Marshall: Week 10 Technical Edges

Marshall: Week 10 Technical Edges
BOSTON COLLEGE at SYRACUSE (Friday, November 3)…Home team has covered last three meetings. Eagles have won last four and covered three of those this season. BC also on 9-2-1 over run since late 2022. Orange in a real nosedive, 0-4 SU and vs. line last four this season. Tech edge-Boston College and over, based on recent and “totals” trends.
COLORADO STATE at WYOMING (Friday, November 3) … Home team has covered last four in this intense border war. Even after Air Force loss, Rams however have covered 5 of last 7 as visitor since mid 2022. Cowboys 6-2-1 vs. spread last nine vs. FBS-level foes at Laramie. CSU also over 5-3 this season, Wyo over 3-1 last four. Tech edge-slight to Wyoming and over, based on series and totals trends.
COASTAL CAROLINA at OLD DOMINION … Monarchs won big (49-21) as a DD road dog at Conway last season. ODU has covered last four and six of last seven in 2023. Chants under 6-1 last seven this season. Tech edge-Old Dominion and under, based on recent and totals trends.
UCONN at TENNESSEE…  Huskies have covered three of last four this season for Jim Mora, now 13-8 vs. spread for UConn. Vols have covered six straight and eight of last nine vs. FBS-level foes at Knoxville. Tech edge-slight to Tennessee, based on team trends.
MIAMI-FLA at NC STATE… Mario Cristobal 2-5 vs. spread away with Canes since last season. Also, four straight overs away for Miami. Pack only 7-14 vs. spread since last season but has covered 2 of last 3 this term. Tech edge-slight to over and NCS, based on totals and team trends.
WISCONSIN at INDIANA….   Luke Fickell teams 6-14-1 vs. spread at Cincy & Wiscy since late 2021.  Hoosiers stayed close at Penn State but no covers four of last five this season, also 2-7 vs. number last nine Big Ten games.  IU 7-1 “over” last seven Big Ten games as well.  Tech edge-slight to Wisconsin and “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
UCF at CINCINNATI… Home team has covered last five in series that has transferred to the Big 12. But Bearcats no covers last six this season and 5-16 vs. line since late 2021. Knights 9-5 over since mid 2022. Tech edge-slight to over and UCF, based on totals and recent trends. .
JACKSONVILLE STATE at SOUTH CAROLINA…Gamecocks vs. Gamecocks! Rich-Rod 6-2-1 vs. line in JSU’s FBS debut. Also “under” 6-2-1 this season. No wins last four this season for SC.  Tech edge-Jacksonville State and slight to “under,” based on recent and “totals” trends.
OHIO STATE at RUTGERS… Buckeyes have buried Greg Schiano the past two seasons though Scarlet Knights did cover in 2020 Covid season vs. OSU. Buckeyes 9-0 S, 8-1 vs. spread in series since Rutgers entered Big Ten, and Bucks have scored 49 or more in each game. Schiano is 6-1-1 vs. spread in 2023, however. OSU also 7-1 under this season. Tech edge-Ohio State and slight to under, based on series and totals trends.
FLORIDA STATE at PITTSBURGH…  After Wake Forest romp, Noles 10-4 vs. spread since mid 2022, also on 9-2 over run. Following Notre Dame debacle, Panthers just 1-6 vs. points last seven in 2023, also on 10-2 over run. Tech edge-Over and Florida State, based on totals and recent trends.
PENN STATE at MARYLAND…  James Franklin has won 7 of last 8 and covered 6 of last 7, often by wide margins, vs. Terps after being jilted by them for the coaching job he was supposedly being groomed for in 2011. Nittany Lions were 13-0 SU and 12-0-1 vs. line since mid 2022 before running into Buckeyes on Oct. 21 and failing to cover vs. Hoosiers last week. Tech edge-Penn State, based on series trends.
MARSHALL at APP STATE…. Herd won and covered narrowly at home vs. Mounties last season.  Marshall however has dropped last five vs. line in 2023.  App only 5-14-1 vs. line since last season.  Tech edge-slight to App State, based on recent trends.
TULANE at EAST CAROLINA… Wave has won and covered three of last four meetings. Tulane under 6-1 last seven this season. Pirates 0-7 SU and 1-6 vs. spread against FBS-level foes this season.  ECU also under 4-1 last five in 2023. Tech edge-Under and Tulane, based on totals and team trends.
NEBRASKA at MICHIGAN STATE… Huskers on 12-5 under run since early 2022. NU has also covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 on Big Ten trail. Spartans 0-6 SU, 1-4-1 vs. line last six after latest loss vs. Minnesota. Tech edge-“Under” and slight to Nebraska, based on “totals” and team trends.
