Marshall: Week 11 Technical Edges

EASTERN MICHIGAN at TOLEDO (Wednesday, November 8)… Eagles 5-1-1 vs. spread last seven meetings, EMU also now 22-1-1 last 24 as MAC road dog! Rockets only 4-11 as chalk since mid 2022.  Tech edge- Eastern Michigan, based on team and series trends.
BOWLING GREEN at KENT STATE (Wednesday, November 8)… Road team has covered last three meetings.  Golden Flashes well down this season, spread winless streak at six (0-5-1) entering this week. Tech edge-Bowling Green, based on series and recent trends.
AKRON at MIAMI-OHIO (Wednesday, November 8)… Road team has covered last five meetings. Zps, however, only 2-5-1 vs. line last eight this season, while RedHawks had six wins and covers on the trot prior to narrow loss vs. Toledo. Tech edge-slight to Miami-Ohio, based on recent trends.
VIRGINIA at LOUISVILLE (Thursday, November 9)… Road team has covered last two years in series. Cavs were 5-0 vs. spread into last week’s loss vs. the Yellow Jackets.  After VPI win, note Cards have covered last six at home (5-0 this season, and under 4-1 last five). Tech edge-slight to Louisville, based on team and recent series trends.
SOUTHERN MISS at UL-LAFAYETTE (Thursday, November 9)… Golden Eagles scored the mild upset last season, but USM had lost seven in a row SU in 2023 before beating ULM last week (Golden Eagles 2-6 vs. line in those games). USM also on 7-3 over run. Ragin’ Cajuns 6-3 vs. line last nine as host. Tech edge-UL Lafayette and slight to over, based on team and “totals” trends.
NORTH TEXAS at SMU (Friday, November 10) … Mustangs have won and covered in blowout fashion last four years vs. this Metroplex rival. Mean Green, however, 4-0-1 vs. spread last five and 5-1-1 last seven vs. number this season, also 4-0-1 last five as dog.   SMU had hit stride with three straight wins and covers prior to close call vs. Rice last week.  Tech edge-SMU, based on series trends.
WYOMING at UNLV (Friday, November 10) … Cowboys on 8-3 spread uptick as a dog, though Rebs are 8-1 vs. spread this season. Wyo has now covered 3 of last 4 this year after CSU win. Tech edge-slight to Wyoming, based on extended trends.
EAST CAROLINA at FLORIDA ATLANTIC…  Pirates winless SU vs. FBS foes this season (0-7) and only 2-5 vs. spread vs. those sorts this term. ECU was also “under” four in a row before UTSA game.  Tom Herman 3-1-1 vs. points last five for owls this season.  Tech edge-Florida Atlantic, based on recent trends.
ALABAMA at KENTUCKY… Teams haven’t met since Covid 2020 season when Tide rolled 66-3. Mark Stoops no covers last two as dog after 5-1 spread mark getting points last season. Bama 5-1 vs. line last six this season and on 8-3 over run since late 2022. Tech edge-slight to Bama and over, based on team and “totals” trends.
MIAMI-FLA at FLORIDA STATE….  Noles have won and covered last two meetings, including 45-3 last year.  Canes have dropped four of last five vs. number this season. FSU 5-2 vs. spread last seven at Doak Campbell.  Tech edge-Florida State, based on recent trends.
VANDERBILT at SOUTH CAROLINA…  Gamecocks haven’t lost to Dores since 2008. SC also 7-1 vs. spread last eight in series. Vandy now on 1-10 spread skid since late 2022. Teams over a combined 13-6 this season. Tech edge-South Carolina and over, based on series and totals trends.
DUKE at NORTH CAROLINA…  Tar Heels have won last four outright in series, 2-1-1 vs. line in those games. Blue Devils no covers last three or four of last five this season, after 12-5 spread break from gate to begin Duke career for Mike Elko. Heels 4-1 vs. line as host this season in Chapel Hill. Tech edge-slight to North Carolina, based on team trends.
VIRGINIA TECH at BOSTON COLLEGE…  Home team has won and covered last four in series.  Hokies had covered four in a row before running into the ‘Ville last week. Eagles have won last five outright this season and 3-1 vs. spread last four in 2023.  Tech edge-slight to Boston College, based on series trends.
NC STATE at WAKE FOREST…  Note host team is 14-2 vs, spread in last sixteen meetings. Pack no covers last three on road this season, also on 5-1-1 under run. Deacs over last two but were under previous five.  Tech edge-Wake Forest and under, based on series and totals trends.
