Philadelphia Eagles vs. Washington Commanders
Line: Philadelphia -11
Where: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
When: Monday, 11/14 at 8:15 p.m. ET
The Philadelphia Eagles will play in primetime for the second week in a row when they face the Washington Commanders on Monday night.
Philadelphia was able to remain unbeaten with a 29-17 win over Houston last Thursday, although it failed to cover the 14-point spread. Washington had its three-game winning streak snapped in a 20-17 loss against Minnesota last week, falling one game under the .500 mark.
The Eagles cruised to a 24-8 victory as 5.5-point road favorites when these teams met at FedEx Field in Week 2, as their defense sacked Washington quarterback Carson Wentz nine times. They have now won eight of the last 10 meetings between these teams, covering the spread at a 6-3-1 clip.
Oddsmakers are expecting more of the same on Monday night, opening Philadelphia as a 10-point favorite. There has been some slight movement throughout the week, pushing the line to -11 as of Friday afternoon. Monday’s total opened at 43 and has been bet up to 44—Philadelphia has gone ‘over’ in five of its last six games.
Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts threw for 340 yards and three touchdowns in the last meeting between these teams, with all three of those scoring strikes coming in the second quarter. Wide receiver DeVonta Smith had eight receptions for a career-high 169 yards, while A.J. Brown and tight end Dallas Goedert both caught touchdowns.
The Eagles have been excellent on both sides of the ball during their 8-0 start, ranked third offensively (391.0 ypg) and third defensively (299.0 yapg). Hurts has completed 68.2 percent of his passes for 2,042 yards, 12 touchdowns and two interceptions.
He is also the team’s second-leading rusher with 326 yards and six touchdowns, although has not topped 27 rushing yards in the past three games. Washington was able to hold him in check from that viewpoint in the first meeting, allowing nine carries for 20 yards.
The Commanders will need more from their offense this go around, though. They have not given up more than 21 points in their last five games, but another good performance went up in flames when Minnesota rallied back from a 17-7 deficit in the fourth quarter.
Wentz will not be under center on Monday night due to a broken finger, giving backup Taylor Heinicke is fourth straight start. Heinicke has completed 63.0 percent of his passes for 629 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions.
Running backs Brian Robinson Jr. and Antonio Gibson are both averaging less than 3.7 yards per carry, so they will need a stronger performance in this game. Fourth-year wide receiver Terry McLaurin has caught 38 passes for 609 yards and two touchdowns to lead the passing attack.
Washington’s defense could get a boost with the return of edge rusher Chase Young, who has been out since suffering a knee injury a year ago. Defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio said Friday that Young is not up to full speed, but he is doing everything he can to return. The 23-year-old is expected to be activated to the active roster any day.
The Commanders have gone ‘under’ the total in six of their last seven games, including four of their last five on the road. Philadelphia is 5-2 ATS in its last seven outings and has cashed the ‘over’ in eight of its last nine home games.
The pick: Washington +11
Philadelphia’s perfect start and dominant performance the first time these teams met will attract plenty of betting action on the Eagles, but I am going to fade them for the second straight week in primetime. Washington is built to keep games close before ultimately not having enough offensive firepower down the stretch. The Commanders have been playing very well defensively and they like to run the ball, which means their games tend to go by faster than average. They should cover this number if they avoid costly turnovers.