Yankees vs Blue Jays match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, July 2nd

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Yankees vs Blue Jays match player stats | 2025 Series Game 3 Wednesday, July 2nd

NYY @ TOR

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays Series Game 3Yankees vs Blue JaysYankees vs Blue JaysYankees vs Blue JaysYankees vs Blue JaysYankees vs Blue JaysYankees vs Blue Jays

Series Game 3 Matchup Details

New York Yankees at Toronto Blue Jays
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, July 2nd
02/07/25 19:07:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Yankees vs Blue Jays Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Addison Barger in the 79th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Addison Barger is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #3 stadium in the game for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in MLB are found in Rogers Centre.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report calls for the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 85°.

Considering Will Warren’s large platoon split, Addison Barger will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for RHB home runs.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Will Warren in the 86th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

Austin Wells, the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #7 venue in the league for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Because of his large platoon split, Will Warren will hold the advantage matching up with 6 bats in the projected lineup who bat from the same side in today’s game.

Because groundball pitchers have a sizeable edge over groundball hitters, Will Warren and his 46% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a favorable position in this outing being matched up with 2 opposing GB hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Will Warren in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent level.

Will Warren is an extreme groundball pitcher (46% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Rogers Centre — the #5 HR venue in the league — in this game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, George Springer ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

George Springer is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Cody Bellinger is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Cody Bellinger will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Given Will Warren’s large platoon split, Andres Gimenez will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Andres Gimenez is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average skill.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his batting average ability, Bo Bichette is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bo Bichette is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Alejandro Kirk’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Jose Berrios is an extreme flyball pitcher (32.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #5 HR venue among all parks in today’s game.

New York Yankees batters as a group grade out in Major League Baseball for power this year when assessing with their 11.4% Barrel%.

The New York Yankees have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jazz Chisholm Jr., Aaron Judge, Jasson Dominguez, Giancarlo Stanton).

Jose Berrios will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his metrics in all categories.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have an edge in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like DJ LeMahieu tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jose Berrios.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Giancarlo Stanton as MLB’s 5th-best home run batter.

Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Giancarlo Stanton’s launch angle this year (24°) is significantly higher than his 14.3° angle last year.

Giancarlo Stanton has compiled a .335 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Aaron Judge is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Aaron Judge has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 26.8% seasonal rate to 39.4% over the last 14 days.

Ernie Clement’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ernie Clement will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathan Lukes in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Because of Will Warren’s large platoon split, Nathan Lukes will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathan Lukes has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Austin Wells will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios today.

Austin Wells’s launch angle this year (21.2°) is considerably higher than his 16.9° mark last year.

In terms of his batting average, Austin Wells has suffered from bad luck this year. His .214 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.

Negative Match Player Stats with Yankees vs Blue Jays Series Game 3

Among all major league parks, the 8th-highest fences are at Rogers Centre.

The #6 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Addison Barger’s true offensive talent to be a .315, suggesting that he has had some very good luck this year given the .022 difference between that mark and his actual .337 wOBA.

Anthony Volpe is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

The #6 venue in baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Jose Berrios will have the handedness advantage over Anthony Volpe in today’s matchup.

The Toronto Blue Jays infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams today.

Anthony Volpe will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 17.2% underlying K%.

Will Warren will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The #5 park in the game for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the New York Yankees.

Because of Will Warren’s large platoon split, George Springer will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

Typically, bats like Cody Bellinger who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jose Berrios.

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cody Bellinger today.

Cody Bellinger’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 91-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 86.1-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

When it comes to his home run ability, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andres Gimenez has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Typically, batters like Andres Gimenez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Will Warren.

Over the last 14 days, Andres Gimenez’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 89.9 mph to 76.8 mph.

Andres Gimenez’s launch angle in recent games (2.7° in the past week’s worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 7.7° seasonal figure.

Will Warren will hold the platoon advantage over Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Warren’s large platoon split.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle recently (4.7° over the last 7 days) is significantly lower than his 8° seasonal figure.

Considering Will Warren’s large platoon split, Bo Bichette will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Bo Bichette’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 13.4% on the season to 10.2% in the last two weeks.

Considering Will Warren’s large platoon split, Alejandro Kirk will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.

The New York Yankees have been the 7th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse going forward,Projected catcher Alejandro Kirk profiles as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Considering that flyball batters perform worse against flyball pitchers, Jose Berrios (32.6% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected lineup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jazz Chisholm Jr. in today’s game.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .360 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .341 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. has recorded a .229 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects DJ LeMahieu in the 13th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

DJ LeMahieu is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, DJ LeMahieu will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Toronto’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for DJ LeMahieu, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

Batting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Giancarlo Stanton will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Giancarlo Stanton will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Giancarlo Stanton has struggled with his Barrel%; his 20.9% rate last season has decreased to 3.4% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Giancarlo Stanton in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Aaron Judge has a tough challenge today.

Extreme flyball bats like Aaron Judge generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Jose Berrios.

Aaron Judge will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Will Warren will have the handedness advantage against Ernie Clement today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Warren’s large platoon split.

Ernie Clement’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 87.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 82.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

In the last two weeks, Ernie Clement’s 5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.9%.

Nathan Lukes is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Typically, batters like Nathan Lukes who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Will Warren.

Nathan Lukes has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 6.6°, Nathan Lukes has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.3°) over the past two weeks.

As it relates to his home run ability, Nathan Lukes ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 14th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Austin Wells is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Typically, batters like Austin Wells who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jose Berrios.

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