New Orleans Saints vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Line: New Orleans -7
Where: Mercedes-Benz Superdome
When: Monday, 10/12, at 8:15 p.m. ET
New Orleans bounced back from a two-game losing skid and an early deficit last week against
Detroit by scoring 35 points in a row.
The Saints will now be looking to win their first night game of the season when they host Los
Angeles on Monday night. They opened as 7.5-point favorites and the line has moved one-half point
since then. The total has dropped from 52 to 50 after some early betting action on the ‘under.’
New Orleans had six starters out in its game against the Lions last week. The missing players and
14-0 deficit were not enough to keep the Saints out of the win column, though, as they scored 35
unanswered points and held off a late rally in a 35-29 win. They also covered the spread as 3.5-
point road favorites.
Veteran quarterback Drew Brees was without star wide receiver Michael Thomas, who missed
his third straight game. The Saints relied on their rushing attack, carrying the rock 42 times for
Los Angeles was unable to hold onto its sizeable lead against Tampa Bay last week. The
Chargers raced out to a 24-7 lead in the second quarter, but Tom Brady led the Bucs to a 38-31
Regardless, Chargers’ backers picked up the cover as 7.5-point underdogs. They have now
covered at a 9-3-2 ATS clip in their last 14 games as an underdog.
Los Angeles lost leading running back Austin Ekeler to a hyperextended knee and hamstring
injury in the loss. He was averaging more than five yards per carry and had caught 17 passes for
144 yards. This simply adds to a long list of injured starters.
Rookie quarterback Justin Herbert is going to have more pressure on him in this game, as the
Chargers are also missing wide receiver Mike Williams and a pair of offensive lineman. Herbert
completed 20 of 25 passes for 290 yards and three scores against Tampa Bay.
New Orleans will be without star WR Michael Thomas tonight after he reportedly punched
Chauncey Gardner-Johnson at practice, but TE Jared Cook has been upgraded to ‘probable.’
Brees’ biggest playmaker this season has easily been running back Alvin Kamara. He has carried
the ball 50 times for 236 yards and four touchdowns. Kamara is also the top target in the passing
game, racking up 321 yards and three scores on 30 receptions.
New Orleans has been the much more productive offensive team this season, coming in at No. 6
in the league with 30.8 PPG. Los Angeles has been unable to cash in on many of its long drives,
ranking No. 26 with its 20.8 PPG average.
The ‘over’ has cashed in each of the Saints’ first four games this season. They are just 4-10 ATS
in their last 14 games as home favorites, despite going 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall.
New Orleans is 8-0 ATS in its last eight October contests.
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last five games against New Orleans and has only won once in its
last 10 games against an NFC South opponent.
The pick: New Orleans -7
This should be a shootout, which makes the big number a little easier to swallow. I do not think
Herbert and this Los Angeles team is ready to keep up with this New Orleans offense that could
be getting some key players back. The Chargers are really going to miss Ekeler’s ability to run
the ball and open up the passing game. Brees has really turned it on in the month of October the
last few seasons and he will be looking to make a statement in primetime on Monday night.