GEORGIA TECH at CLEMSON…  Road team has covered last three meetings. Jackets have now covered five straight ACC road games. Dabo 0-3 vs. spread last three ACC home games and just 3-6 vs. spread overall this season. Tech edge-Georgia Tech, based on team and series trends.
UCONN at JAMES MADISON…. Huskies only 4-5 vs. spread this season for Jim Mora after 9-4 spread mark last term. Dukes 9-0 SU this season, also 6-1 last seven vs. line. Tech edge-James Madison, based on recent trends.
OKLAHOMA STATE at UCF… Mike Gundy has won and covered five in a row this season. Gus Malzahn 1-5 vs. spread his last six in 2023. Tech edge-Oklahoma State, based on recent trends.
OLE MISS at GEORGIA… Teams haven’t met since 2016. Lane Kiffin under last four on road, also 4-2 last six as a dog. Bulldogs 2-6-1 vs. spread this season, also over 5-1 last six in 2023. Tech edge-slight to Ole Miss, based on team trends.
MINNESOTA at PURDUE… Road team has won and covered last two and three of last four meetings. Gophers however only 3-6 vs. spread in 2023, while Boilermakers also 3-6 vs. number this season. Tech edge-slight to Minnesota, based on series trends.
MEMPHIS at CHARLOTTE… The road team is 9-0 vs. the line in 49ers games this season (49ers 0-4 vs. spread at Jerry Richardson Stadium). Tigers 5-2 vs. spread last seven as visitor, also over 6-1 last seven in 2023. Tech edge-Memphis and over, based on team and totals trends.
MICHIGAN at PENN STATE… Harbaugh has won and covered last two meetings.  Wolverines were 4-0-1 last five vs spread before narrow miss vs Purdue, also over five in a row. Harbaugh 18-5-2 vs. line in Big Ten play since early 2021.  James Franklin 7-2 vs. spread this season, 13-2-1 vs. line since mid 2022. Tech edge-slight to Michigan and over, based on recent and totals trends.
TEMPLE at SOUTH FLORIDA… Prior to Navy surprise, Owls have hit the skids, 0-5 SU and vs. line previous five this season, not closer than 15 that span. Also over 5-1 last six in 2023. Bulls over 5-1 last six this season.  Tech edge-Over, based on totals trends.
TEXAS STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA… Bobcats 3-1 vs. line away for GJ Kinne, Chants had been under 7-1 this season until narrow over vs. ODU. Tech edge-slight to Texas State and over, based on team and “totals” trends.
APPALACHIAN STATE at GEORGIA STATE… App has won nine straight in series, 6-2-1 vs. points in those games. Mounties had dropped four straight vs. line and 0-4-1 last five vs. spread before Marshall win. Panthers heavy losers last two games. Tech edge-App State, based on series trends.
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at MARSHALL… Herd won 23-10 at Statesboro last season. But Marshall has hit skids with SU and spread losses in five straight this season. Tech edge-Georgia Southern, based on recent trends.
TEXAS TECH at KANSAS… Red Raiders have won and covered handily past two seasons. Texas Tech just 3-6 vs. line as visitor since a year ago. Jayhawks 4-0 vs. spread at Lawrence this season against FBS opposition. Tech edge-slight to Kansas, based on recent trends.
NORTHWESTERN at WISCONSIN… Badgers have battered Cats each of the past two seasons. Cats 4-5 SU and vs. line after Iowa game, both better than expected this season. Wiscy on 6-2 under run, Luke Fickell Bearcats and Badgers teams in 6-15-1 spread slump since late 2021. Tech edge-slight to Wisconsin and under, based on team and totals trends.
RUTGERS at IOWA…  Hawkeyes throttled Schiano 27-10 last year at Piscataway. Scarlet Knights 2-1 SU, 3-0 vs. line away this season. Rutgers over 4-1 last five, but Iowa on 11-3 under run since mid 2022. Tech edge-slight to Rutgers and under, based on team and totals trends.
OLD DOMINION at LIBERTY…ODU had covered six of previous seven before close loss to Coastal. Monarchs have also covered their last five as a dog. Unbeaten Flames now 7-2 vs. spread after La Tech win. Tech edge-Liberty, based on team trends.
NEW MEXICO at BOISE STATE… Broncos 5-0 SU, 4-0-1 vs. spread last five meetings in what for a short while was a good series for Lobos in the Bob Davie years. UNM now over last six and 8-1 this season. Boise 6-1 over last seven this season. Tech edge-Over and Boise State, based on totals and series trends.
