
NYY @ CLE


World Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Monday, April 21st
21/04/25 18:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Yankees vs Guardians Matchup Today
Progressive Field ranks as the #3 ballpark in the majors for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the schedule today.
Angel Martinez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Among every team on the slate today, the 15th-worst outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Angel Martinez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 3rd-best field in MLB for right-handed BABIP.
Anthony Volpe has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 4% rate last year to 15.7% this season.
Anthony Volpe’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (16.2°) is considerably higher than his 9.1° mark last season.
Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.
Progressive Field has the 4th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks.
Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an edge in today’s matchup.
When estimating his home run skill, Kyle Manzardo ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Gavin Williams.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Rice in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Ben Rice is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Ben Rice will have an edge in today’s game.
Tallying 97.8 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Gavin Williams checks in at the 91st percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected lineup for the New York Yankees in today’s game owns an estimated true talent wOBA of .333, which is a fair amount lower than their actual wOBA of .349 this year.
It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the New York Yankees offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-luckiest offense in the game this year.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Bo Naylor (the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.
The New York Yankees (24.1% K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-most strikeout-prone set of batters on the slate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 10th-best park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts.
Given that groundball pitchers have a big edge over groundball hitters, Gavin Williams and his 35% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable position in today’s outing being matched up with 3 opposing GB hitters.
Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.
Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.
Cody Bellinger is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Cody Bellinger pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Paul Goldschmidt is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Paul Goldschmidt has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
When it comes to his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in Major League Baseball.
Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Aaron Judge has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 102.6-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 99.5-mph.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Clarke Schmidt’s overall pitching skill is in the 80th percentile out of all SPs in the game right now.
The 5th-worst projected lineup of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Cleveland Guardians.
It may be wise to expect negative regression for the Cleveland Guardians offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
Projected catcher Austin Wells projects as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Cleveland Guardians have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Gabriel Arias, Bo Naylor, Nolan Jones).
Clarke Schmidt’s 2672-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season grades out in the 100th percentile among all starting pitchers.
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Clarke Schmidt must realize this, because he has used his secondary offerings a lot since the start of last season: 79.6% of the time, placing in the 99th percentile.
Nolan Jones’s BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Nolan Jones will have the upper hand today.
Nolan Jones has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Nolan Jones will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Gabriel Arias will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
In the last week’s worth of games, Gabriel Arias’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 100-mph over the course of the season to 105.2-mph in recent games.
Gabriel Arias’s launch angle lately (30.8° over the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 3° seasonal figure.
Batting from the opposite that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Bo Naylor will have an advantage in today’s game.
Extreme groundball bats like Bo Naylor are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Clarke Schmidt.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 79th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage against Gavin Williams in today’s game.
Over the past 7 days, Austin Wells’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 25%.
The switch-hitting Oswaldo Cabrera will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Gavin Williams.
Oswaldo Cabrera’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 43.5% to 60.6%.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage in today’s game.
In the past week’s worth of games, Brayan Rocchio’s 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.6%.
Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.
Steven Kwan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clarke Schmidt in today’s game.
Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Negative Match Player Stats with Yankees vs Guardians
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Angel Martinez in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Angel Martinez is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.
The league’s 4th-highest average fence height can be found at Progressive Field.
The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Clarke Schmidt,In the last week’s worth of games, Angel Martinez has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power).
Angel Martinez has been cold in recent games, putting up an 84.7-mph average exit velocity in the last week.
Angel Martinez has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, striking balls between -4° and 26° just 27.3% of the time in the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 4th-worst field in the league for lefty home runs.
Anthony Volpe is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.
Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Anthony Volpe in today’s game.
Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Among all the teams in action today, the best infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 4th-worst venue in the game for RHB home runs.
Anthony Volpe will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Kyle Manzardo’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 38.1% to 24.4%.
Over the past 14 days, Kyle Manzardo’s 20% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 25.6%.
