NCAA Tournament Betting: Edwards likes Alabama-Grand Canyon total

NCAA Tournament Betting: Edwards likes Alabama-Grand Canyon total

As of Saturday afternoon, most betting shops had Alabama (22-11 straight up, 17-15-1 against the spread) installed as a six-point favorite for Sunday’s Round-of-32 showdown vs. Grand Canyon in Spokane, WA. The total was 168.5 and the Antelopes were +200 on the money line.

Alabama advanced to the NCAA Tournament’s second round thanks to Friday night’s 109-96 win over Charleston as an 8.5-point favorite. The 205 combined points soared ‘over’ the 172.5-point total.

The ‘over’ improved to 6-1 for the Crimson Tide in its games that have had totals in the 170s.

Mark Sears was the catalyst for the winners, producing 30 points, four rebounds, one steal and five assists compared to just one turnover. Latrell Wrightsell buried 5-of-6 attempts from long distance in a 17-point effort.

The ‘over’ has cashed at an 11-1 clip in Alabama’s last 12 games since the start of February. Those 10 most recent ‘overs’ have produced combined scores of 205, 190, 180, 192, 191, 212, 191, 175, 201 and 180 points.

The Tide has watched the ‘over’ go 25-8 overall this season.

Alabama leads the nation in scoring with its 90.8 points-per-game average. The Tide is ranked 11th in the country in free-throw percentage (78.6%).

On the flip side, Nate Oats’s team is ranked #353 out of 362 Division-1 programs in scoring defense, allowing an average of 80.4 PPG. Therefore, Alabama’s games have averaged combined scores of 171.2 PPG.

The ‘over’ is on a 9-4 run for Grand Canyon. The Antelopes are #52 nationally in scoring (79.5 PPG) and #47 in free-throw percentage (75.5%).

KenPom has ‘Bama ranked #3 in the nation in offensive efficiency, #2 in pace, #9 in effective FG percentage (56.7%) and #8 in two-point percentage. The Tide is #117 in defensive efficiency.

Alabama has allowed its opponents to score at least 87 points in seven of its last eight contests.

KenPom has Bryce Drew’s squad ranked #56 in the country in offensive efficiency, #68 in pace and #32 in offensive rebounding percentage.

PREDICTION: Alabama-Grand Canyon ‘over’ 168.5 points.