BYU at WEST VIRGINIA... Cougs 0-3 SU and vs. line on road in Big 12, also on 16-9 “over” run since late 2021.  Mounties 7-3 “over” at home since last season.  Tech edge-West Virginia and slight to “over,” based on team and “totals” trends.
VIRGINIA TECH at LOUISVILLE…Hokies on a recent uptick, 3-1 SU and 4-0 vs. line last four this season. Cards 7-1 SU but only 4-4 vs. line this season for Jeff Brohm, though the ‘Ville is 4-0 vs. spread at home. Tech edge-slight to Virginia Tech, based on recent trends.
GEORGIA TECH at VIRGINIA… Cavs have won last three meetings, covering last two. Wahoos also working on five straight covers this season. Jackets 5-1 vs. points last six on ACC trail  Tech edge- slight to Virginia, based on series trends..
NAVY at TEMPLE… Owls have hit the skids, 0-5 SU and vs. line last five this season, not closer than 15 that span. Also over 4-1 last five in 2023. Punishing Mids now have covers in eight straight as visitor (2-0 this season).  Tech edge-Navy, based on team trends.
IOWA vs NORTHWESTERN (at Wrigley Field)… Hawkeyes 7-2 vs. spread last nine away from Iowa City. Iowa also on 16-6 under run since late 2021. Cats 4-4 SU and vs. line for David Braun, after just 7-17 vs. line past two seasons for Pat Fitzgerald. Tech edge-Under and slight to Iowa, based on totals and team trends.
JAMES MADISON at GEORGIA STATE…Dukes won but didn’t cover vs. Panthers last year. JMU still still undefeated SU this season and covers five of last six in 2023. GSU 5-1 vs. spread last six as dog.  Tech edge-slight to James Madison, based on team trends.
ILLINOIS at MINNESOTA… Bielema has punished PJ Fleck the past two seasons after Fleck had buried Lovie Smith the preceding two seasons. Illini, however, just 1-8 vs. line since late 2022, though Gophers only 3-6 last nine and 6-11 vs. spread since early 2022. Tech edge-Illinois, based on recent series trends.
HOUSTON at BAYLOR… After blowout loss at K-State, Cougs have failed to cover first three as visitor this season.  UH also “over” 13-7 since a year ago.   After Iowa State loss, Bears 3-6 vs. spread last nine at Waco, also 6-2 “under” since late 2022 at home.  Tech edge-slight to “under,” based on “totals” trends.
OREGON STATE at COLORADO… Even after Arizona loss, Beavers still 16-5 vs. spread since last season, when they also boat-raced pre-Deion Buffs. CU no covers four of last six this season after getting inside the spread very late at UCLA last week. Tech edge-Oregon State, based on team trends.
ARIZONA STATE at UTAH… Utes have won and covered last three meetings. Even after Oregon loss, Utah 10-3 vs. line last 13 at Salt Lake City vs. FBS-level foes. Note Sun Devils 5-0 vs. line last five this season despite being 1-6 SU the last seven games. ASU 6-2 under in 2023, Utes under 6-2 this season.  Tech edge-Under and slight to Utah, based on totals and team trends.
ARMY vs AIR FORCE (at Denver)…Black Knights have covered last four and five of last six meetings. All six of those and in fact last nine meetings have all landed under as well. Underdog side has covered last seven meetings. West Point blanked in two of its last three games this season, 0-5 SU last five, no covers last four. Tech edge-Under and slight to Army, based on totals and series trends.
UCLA at ARIZONA… Bruins looking to avenge 34-28 loss (as 20-point chalk) last Nov. 12 at Rose Bowl. UCLA had covered three previous meetings. After Oregon State upset, Cats have covered last four and six of last seven this season, also under 10-2 since late 2022. Tech edge-slight to Arizona and under, based on team and totals trends.
CALIFORNIA at OREGON… Bears have covered 3 of last 4 in series (Ducks covered last year) including last two at Autzen Stadium. Oregon however 8-2 vs. line at Eugene since last season. Tech edge-slight to Oregon, based on recent trends.
WASHINGTON at USC… Teams haven’t met since 2019 when Huskies won and covered 28-14 in Seattle. Trojans 0-6 vs. spread last six this season,  also now on 16-1 over run since mid 2022.  Tech edge-Over and Washington, based on totals and team trends.
