VIRGINIA at MARYLAND (Friday, September 15)… Old ACC border war, teams haven’t met since 2013. Tony Elliott just 4-8 vs. spread since taking over Cavs last year, Mike Locksley 5-3 vs. spread at College Park with Terps against non-Big Ten foes since 2019 (includes non-covers first two this season). Tech edge- Maryland, based on team trends.
ARMY at UTSA (Friday, September 15)… Roadrunners won and covered a close one at West Point last September, but just 4 covers last 12 as Alamodome chalk. Army 6-2 vs. spread as visiting dog since 2021. Tech edge-Army, based on recent trends.
UTAH STATE at AIR FORCE (Friday, September 15)… Utags have won and covered meetings the past two seasons. Though USU only 2-6 vs. points last eight away from Logan even after opening cover at Iowa. Utags 11-6 “under” since late 2021, Falcs on 6-2 “under” run since mid 2022. Tech edge-slight to “under,”‘ based on “totals” trends.
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at WISCONSIN… Clay Helton 5-4 as dog last year in Eagles debut, GSU also 3-1-1 vs. spread non-conference under Helton. Luke Fickell only 3-12 vs. spread last 15 on board at Cincy & Wiscy, and Badgers just 4-6 vs. spread last ten non-conference games. Tech edge-Georgia Southern, based on team trends.
FLORIDA STATE at BOSTON COLLEGE… Noles have won and covered past two years in series behind Mike Norvell. FSU covered all five as visitor last season (including game at New Orleans vs. LSU). BC on 6-14 spread skid after opener, only 4-6 last ten as dog for Jeff Hafley. Tech edge-Florida State, based on recent trends.
WAKE FOREST at OLD DOMINION… Wake a traditionally fast starter, 13-4 vs. spread in first four games of past four seasons. Deacs also “under” 6-2 last eight away from Winston-Salem. Monarchs failed to cover last five at Norfolk a season ago but did score surprise last week vs. UL-Lafayette. Tech edge-Wake Forest and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
LIBERTY at BUFFALO.. Flames are 7-2 “over” their last nine as visitor. Bulls 3-0-1 vs. line last four outside of MAC. Tech edge-slight to “over,” based on “totals” trends.
LOUISVILLE vs INDIANA (at Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis)… While at Purdue, Jeff Brohm covered all five tries against Hoosiers. Indiana did get cover in opener vs Buckeyes. Note Tom Allen still just 8-18 vs. points since beginning of 2021. Tech edge-Louisville, based on team trends.
IOWA STATE at OHIO… Cyclones on 12-3 “under” run after UNI and Iowa games. Bobcats were 14-7 last 21 vs. spread entering this season for Tim Albin prior to spread Ls in first two games of this season, though turned things around with QB Kurtis Rourke available last week at FAU. Tech edge-“Under” and slight to Ohio, based on “totals” and team trends.
PENN STATE at ILLINOIS…James Franklin lost at home vs. Illinois in last series meeting two years ago, but was 5-1 vs. spread away from Happy Valley a year ago. Bret Bielema loss at Kansas in dog role comes after he was 9-4 vs. spread last 13 getting points, and Illini now no covers last three since late last season. Tech edge-slight to Penn State, based on team trends.
KANSAS STATE at MISSOURI... Old Big 8/Big 12 battle and rematch of last year at Manhattan won by K-State in 40-12 romp. Cats 7-3-2 last1 2 vs. spread away from home for Klieman. Tigers just 2-6 vs. number last eight outside of SC for Eli Drinkwitz. Tech edge-Kansas State, based on team trends.
LSU at MISSISSIPPI STATE…Tigers have won and covered last two meetings after being stunned by MSU in 2020 pandemic season opener. Though LSU only 1-5 vs. spread on reg season road (counting SEC title game) for Brian Kelly since last season. Bulldogs have won and covered four of last five since late in 2022. Tech edge-slight to Mississippi State, based on recent trends.
