume and stat-padding.
The Packers are a heavy 10-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Aaron Rodgers to attempt 34.2 passes in this contest, on average: the 11th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
Opposing quarterbacks have thrown for the 3rd-least yards in the NFL (just 192.0 per game) against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season.
The Chicago Bears boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Luke Getsy, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to lean 2.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Chicago Bears as the 6th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bears to call the 3rd-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 59.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Justin Fields to attempt 29.8 passes in this contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
Justin Fields has been among the worst passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging 157.0 yards per game while checking in at the 11th percentile.
The Packers are a heavy 10-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 132.0) vs. wideouts since the start of last season.
The Green Bay Packers offensive line has given their QB a measly 2.44 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in football since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all pass game metrics across the board.
The Packers are a heavy 10-point favorite in this week’s game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Packers to call the least plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have averaged 27.3 pass attempts per game against the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: least in football.
The Chicago Bears defense has surrendered the 3rd-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 35.0) versus tight ends since the start of last season.
The Chicago Bears pass defense has given up the 5th-lowest Completion% in the NFL (64.4%) vs. tight ends since the start of last season (64.4%).