ARIZONA at COLORADO… Buffs have slipped inside backdoor with late covers each of last two weeks but have still lost five of last six SU this season. CU under it last three away this season. Cats have won three in a row SU, covers last five, and 8-1 vs. spread in 2023. Tech edge- Arizona, based on team trends.
IOWA STATE at BYU… Cyclone loss to Jayhawks after ISU had covered three straight and four of previous five. Home team has covered last six Coug games, but BYU has been hammered in back-to-back games (both on road). Tech edge-Iowa State, based on team trends.
NEVADA at UTAH STATE… Teams haven’t met since Covid 2020 season when Pack won 34-9 in Reno. Nevada has actually covered last three and five of last six on road since mid 2022. After recent 6-game over streak, Utags under their last two. Tech edge- slight to Nevada, based on team trends.
WASHINGTON STATE at CAL… Cougs have now lost five in a row SU and just 1-4 vs. line in those games. WSU has won and covered handily the past two seasons by near-identical scores (24-9 & 21-6). Bears 1-6 vs. spread last seven this season, also over last four and five of last six this term.  Tech edge-Over, based on totals trends.
UTAH at WASHINGTON… Teams haven’t met since Covid 2020.  After under first five this season, Utes over 3-1 last four and are 7-4 last 11 as dog for Kyle Whittingham. Huskies were 0-3-1 vs. spread in four games previous to last week’s win over SC.  Tech edge-slight to Utah, based on team trends.
ARIZONA STATE at UCLA… Visiting team has covered last three and four of last five in series. Sun Devils had covered five straight before Utah ambush. Bruins under 7-2 this season.   Tech edge-slight to Arizona State and under, based on team and totals trends.
STANFORD at OREGON STATE… Home team has covered each of past two seasons. Beavers however are 10-1 vs. spread last eleven at Corvallis. Tech edge-slight to Oregon State, based on team trends.
SAM HOUSTON at LA TECH … Bearkats 3-2-1 vs. spread as dog in FBS debut season. Bulldogs have lost and failed to cover outright last four this season and are 0–4 vs. spread this term at Ruston, Tech edge-Sam Houston, based on team trends.
USC at OREGON… Teams haven’t met since 2020 Pac-12 title game won by visiting Ducks, 31-24. Trojans have now dropped seven straight vs. spread, 2-10 last 12 vs. number since late 2022. SC now over 17-1 since mid 2022 after Huskies shootout last week. Webfoots 7-1-1 vs. spread this season. Tech edge-Over and Oregon, based on totals and team trends.
BAYLOR at KANSAS STATE… Road team has covered last seven meetings. Bears surprising 2-0 vs. line away this season and 4-1 against spread as visitor since mid 2022. Cats, however, working on four straight covers this season. Tech edge- slight to Baylor, based on series trends.
 RICE at UTSA… Roadrunners have ripped Owls the past two seasons. Rice, however, has covered last three and four of last five this season. Owls also on 6-2 over run. UTSA has won and covered four of last five this season (for those who got the W in UNT game last week, at least). Tech edge-slight to Rice, based on team trends.
INDIANA at ILLINOIS… Hoosiers won and covered a thriller in their opener last season (Illini had opened the week before). Indiana has covered two straight after losing four in a row vs. spread, while Hoosiers also were over five straight before Wiscy last week. Bret Bielema 2-8 vs. spread since late 2022. Tech edge-slight to Indiana, based on team trends.
TROY at UL MONROE… Trojans, who won and covered this meeting last season, have won last six and covered last five this season, also under 7-0 last seven in 2023. Tech edge-Troy and under, based on team and totals trends.
TENNESSEE at MISSOURI… Vols have blown the doors off of Tigers the past two seasons, hitting for 60+ both occasions, and have now won and covered four straight vs. Mizzou. UT has also covered five of last six this season and is over 4-1 last five. Tigers were over five in a row prior to Georgia last week. Tech edge-Over and slight to Tennessee, based on totals and series trends.
AUBURN at ARKANSAS… Road team has covered last four meetings, and Tigers now working on back-to-back wins and covers. Porkers still 4-2 vs. spread last six despite losing most of those games outright. Tech edge-Auburn, based on series trends.
FLORIDA at LSU… Tigers have won and covered last four meetings, all of those over as well. LSU had won and covered three in a row before Bama game, and Tigers now on 16-1 over run after last week vs. Tide. Gators now over five in a row.   Tech edge-LSU and over, based on series and totals trends.
WEST VIRGINIA at OKLAHOMA… Mounties won last year and have covered last two meetings. WVU has also covered five of last seven this season. Sooners no covers last three this term after beginning campaign 6-0 SU and vs. line. Tech edge-West Virginia, based on recent trends.