UMASS at EASTERN MICHIGAN… New-look Minutemen “over” first three in 2023, and note did cover at Ypsilanti last season. Eagles have not had same spread success at Rynearson Stadium as on road, just 3-6 vs. spread last nine as host, and just 3-8 last 11 as chalk. Tech edge-UMass and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
BOWLING GREEN at MICHIGAN… Falcs just 2-6-1 vs spread last nine away from Doyt Perry Stadium. BGSU also 0-3-1 vs. spread since last year against non-MAC foes away from home. Wolverines 7-5-1 against points laying 20 or more since 2021. Michigan also on 11-5-1 “under” run since late 2021. Tech edge-Michigan and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
NEW MEXICO STATE at NEW MEXICO… Ags have now covered three straight and six of last seven vs Lobos after last year’s 21-9 win at Las Cruces. NMSU on 7-2 spread uptick since mid 2022. UNM 1-8-1 vs. line last 10 vs FBS foes at Albuquerque, 5-20-1 vs. points since 2021. Tech edge-New Mexico State, based on team trends.
CENTRAL MICHIGAN at NOTRE DAME… Jim McElwain just 2-7 vs. spread last nine after opening loss at Michigan State. He had covered five of previous six vs. Power 5 foes away from Mount Pleasant. Marcus Freeman’s Irish just 1-4 as South Bend chalk against FBS opposition since last season, though ND has opened 3-0 SU and vs. line this season and on four-game spread uptick since late 2022. . Tech edge-slight to Notre Dame, based on team trends.
VIRGINIA TECH at RUTGERS… Old rivalry from the Big East football days, last meeting 2003. Hokies only 4-7 vs. spread away from home past two seasons. Greg Schiano 6-1 vs. spread in reg season vs non-Big Ten teams since talking over Scarlet Knights in 2020. Tech edge-Rutgers, based on team trends.
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL at UCONN… Jim Mora won and covered this game handily 33-12 at Miami last season. Mora also 10-5 overall vs spread with Huskies and was 3-0 as chalk last season. Mike Macintyre 3-2 vs. line last five as road dog, and 6-3 against spread last nine vs FBS-level foes. Tech edge-slight to UConn, based on team trends.
ALABAMA at SOUTH FLORIDA… Interestingly, Nick Saban just 2-7 vs. spread as visitor the past two seasons. Though Bulls only 1-5 vs spread at Tampa last term. USF “over” 10-2 at Tampa since 2021. Tech edge-“Over,” based on “totals” trends.
EAST CAROLINA at APPALACHIAN STATE… Mounties won and covered the opener between these two teams in 2021. Since then, however, Pirates are 7-1 vs. spread as a dog away from Greenville. App just 2-6 vs. spread last eight at Boone. Tech edge-East Carolina, based on team trends.
MINNESOTA at NORTH CAROLINA… Gophers only covered one of last five away from Minneapolis last season after good road success for PJ Fleck prior. Fleck also 5-2 as dog past two seasons. Heels, however, just 3-7 vs. points last ten at Chapel Hill. Tech edge-slight to Minnesota, based on team trends.
NORTHWESTERN at DUKE… Blue Devils won and covered this game the past two years vs what was then a Pat Fitzgerald-coached NU. Wildcats just 8-18 vs. line since beginning of 2021 (1-1 under David Braun). Mike Elko 10-5 SU and vs. spread at Duke, also 6-1 vs. spread at Durham, and 4-2 as chalk. Tech edge-Duke, based on team and series trends.
WESTERN MICHIGAN at IOWA … Broncos 6-3 vs. spread last nine away from Kalamazoo though were bombed last week at Syracuse. WMU had also covered its last four as a dog a year ago during the preceding Tim Lester regime before the debacle vs. the Orange. Broncos also 11-3 “under” since outset of 2022, and Hawkeyes on 12-4 “under” run. Tech edge-“Under,” and Western Michigan, based on “totals” and team trends.
SAN DIEGO STATE at OREGON STATE… Aztecs 6-10 vs. spread since start of 2022, but 8-5 as dog for Brady Hoke since 2021. Beavers, however, are 13-2 vs. spread since last season, and have covered 14 straight as host at Corvallis or Portland. Tech edge-Oregon State, based on team trends.
SOUTH CAROLINA at GEORGIA...Gamecocks are the last SEC team to win in Athens back in 2019 for Will Muschamp. Note road team has also covered last seven series meetings. Kirby Smart only 4-3 vs. line last seven as Sanford Stadium SEC home chalk. Tech edge-South Carolina, based on series trends.
SOUTH ALABAMA at OKLAHOMA STATE… After covering all three as dog last season, Jags failed to do so in opener at Tulane. USA 4-4 vs. spread away since last season after 0-6 mark vs. line prior. Mike Gundy on 2-6 spread downturn with OSU since mid 2022, but did get win and cover last week at Arizona State. Cowboys also 8-0 “under” since mid 2022. Tech edge-“Under” and slight to South Alabama, based on “totals” and team trends.
