Charlotte hosted Washington on Wednesday night, with the Wizards coasting to a 132-116 win. The 248 combined points went ‘over’ the 239.5-point total when there was still 3:26 remaining.
It was an easy winner for me in more ways than one. I had the Wizards-Hornets ‘over,’ in addition to the Indiana-Utah ‘over.’ When the Pacers bested the Jazz 134-118, the 252 combined points soared ‘over’ the 243-point tally.
With that, I had a 2-0 against-the-spread record for the night on VegasInsider, where all of my official picks are monitored. But that wasn’t all for me personally, as I had a reverse (two-game parlay that pays +400 odds but punishes you with extra juice on a split or an 0-2 record) with both plays as well.
The ‘over’ has hit in five straight games for Washington to improve to 6-1 overall. The Wizards are last in the NBA (#30 of 30 clubs) in both scoring defense (126.9 points per game) and field-goal percentage defense (51.7%). They’re also ranked #5 in the NBA in scoring with their 119.3 PPG average. Washington’s games are averaging combined scores of 246.6 PPG.
In a back-to-back spot last night, Indiana (6-3 straight up, 6-3 against the spread) won its third consecutive contest by edging Milwaukee, 126-124. Even though the Bucks were playing without All-Star guard Damian Lillard (calf), who is averaging 24.3 points and 4.7 assists per game, they still combined for 250 points and ‘over’ 239.5 was an easy winner.
With the way these Indiana and Washington ‘overs’ had been treating me, I decided to try a more aggressive approach last night. Not only did I back ‘over’ 242.5 (I got down yesterday morning at a higher number before the news came out that Lillard was listed as ‘questionable.’) for a winner, but I also had Indiana’s Team Total to go ‘over’ 119.5 and for the first-half total to go ‘over’ 118 points.
With that 3-0 night, my profitable run in the NBA went to 10-2 (83%, +786 on $100 bets or +7.86 Units) in the last seven days to improve to 12-8 overall (60%, +3.26 Units) after an abysmal 2-6 start.
The ‘over’ has cashed in six straight games for the Pacers to improve to 8-1 overall. The lone ‘under’ for Indiana had only 217 combined points, but the eight other combined scores have had 263, 238, 259, 237, 249, 263, 252 and 250 points. That’s six games with at least 249 combined points.
The Pacers lead the NBA in scoring with their 126.0 PPG average. They’re #2 in The Association in field-goal percentage (49.6%), #4 in 3-point accuracy (38.7%) and #8 in free-throw percentage (81.7%).
Indiana is ranked #26 in the NBA in both scoring defense (121.6 PPG) and defending the 3-point line (38.7%). The Pacers are #25 in field-goal percentage defense (48.8%). Their games have averaged combined scores of 247.6 PPG.
Indiana is off tonight, but Washington returns home to take on the Hornets in a rematch from two nights ago. As of early this morning, most books had the Wizards installed as two-point favorites with a total of 242.
The ‘over’ is on a 5-0 run for Charlotte with those five games producing combined scores of 248, 242, 249, 247 and 254 points.
Until we start seeing totals North of 245 points or we lose more than one, this bettor will continue to back Washington and Indiana ‘overs’ on a nightly basis.
For tonight, let’s go with these PREDICTIONS: Washington-Charlotte ‘over’ 242 for two units, Hornets-Wizards ‘over’ 118 in the first half for 0.75 units and Washington’s Team Total ‘over’ 121.5 (-120) points (DraftKings) for 0.25 units.