White Sox vs Red Sox match player stats Sunday, September 8th 2024. Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox Series Game 3

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White Sox vs Red Sox match player stats Sunday, September 8th 2024. Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox Series Game 3

CWS @ BOS

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 8th
08/09/24 13:35:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for White Sox vs Red Sox Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 6th-best stadium in MLB for RHB BABIP.

Fenway Park has the shallowest LF fences in Major League Baseball.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.3-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When assessing his home run ability, Triston Casas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in the majors for run-scoring.

Hitting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Triston Casas will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Andrew Vaughn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Chris Flexen’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 11th percentile out of all SPs in the majors right now.

Andy Fletcher profiles as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Korey Lee (the White Sox’s expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

The #3 ballpark in MLB for boosting BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Jarren Duran is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Rafael Devers ranks as the 18th-best hitter in the game.

Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Flexen in today’s matchup.

Dominic Fletcher will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello in today’s matchup… and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split.

The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Fletcher stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Dominic Fletcher has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Ceddanne Rafaela will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Tyler O’Neill projects as the 12th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Tyler O’Neill is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Tyler O’Neill has big-time power (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (30.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Chris Flexen struggles to strike batters out (11th percentile K%) — great news for O’Neill.

Andrew Vaughn’s launch angle this season (17°) is a considerable increase over his 11.1° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Given Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Andrew Benintendi will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Andrew Benintendi has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

In the league, Fenway Park’s right field dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.

Gavin Sheets will hold the platoon advantage over Brayan Bello today… and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Miguel Vargas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Miguel Vargas generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Lenyn Sosa has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Lenyn Sosa has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.2-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.9-mph EV.

Lenyn Sosa has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .241 rate is quite a bit lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the last week, Ceddanne Rafaela’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 28.6%.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 16.5% on the season to 42.9% in the last 7 days.

Masataka Yoshida’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 6th-best field in baseball for LHB BABIP.

When it comes to his home run skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Wilyer Abreu has big-time power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Chris Flexen doesn’t generate many whiffs (25th percentile K%) — great news for Abreu.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Gavin Sheets is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP.

Over the last week, Dominic Fletcher’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.6% up to 11.1%.

The Boston Red Sox have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler O’Neill, Wilyer Abreu, Connor Wong).

Triston Casas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Luis Robert Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Luis Robert Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Nicky Lopez is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Because of Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Nicky Lopez will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

Nicky Lopez may have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Boston Red Sox only has 1 same-handed RP.

Out of all the teams today, the worst infield defense belongs to the Boston Red Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Vargas’s true offensive skill to be a .318, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .059 disparity between that mark and his actual .259 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Luis Robert’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, rising from 17.4% on the season to 28.6% over the last week.

Nicky Lopez has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.

Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Hitting from the opposite that Chris Flexen throws from, Masataka Yoshida will have an advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tyler O’Neill ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler O’Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Negative Match Player Stats with White Sox vs Red Sox Series Game 3

Connor Wong has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which often leads to worse offense.

Hitting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Connor Wong encounters a tough challenge today.

Connor Wong has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last 7 days.

Connor Wong’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 44.3% to 38.3%.

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today.

Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) among all parks.

Triston Casas has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.

Triston Casas has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.9-mph dropping to 79.1-mph over the last week.

Given Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Andrew Vaughn will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Vaughn today.

Andrew Vaughn’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 90.4-mph seasonal average has fallen to 86.7-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Boston Red Sox offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Given his large reverse platoon split, Chris Flexen figures to be at an advantage facing 6 batters in the projected offense who bat from the other side in this game.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Chris Flexen has utilized his non-fastballs 8.5% more often this season (63%) than he did last season (54.5%).

With a 0.3 discrepancy between Chris Flexen’s 5.36 ERA and his 5.06 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to positively regress the rest of the season.

In the past 7 days, Jarren Duran’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jarren Duran’s true offensive ability to be a .341, suggesting that he has been very fortunate this year given the .031 difference between that figure and his actual .372 wOBA.

In the last week’s worth of games, Rafael Devers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.5% down to 0%.

Rafael Devers’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased recently; his 95.4-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 84.6-mph in the last week.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.6°, Rafael Devers’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-0.1° in the past 14 days).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Fletcher in the 10th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Dominic Fletcher is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Dominic Fletcher has been pulled from the game early 14% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Ceddanne Rafaela has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph dropping to 81.5-mph over the last week.

Based on Statcast data, Ceddanne Rafaela is in the 19th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .287.

Batting from the same side that Chris Flexen throws from, Tyler O’Neill has a tough challenge today.

Tyler O’Neill has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .363 figure is a good deal higher than his .323 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andrew Benintendi will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Andrew Benintendi has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph dropping to 85.6-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Placing in the 18th percentile, Andrew Benintendi has notched a .286 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Sheets in the 19th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Gavin Sheets has been pulled from the game early 12% of the time.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gavin Sheets in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Gavin Sheets’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

Miguel Vargas is penciled in 8th in the lineup today.

Brayan Bello will have the handedness advantage over Miguel Vargas in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.

Miguel Vargas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Lenyn Sosa is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

Because of Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Lenyn Sosa will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

Lenyn Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Over the past 14 days, Masataka Yoshida’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

Masataka Yoshida’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 88-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 79.3-mph over the past week.

Over the last two weeks, Masataka Yoshida’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 10.5°.

Masataka Yoshida has been lucky this year, compiling a .343 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .329 — a .014 discrepancy.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.344) implies that Rafael Devers has been lucky this year with his .371 actual wOBA.

Wilyer Abreu has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .267 rate is inflated compared to his .226 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the past 14 days, Miguel Vargas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

In the past week’s worth of games, Wilyer Abreu’s 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.8%.

Gavin Sheets’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 87.8-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 84.5-mph over the last two weeks.

In notching a .240 BABIP this year, Andrew Benintendi has performed in the 4th percentile.

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Chris Flexen in the 10th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chris Flexen to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (12th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Fenway Park profiles as the #22 venue in the league for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Brayan Bello will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Robert Jr. today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Robert Jr. today.

Luis Robert has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 15.5% rate last season has dropped off to 10.4% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicky Lopez in the 0th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Typically, batters like Nicky Lopez who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Brayan Bello.

Nicky Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Luis Robert has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.4% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicky Lopez in the 12th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 5.9°, Nicky Lopez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (2.9°) in the last two weeks.

In the last week, Lenyn Sosa’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Fletcher in the 12th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Dominic Fletcher will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 24th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Connor Wong’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.1-mph mark last season has decreased to 86.8-mph.

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