OKLAHOMA at TULSA… Sooners only 2-3 vs. spread on road last season in brent Venables debut, and just 5-7 last 11 vs. spread including opening covers vs Ark State and SMU. Golden Hurricane did sneak inside of big spread at U-Dub last week but still on 4-9 spread skid since last season. Tulsa entered 2023 “over” 8-3 last 11 at home. Tech edge- slight to “over,” based on “totals” trends.
WESTERN KENTUCKY at OHIO STATE… Tops 20-9 vs. spread since start of 2021, 6-2 as dog that span. Buckeyes have failed to cover their first two out of chute this season, Ryan Day just 6-10 vs. spread since late in 2021 campaign. Tech edge-Western Kentucky, based on team trends.
UL-MONROE at TEXAS A&M… Warhawks just 4-9 vs. spread away for Terry Bowden the past two seasons, 3-5 getting 20 points or more. Jimbo Fisher 8-5 vs. spread last 13 laying points at Kyle Field, 5-2 laying 20 or more past two seasons . Tech edge-slight to Texas A&M, based on team trends.
TULANE at SOUTHERN MISS… This was a game the Wave lost last season, one of the rare Ls in 13-3 SU and spread surge since beginning of 2022 (15-3 vs. spread since late 2021). Willie Frtiz also covered all six games away from home last season. Golden Eagles, however, an a nearly-as-impressive 14-4 spread uptick for Will Hall since late in 2021 campaign. Tech edge-slight to USM, based on team trends.
WASHINGTON at MICHIGAN STATE… Huskies won and covered this one more handily than 39-28 score would indicate last September in Seattle. Kalen DeBoer 9-5 vs. line with Huskies, and his teams at Fresno and U-Dub have started fast (8-1 SU, 9-0 vs. line in first four games of season since 2021). Before opening this season vs. lightweights CMU & Richmond, Spartans had dropped 4 of last 5 vs. points at East Lansing. Tech edge-Washington, based on team trends.
GEORGIA STATE at CHARLOTTE… Panthers 9-2 vs. spread on road past two seasons. Niners now on 5-11-1 spread run (1-1 for new HC Bigg Poggi), also on 6-2 “under” run. Tech edge-Georgia State and slight to “under,”, based on team trends.
SAN JOSE STATE at TOLEDO… Spartans on 2-8 spread skid since mid 2022, also “over” 6-1 last seven since late 2022. Rockets also closed 2022 on 1-6 spread skid before cover at Illinois. Tech edge-slight to “over,” based on “totals” trends.
TENNESSEE at FLORIDA… Vols haven’t won and covered in the same game vs Gators since 2016, Florida has covered five of last six meetings. Josh Heupel, however, is 11-4 vs. line since last season, and has covered 5 of last 7 away from Knoxville. Billy Napier just 3-4 vs. line last seven at Gainesville. Tech edge-slight to Tennessee, based on recent trends.
MIAMi-OHIO at CINCINNATI... Ancient rivalry, RedHawks haven’t beaten nearby Bearcats outright since 2005. Cincy has also covered 4 of last 5 meetings. Bearcats just 4-10 vs. spread since last season but 2-0 for Satterfield after early 2022 action. Miami also on 12-3 “under” run since late 2021. Tech edge-Cincy and “under,” based on series and “totals” trends.
NORTH TEXAS at LA TECH… Mean Green inauspicious debut for Eric Morris, failing to win or cover first two this season. UNT also now “over” 11-5 since 2022. Sonny Cumbie covered all five at Ruston for La Tech last season but failed in opener vs. FIU, now just 6-9 vs. line since taking over a year ago. Tech edge-“Over,” based on “totals” trends.
JAMES MADISON at TROY...Teams both off to 0-2 starts vs. line this season. During 11-3 spread run last season, Trojans were only 4-3 vs. spread as host. Dukes now on 2-6 spread skid since mid 2022 (though they are 2-0 SU this season). Tech edge-slight to Troy, based on extended trends.
NORTHERN ILLINOIS at NEBRASKA… Huskies have covered last three and five of last six visiting Power 5 opposition. Slow start for Matt Rhule with Huskers, though note they did cover opener at Minnesota. Nebraska 0-3 vs. line last season against non-Big Ten foes at Lincoln. Huskers also on 10-4 “under” run (2-0 “under” this season), though NIU “over” 10-4 last 14. Tech edge-Northern Illinois, based on team trends.