STANFORD at WASHINGTON STATE… Cougs have won last six and covered last seven meetings. Tree is 2-1 vs. spread away for Troy Taylor and under 5-2 last seven in 2023 despite allowing 40+ in last four games. Cardinal on 6-21-1 spread skid since mid 2021 but has covered two of last three this season. Cougs just 1-3 last four vs. line in 2023 but 16-9 vs. spread for Jake Dickert since he took over mid 2021. Tech edge-Washington State, based on series trends.
UTAH STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE… Last meeting was 2021 MW title game at Carson when underdog Utags rolled to 36-13 win. Aztecs just 3-8 vs. spread at new Snapdragon Stadium since last year. USU over 6-1 last seven and 9-3 last 12 since mid 2022.  Tech edge-slight to over and Utah State, based on totals and team trends.
CHARLOTTE at TULSA… Road team now 8-0 vs. spread in 49er games this season after FAU won at Charlotte last Friday (Biff Poggi’s team is  4-0 vs. spread away). Golden Hurricane 1-6 vs. line last seven as host. Tech edge-Charlotte, based on team trends.
KANSAS at IOWA STATE… Matt Campbell had brutalized Jayhawks the preceding two years and had beaten them six in a row before bitter 14-11 loss at Lawrence last season. Cyclones rallying this season, winning and covering last three and four of last five. Home teams have covered last eight KU reg season games vs. FBS-level foes. Tech edge- Iowa State, based on recent trends.
UL-LAFAYETTE at ARKANSAS STATE… Ragin’ Cajuns got the upset win at USA last week but still just 3-5 vs. spread this season. Home team has covered last two years in series. Tech edge-slight to Arkansas State, based on recent trends.
LSU at ALABAMA … Tigers have won two and covered three of the last four meetings. Also covered last three visits to Tuscaloosa. Tigers 8-0 over this season, now 15-1 over since mid 2022. Tide has covered four of last five this season. Tech edge-Over and LSU, based on totals and series trends.
SOUTH FLORIDA at MEMPHIS… Bulls have covered four of last six this season, 4-1 last five as dog, also over 4-1 last five in 2023. Tigers 0-4-1 vs. spread at Liberty Bowl Stadium this season, in fact road team 5-1-1 vs. spread last seven Memphis games. Tigers also over 5-1 last six in 2023.  Tech edge-South Florida and over, based on team and totals trends.
UTSA at NORTH TEXAS… Mean Green handed Roadrunnners first loss in 2021 the last time these two met in Denton. UTSA rolling again this season with wins last four and covers in the first three of those. UNT has also covered last four this season. Tech edge-slight to UTSA, based on team trends.
SMU at RICE… Old foes from SWC. Ponies 4-1 vs. line last five as American visitor, also under 13-8 since last season. Owls 4-0 as dog in 2023 after Tulane effort. Tech edge-slight to Rice, based on team trends.
OKLAHOMA at OKLAHOMA STATE… Sooners 6-1-1 vs. spread last eight Bedlam meetings. Mike Gundy is 13-6 as underdog since 2019, however, and Cowboys have won outright last four and covered last five this season. OU had covered first six in 2023 before the past two weeks, and remember Sooners were only 5-8 vs. spread a year ago. Tech edge-slight to Oklahoma State, based on recent trends.
FLORIDA ATLANTIC at UAB…Home team has covered the last three meetings, though we have different coaches in tow this year. Tom Herman 3-1-1 vs. line last five with Owls this season, also covered last three away. Trent Dilfer’s Blazers blowing hot and cold this year, 1-2 vs. spread at home vs. FBS-level foes, also over 6-2 last eight. Tech edge-Florida Atlantic and slight to over, based on team and totals trends.
UL MONROE at SOUTHERN MISS... Golden Eagles won and covered finale at Monroe last November. Warhawks, however, 4-1 vs. spread last five on Sun Belt road. USM got cover last week at App State but still just 1-6 vs. points last seven this season, also over 6-2 in 2023. Tech edge-UL Monroe and slight to over, based on recent and totals trends.
KENTUCKY at MISSISSIPPI STATE…  Home team has won and covered last eight years in this series. Cats over 6-2 this season after 12-1 under in 2022. Bulldogs have dropped last four spread decisions at home this term, also under last two after over previous four. Tech edge-slight to Mississippi State and over, based on series and recent totals trends.
ARKANSAS at FLORIDA.. These two haven’t met since 2020 at Gainesville. Porkers on debilitating 6-game SU losing streak but have covered three of last five. Razorbacks 3-1 as dog this season, Sam Pittman 15-8 as dog with Arkansas since 2020. Gators over last four in 2023. Tech edge-slight to Arkansas and over, based on team and totals trends.
