
OKC @ DEN







Todays Friday, May 9th Matchup Details
Playoffs Game 3 is on Friday, May 9th 2025
09/05/25 22:00:00 PM EST Tipoff
Playoffs Game 3 Key Match Player Stats to Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets
The number of points logged against Nikola Jokic has been remarkably high (15.0 per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
The quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Thunder.
The Thunder have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
The showdown with Nikola Jokic with respect to getting to the foul line rates in only the 88th percentile for difficulty with the other side’s starting Cs attempting a massive 2.9 foul shots per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander measures in the 100th percentile, compiling an enormous 32.3 points per game this year.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has successfully made an impressive 2.1 shots from downtown per game this season, significantly higher than his 1.3 rate last season.
Among all players in the league, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander lands in the 93rd percentile for playing time, totaling a colossal 34.2 minutes per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Jalen Williams ranks in the 79th percentile for three-point attempts, totaling 5.0 per game this year.
Jalen Williams has been on the court for 32.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 88th percentile.
Aaron Gordon has tallied 23.4 points per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 8.3 more than he’s tallied over the course of the year at home.
Compared to last year’s 26.9% rate, Aaron Gordon’s 3-point ability has spiked this year to 41.7%.
Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 9.4 higher than he’s been on the court for overall this season at home.
The Thunder have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should boost possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 4th-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Russell Westbrook stands to see a rise in performance in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.
Nikola Jokic has successfully made 46.7% of his three-pointers while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 93rd percentile out of all players in the league.
Nikola Jokic has tallied 37.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 99th percentile.
The number of threes attempted against Isaiah Hartenstein has been remarkably high (2.4 per game) when guarding fellow starting Cs this year (100th percentile).
Christian Braun has played 34.3 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile — putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a favorable one for three-pointers; the other team’s starting SGs have shot for the 2nd-highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (44.1%).
Christian Braun is expected to see a rise in efficiency across the board as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.
Jamal Murray has converted 9.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.5 more than he’s made overall this season while playing at home.
Jamal Murray has made 3.5 treys per game over the last 15 games at home, 0.9 more than he’s made from three overall this season while at home.
Jamal Murray has averaged 36.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 98th percentile — putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposition’s starting PGs have averaged the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (7.7).
Aaron Gordon will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing at home generally boosts player performance in all facets of the game.
Out of all players in the league, Michael Porter Jr. measures in the 92nd percentile for three-point shots scored, compiling 2.4 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. places in the 90th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 33.2 minutes per game while at home this year.
Michael Porter Jr. will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home usually increases player performance in all stat categories.
Jalen Williams has successfully made 10.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he’s put through the hoop overall this year away from his home court.
Luguentz Dort has attempted 4.9 3-pointers per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 77th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Luguentz Dort registers in the 78th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 29.3 minutes per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, the other team’s starting SGs have compiled 20.4 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a strong matchup for offensive productivity.
Chet Holmgren has successfully made 2.3 3-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he’s sunk overall this season.
Chet Holmgren has successfully made 5.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.2 higher than he’s put through the net in all games this season while playing away from home.
Alex Caruso has converted 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he’s made from 3-point range overall this season.
Alex Caruso has sunk 2.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he’s put through the hoop overall this season while on the road.
The matchup against Denver is a good one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting SGs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are at home (7.6).
Among all players in the NBA, Michael Porter Jr. slots into the 86th percentile for shots from the field hit while on his home court, putting up a whopping 6.6 per game this year.
Russell Westbrook has logged 17.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.2 more than he’s logged overall this season.
Russell Westbrook has made 51.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games, 6.4% higher than he’s converted in all games this year.
Russell Westbrook has attempted 4.5 free throws per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 1.2 more than he’s attempted overall this season at home.
Nikola Jokic has attempted 22.1 field goals per game over the last 10 games when playing at home, 2.2 higher than he’s attempted over the course of the season at home.
Christian Braun has converted 58.6% of his field goal attempts with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 90th percentile among all players in the league.
Christian Braun has sunk a whopping 2.1 foul shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 1.1 rate last year.
Negative Match Player Stats Trends that should impact Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets
Relative to last year’s 50.0% clip, Isaiah Hartenstein’s 3-point ability has diminished this year to 0.0%.
Among all players in the league, Isaiah Hartenstein registers in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Oklahoma City Thunder will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 8th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Isaiah Hartenstein has made a mere 64.2% of his free throws this season, a significant dropoff from his 73.3 mark last season.
In regard to getting to the foul line, the Oklahoma City Thunder’s lackluster 20.9 foul shots per game rates 9th-worst in the NBA this year.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 more than he’s committed overall this season.
This year when they are on the road, the other team’s starting PGs have shot 20.5% on threes (2nd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a difficult matchup.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander should suffer a drop-off in productivity for all stats considering playing away from home in this matchup.
Jalen Williams has been called for 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (80th percentile).
This year, the opposing team’s starting SFs have tallied 3.9 three attempts per game (4th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
Jalen Williams will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally reduces player performance in all stat categories.
In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a tough one; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are on the road, they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team’s starting PFs over the last 5 games (11.0).
The 8th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Nuggets.
Russell Westbrook has tallied 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 higher than he’s tallied in all games this year.
Nikola Jokic has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he’s accumulated in all games this season.
Christian Braun has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 1.2 more than he’s accumulated in all games this year at home.
Aaron Gordon has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.5 higher than he’s accumulated in all games this season at home.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposing team’s starting PFs have tallied the least three attempts per game in the league over the last 5 games (2.2).
The matchup against the Thunder is a challenging one for 3-pointers; the opposing team’s starting SFs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (25.5%).
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team’s starting SFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (5th-fewest in the league) against the Nuggets, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
Luguentz Dort has been called for 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 0.8 higher than he’s been called for overall this year on the road.
Luguentz Dort has successfully made 50.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 25.0% less than he’s converted in all games this season away from his home court.
Luguentz Dort will likely experience a decrease in production in all stat categories as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a challenging one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team’s starting PFs have tallied the 4th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7).
Chet Holmgren ought to suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game this year (least in the league).
Alex Caruso will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually lowers player production across the board.
The matchup against Oklahoma may be a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition’s starting SFs have attempted just 2.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting team (2nd-least in the NBA).
The matchup against Oklahoma is a tough one for scoring; when the Thunder are on the road, the other team’s starting SGs have put up the lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (34.7%).
Over the last 20 games, the opposition’s starting SGs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
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