
CWS @ KC





Todays Game 3 Matchup Details
Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, July 21st
2024-07-21 14:10:00 EST First Pitch
Player match stat positives for Chicago at Kansas City Game 3 Matchup Today
Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest elevation among all major league parks. High elevation generally leads to better offense.
Compared to his seasonal average of 20.6°, Paul DeJong has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 24.9° figure over the last two weeks.
Last season, Paul DeJong had an average launch angle of 15.5° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 21.1°.
The #2 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Kauffman Stadium has the 10th-shortest fences in Major League Baseball.
Paul Clemons grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate today.
Andrew Thorpe’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (65.6% this year) ought to work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Andrew Thorpe has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, compiling a 5.23 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.10 — a 1.87 K/9 deviation.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.
When it comes to his batting average talent, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.
Out of all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Chicago White Sox.
Maikel Garcia’s BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Seth Lugo’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 76th percentile out of all starters in the league right now.
Seth Lugo has averaged 95.3 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, placing in the 90th percentile.
The 3rd-weakest projected offense of the day in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Chicago White Sox.
The deepest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Kauffman Stadium.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Hunter Renfroe will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In terms of plate discipline, Hunter Renfroe’s talent is quite strong, posting a 1.97 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 76th percentile.
Batting from the opposite that Drew Thorpe throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Kyle Isbel will hold that advantage today.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Tommy Pham ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Tommy Pham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Adam Frazier is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Adam Frazier will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Thorpe in today’s game.
Tommy Pham’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 43.3% to 49.7%.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 13th-best batter in the league.
Bobby Witt Jr. will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.
The Chicago White Sox have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Chuckie Robinson, Paul DeJong, Luis Robert).
With 6 batters who share his handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Seth Lugo figures to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Luis Robert is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.
Ranking in the 96th percentile for power, Luis Robert has hit 36.8 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
When assessing his home run skill, Salvador Perez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
Michael Massey is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Michael Massey will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Drew Thorpe today.
The #2 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an edge today.
Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Drew Thorpe in today’s game.
Salvador Perez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
Andrew Vaughn has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 9.8% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Andrew Thorpe performed well in his last outing and allowed 2 ER.
Michael Massey will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run ability.
In the last two weeks, Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 93.9-mph recently.
Maikel Garcia has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .275 rate is deflated compared to his .304 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
In the last 7 days, Andrew Benintendi’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.2% up to 16.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
When it comes to his home run ability, Hunter Renfroe ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
There has been a significant improvement in Hunter Renfroe’s launch angle from last season’s 14.9° to 19° this year.
Adam Frazier will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
In the last week’s worth of games, Adam Frazier’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3% up to 20%.
Sunday Game 3 player match stat slumps with White Sox vs Royals Matchup
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul DeJong in the 6th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Paul DeJong is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast calls for the 5th-best pitching conditions on the slate.
Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Paul DeJong in today’s game.
Paul DeJong pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Thorpe to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (12th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The Kansas City Royals (20.9 K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup of the day.
Kauffman Stadium ranks as the #29 venue in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Andrew Thorpe will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Riley Baldwin is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Riley Baldwin will bat from his worse side against Seth Lugo in this game.
Riley Baldwin pulls many of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s deepest RF fences today.
Riley Baldwin will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Today, Vinnie Pasquantino is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.3% rate (93rd percentile).
Vinnie Pasquantino has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.
Vinnie Pasquantino’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 93.1-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 88.3-mph in the last week.
Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded a .241 BABIP this year, checking in at the 8th percentile.
Hitting from the same side that Drew Thorpe throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Bobby Witt Jr. has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.7%) and will be challenged by the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.
In the past week’s worth of games, Bobby Witt Jr.’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15% up to 22.2%.
Bobby Witt Jr.’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 92.6-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 86.1-mph over the past 7 days.
Maikel Garcia is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Batting from the same side that Drew Thorpe throws from, Maikel Garcia will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
In today’s matchup, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.4% rate (94th percentile).
Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 92.7-mph average last year has fallen to 90-mph.
The Chicago White Sox have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better going forward, Salvador Perez, the Royals’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #1 venue in the majors for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
In his last start, Seth Lugo gave up a whopping 5 earned runs.
Hunter Renfroe’s BABIP ability is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hunter Renfroe is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
Drew Thorpe will have the handedness advantage over Hunter Renfroe today.
In today’s game, Hunter Renfroe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 40% rate (98th percentile).
Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.
16% of the time that Kyle Isbel has started against a northpaw this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.
The #5 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Kauffman Stadium as the 5th-worst field in the game for right-handed home runs.
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Tommy Pham meets a tough challenge today.
Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tommy Pham today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 4th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Adam Frazier has been pinch hit for 30% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
Adam Frazier has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 83.8-mph dropping to 81.2-mph over the last two weeks.
Tommy Pham has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 5.7% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 24th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Seth Lugo will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Vaughn in today’s matchup.
Andrew Vaughn hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 4th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andrew Vaughn today.
Sporting a 3.6 K/BB rate this year, Andrew Vaughn has demonstrated weak plate discipline, grading out in the 24th percentile.
Seth Lugo’s 91.7-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a substantial 1.1-mph drop off from last year’s 92.8-mph mark.
Seth Lugo has relied on his curveball 10.4% less often this season (18.9%) than he did last season (29.3%).
Hitting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Luis Robert will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.
Today, Luis Robert is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.8% rate (80th percentile).
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Robert today.
Batting from the same side that Drew Thorpe throws from, Salvador Perez faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 21st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Michael Massey pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s deepest RF fences today.
Michael Massey has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 30.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 21.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Massey has not been good at making hard contact. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (104.8 mph) put him among the league’s worst: in the 11th percentile this year.
Adam Frazier’s BABIP skill is projected in the 23rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Luis Robert has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 14.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.
Andrew Benintendi hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Andrew Benintendi will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Andrew Benintendi has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph dropping to 82.7-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Andrew Benintendi’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.4% to 38.5%.
Michael Massey has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .323 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .286 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
It may be sensible to expect stronger performance for the Kansas City Royals offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.
Michael Massey’s launch angle this season (13°) is considerably worse than his 19.6° mark last season.
As it relates to his home run ability, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 20th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Salvador Perez has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .280 mark is inflated compared to his .260 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