MISSOURI at GEORGIA… Tigers have covered last two years in series and almost pulled major upset at Columbia as a 31-point dog a year ago. Mizzou has covered five of last six this season, also over 5-1 last six. Even after Florida romp, Kirby Smart just 2-5-1 vs. line in 2023, Dawgs also over last five. Tech edge-Missouri and over, based on recent and totals trends.
TEXAS A&M at OLE MISS… Lane Kiffin has won and covered both vs. Jimbo since arriving at Ole Miss (2020 game was postponed once then cancelled after second time due to Covid). Ags 0-6 SU, 1-5 vs. line last six as visitor. Rebs 6-2 vs. spread this season, 4-1 at Vaught-Hemingway. Tech edge-Ole Miss, based on team trends.
KANSAS STATE at TEXAS… Horns have won and covered this game the past three seasons. Cats have won and covered last three and four of last five this campaign., and are on 10-3 spread uptick since mid 2022. KSU also over 4-3 last seven. Texas only a so-so 4-5 vs. points since late 2022. Tech edge-slight to Kansas State, based on team trends.
AUBURN at VANDERBILT…  Tigers just 2-5 vs. line last seven this season and 0-3 vs. spread away for Hugh Freeze. Dores, however, are not much, recently snapping 8-game spread skid with rare cover vs. Georgia and now 1-9 last 10 vs. spread, while also over 8-1 this season. Tech edge-Over and slight to Auburn, based on totals and team trends. .
HAWAII at NEVADA… Home team has covered last three meetings. Wolf Pack just snapped 16-game SU losing streak and now has won two in a row after Lobos triumph, with Nevada also covering 5 of last 6 this season. Pack also 5-2 under last seven in 2023. Note Bows no covers last six this term. Tech edge-Nevada, based on team trends.
LOUISIANA TECH at LIBERTY.. Bulldogs no covers last three, 3-6 vs. spread this season. La Tech also just  3-8 vs. line away for Sonny Cumbie since 2022. Unbeaten Flames surprising no covers last two at Lynchburg but 6-2 vs. spread for Jamey Chadwell in 2023. Tech edge-Liberty, based on team trends.
MIDDLE TENNESSEE at NEW MEXICO STATE… Blue Raiders only 2-6 SU and 3-5 vs. line this season. Note Aggies have won last four and covered last six in 2023, also under 6-1 last seven.  Tech edge-New Mexico State and under, based on team and totals trends.
UNLV at NEW MEXICO… Road team has covered last two seasons (both Reb SU wins). UNLV 7-1 vs. line in 2023, 4-0 vs. spread away, also 4-2 over last six. Lobos over five straight and 7-1 last eight this season. Tech edge-UNLV and over, based on recent and totals trends.
GEORGIA SOUTHERN at TEXAS STATE… Teams last met in 2021 when Eagles won and covered at San Marcos. Bobcats have dropped four of last five vs. line after fast start. GaSo under 4-2 last six after Ga State result. Tech edge-slight to Georgia Southern, based on recent trends.
PURDUE at MICHIGAN… Rematch Big Ten title game last season won and covered by Wolverines 43-22. After Nebraska loss, Boilermakers 1-5 vs. spread last six this season. Jim Harbaugh has covered last four this season and now 18-4-2 vs. spread against Big Ten foes since early 2021. Michigan also over last four after under first four this season. Tech edge-Michigan and slight to over, based on team and totals trends.
NOTRE DAME at CLEMSON… Irish reg season win streak vs. ACC ended at 30 against Louisville in early October. Domers won and covered 35-14 at home last season vs. Dabo. Tigers 3-8 vs. line since late 2022, 1-4 vs. spread last five at Death Valley. ND 7-3 vs. spread away from South Bend for Marcus Freeman since last year. Tech edge-Notre Dame, based on recent trends.
WESTERN KENTUCKY at UTEP…Tops 7-4 vs. line as CUSA visitor since early 2021. Miners under 9-1 at Sun Bowl since last season. Tech edge-Under and slight to Western Kentucky, based on totals and team trends.
BOISE STATE at FRESNO STATE… Teams split pair last season on blue carpet, with visiting Bulldogs winning in MW title game. Boise 2-7-2 last eleven away from blue carpet but 4-2-1 as dog since 2021. Broncos also 5-1 over last six in 2023. Fresno no covers last four after 10-3 spread surge prior. Tech edge-Over and slight to Fresno State, based on totals and team trends.