As it relates to his batting average, Kyle Manzardo has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .227 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .201.
Jasson Dominguez is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
20% of the time that Jasson Dominguez has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jasson Dominguez in today’s matchup.
Over the past 14 days, Jasson Dominguez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.
Ben Rice will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
From last season to this one, Ben Rice’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.4% to 10.6%.
Ben Rice has been lucky this year, compiling a .425 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .347 — a .078 disparity.
Posting a .237 BABIP since the start of last season, Ben Rice is positioned in the 17th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 7th-best stadium in the league for walks.
Among all major league parks, Progressive Field’s LF fences are the 3rd-shallowest.
With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Gavin Williams will have a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.
Placing in the 16th percentile, Gavin Williams has compiled a 1.97 K/BB rate since the start of last season.
Gavin Williams is an extreme flyball pitcher (35% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #22 HR venue among all major league stadiums in this matchup.
Gavin Williams didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out in his last game started and put up 2 Ks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 0th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Clarke Schmidt today.
Carlos Santana’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (5.3°) is significantly worse than his 14.1° mark last year.
In terms of his batting average, Carlos Santana has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .238 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .217.
Checking in at the 10th percentile, Carlos Santana sits with a .253 BABIP since the start of last season.
Over the past 7 days, Jose Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.
Jose Ramirez’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 91-mph average last season has decreased to 88.1-mph.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) implies that Jose Ramirez has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .278 actual batting average.
Cody Bellinger’s BABIP skill is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Extreme flyball bats like Cody Bellinger tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Gavin Williams.
Cody Bellinger will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Cody Bellinger has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 87.6-mph over the past week.
Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Paul Goldschmidt in today’s game.
In the last 7 days, Paul Goldschmidt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.6% down to 0%.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.323) provides evidence that Paul Goldschmidt has been very fortunate this year with his .374 actual wOBA.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Over the last week, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s 6.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 26.1%.
Over the past 7 days, Jazz Chisholm Jr.’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37%.
Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge in today’s matchup.
Aaron Judge hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.
Extreme flyball hitters like Aaron Judge tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Gavin Williams.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Aaron Judge in today’s matchup.
The Cleveland Guardians have 7 hitters in the projected offense that will hold the platoon advantage over Clarke Schmidt in today’s game.
Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Clarke Schmidt (43.2% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 3 GB hitters in Cleveland’s projected lineup.
Clarke Schmidt will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Nolan Jones has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (78% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
21% of the time that Nolan Jones has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
Nolan Jones has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week.
Over the past 7 days, Nolan Jones’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 7.4%.
Posting a .268 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Nolan Jones is ranked in the 6th percentile.
Gabriel Arias is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the same side that Clarke Schmidt throws from, Gabriel Arias faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Gabriel Arias hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.
Typically, hitters like Gabriel Arias who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Clarke Schmidt.
Gabriel Arias has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .293 figure is considerably higher than his .264 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Bo Naylor is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
This year, Bo Naylor has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
Bo Naylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Bo Naylor has notched a .262 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 5th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Austin Wells is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game.
Typically, hitters like Austin Wells who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Gavin Williams.
Austin Wells will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 11th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Oswaldo Cabrera is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Oswaldo Cabrera has been pinch hit for 19% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
Oswaldo Cabrera hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Oswaldo Cabrera in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 6th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Brayan Rocchio is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Brayan Rocchio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Brayan Rocchio’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 87.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 84.1-mph in the past week.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
There has been a significant decline in Brayan Rocchio’s launch angle from last year’s 9.2° to 4° this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Steven Kwan’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (8.3°) is quite a bit lower than his 13° angle last season.
Steven Kwan’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 14.5% on the season to 11.1% in the past 7 days.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.321) implies that Steven Kwan has had some very good luck this year with his .382 actual wOBA.
Steven Kwan’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to study power) has been 105.6 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 2nd percentile.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Steven Kwan ranks in the 6th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 6.500.
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