TEXAS at TCU… Horns lost this one 17-10 last season. Frogs however only 3-7 last ten vs. spread for Sonny Dykes after that fast start a year ago. TCU also on 6-2 under run, as is Texas, and last two under in series. Tech edge-Under, based on totals trends.
MISSISSIPPI STATE at TEXAS A&M… Jimbo has lost the last two years vs. Bulldogs. Ags have no covers last four this season (0-3-1) though they are 3-2 vs. spread at College Station in 2023.  MSU no wins and covers last two in 2023 and unders three in a row.  Tech edge-Under, based on totals trends.
CINCINNATI at HOUSTON… Former American refugees, Bearcats still seeking first Big 12 win. Last meeting was 2021 American title game won by Cincy 35-20. Bearcats had dropped six straight vs. line before narrow cover vs. UCF. Cougs have covered last three as host. Tech edge-Houston, based on recent trends.
TULSA at TULANE… Tulane wins and covers last year 27-13. Golden Hurricane on 4-11-1 spread run since mid 2022, no wins or covers last three this season. Wave no covers last three this season, either, or five of last six games. Tulane 7-1 under last eight in 2023, and under last three meetings.  Tech edge-Under, based on totals trends.
NEW MEXICO STATE at WESTERN KENTUCKY… Ags have now won SU last five and covered last seven in 2023. NMSU also under four straight and seven of last eight this campaign. Tech edge-New Mexico State, based on recent trends.
PITTSBURGH vs SYRACUSE (at Yankee Stadium)… Panthers have covered last two and five of last six meetings. Pitt however has failed to cover all four away from home this season. Meanwhile ‘Cuse is staggering with five SU and spread losses in a row, also on 7-1 under run. Tech edge-Pittsburgh and under, based on recent and “totals” trends.
UAB at NAVY… Blazers have covered four of past six and over six of last eight for Trent Dilfer in 2023. Mids only 2-5-1 vs. spread this season, 1-7 vs. line last eight at Annapolis, and under three straight and five of seven in 2023. Tech edge-slight to UAB, based on team trends.
MARYLAND at NEBRASKA… Teams haven’t met since 2019, when Scott Frost’s Huskers won 54-7.   Terps fading, 0-4 SU and vs. line last four this season, 5-16 vs. spread in last halves of reg seasons since 2019 (counted only last two games for Covid 2020) for Mike Locksley. Matt Rhule 4-5 vs. line in Nebraska debut season. Tech edge-slight to Nebraska, based on team trends.
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL at MIDDLE TENNESSEE… Golden Panthers covered last season though lost outright to Blue Raiders. FIU actually 3-1 vs. line away this season for Mike MacIntyre. MTSU 2-5-1 vs. spread last eight at Murfreesboro. Tech edge-slight to FIU, based on recent trends.
ARKANSAS STATE at SOUTH ALABAMA… Jags have won and covered last four meetings. Though USA only 3-6 vs. spread this season, 1-3 vs. spread in Mobile. Tech edge-slight to South Alabama, based on series trends.
SAN DIEGO STATE at COLORADO STATE…Teams haven’t met since 2020 at Carson when Aztecs won, 28-17. SDSU no covers last two and three of four, also no SU wins four of last five this season, though 2-1 vs. spread away, Rams under last three this season, and under 10-3 in Mountain West games since 2022. Tech edge-slight to under, based on “totals” trends.
MICHIGAN STATE at OHIO STATE… Buckeyes have won outright last seven meetings, covering the last six.  Spartans had covered just one of six games (14-1 vs. spread) preceding last week’s upset of Cornhuskers. MSU also over 4-1 last five this season. OSU 4-1-2 vs. spread lasts even in 2023, also under 7-2 this term. Tech edge-Ohio State and under, based on series and totals trends.
FRESNO STATE at SAN JOSE STATE… Teams have actually split 4-4-1 vs. spread last nine meetings, though Bulldogs have won and covered last two. Fresno had dropped four straight vs. spread this season in front of last Saturday vs. Boise. Spartans have won last three, covered last four and six of last seven this term. Tech edge-San Jose State, based on recent trends.
AIR FORCE at HAWAII … Falcs haven’t faced Bows since 56-26 win at Honolulu in 2019.  Force was 4-1-1 vs. spread in six games previous to shock loss to Army last week. Falcs have covered last four chances in game immediately following Army, and have covered five straight on Mountain West road. UH 1-4 vs. spread at Ching Complex home this season. Tech edge-Air Force, based on team trends.