VANDERBILT at UNLV… Dores 0-3 vs. line in 2023, now just 4-10 last 14 on board. Rebels have covered seven straight vs. non-MW opposition. Tech edge-UNLV, based on team trends.
UL-LAFAYETTE at UAB...Ragin ‘ Cajuns have started new season 0-2 vs. line, spread skid now stands 2-6 since mid 2022. Blazers 3-10 vs. spread vs FBS opposition since last season (0-1 for Trent Dilfer). Tech edge- slight to UL-Lafayette, based on recent trends.
GEORGIA TECH at OLE MISS… Jackets lost this game 42-0 last season at Atlanta. They’re 6-4 vs. line for Brent Key since he took over from Geoff Collins midway in 2022, but Lane Kiffin now 9-1 vs. spread last nine in reg season vs. non-SEC foes. Rebs also “under” 9-2 last eleven since early 2022. Tech edge-Ole Miss and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.
PITT at WEST VIRGINIA… Backyard Brawl returned last year as Pitt won a wild one but barely failed to cover at home. Panthers 10-4 vs. spread last 14 away from Heinz/Acrisure Field. Mounties “over” 5-1 at Morgantown last year. Tech edge-slight to Pitt and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
AKRON at KENTUCKY…Cats 6-3 vs. spread last eight vs non-SEC foes in regular season. UK also on 15-2 “under” run since late 2021. Tech edge- “Under” and slight to Kentucky, based on “totals” and team trends.
SYRACUSE at PURDUE… Wild 32-29 Cuse win last September in Dome. Boilermakers now 1-6 vs. number at Ross-Ade since last season. Dino Babers now 7-1 vs. spread in first three games of season past three years (2-0 this season). Tech edge-Syracuse, based on team trends.
BYU at ARKANSAS.. Cougs have failed to cover first two this season, 5-10 last 15 vs. spread, Hogs romped 52-35 last October in Provo. Porkers “over” 11-5 since last season. Tech edge-slight to Arkansas and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
FLORIDA ATLANTIC at CLEMSON…Tom Herman was 10-5 as a dog away from home in his years at Houston and Texas. Dabo 1-7 vs. spread last seven vs. non-ACC FBS-level foes. Tech edge-Florida Atlantic, based on coaching trends.
WYOMING at TEXAS… Horns 6-3 vs. spread last nine at Austin, though Steve Sarkisian just 3-3 last six laying double digits. Cowboys 8-6 as dog for Craig Bohl since 2001. Tech edge-slight to Wyoming, based on team trends.
TCU at HOUSTON… Old Southwest Conference rivals. Frogs 5-2-1 vs. spread away last season. Cougs only 1-6 vs. line last seven as host, also “over” 13-5-1 since late 2021. Tech edge-TCU and “over,” based on team and ”totals” trends.
COLORADO STATE at COLORADO… Teams haven’t met since 2019 at Denver, at that point Buffs had covered four in a row and won outright five straight vs. Rams. Jay Norvell 0-5 SU and vs. line in non-conference games since taking over at CSU last year. Rams also “under” 11-1 last season before “over” in opener against Wazzu. Deon blazing 2-0 SU and vs. spread in 2023. Tech edge-Colorado and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals’ trends.
FRESNO STATE at ARIZONA STATE… Bulldogs have won 11 straight for Jeff Tedford, now second longest win streak in country (behind pnly Georgia), and 8-3 vs. spread in those games. Kenny Dillingham now 0-2 vs. line with Sun Devils, who are1-6 vs. spread last seven since late 2022. ASU also 1-6 vs. line last seven at Sun Devil Stadium. Tech edge-Fresno State, based on team trends.
KANSAS at NEVADA... Jayhawks “over” 11-4-1 since late 2021. Lance Leipold also 4-1 as chalk since last season. Wolf Pack SU losing streak now at 12, just 2-10 vs. line in those games. Tech edge-Kansas and slight to “over,”, based on team and “totals” trends.
UTEP at ARIZONA... Miners 1-6 vs. line last six against non-CUSA BCS-level foes. UTEP “under” 9-5-1 since last season. Jedd Fisch 13-8 vs. spread since mid 2021 with Cats. Tech edge-Arizona and slight to “under,” based on team and “totals” trends.