World Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for White Sox vs Red Sox Series Game 4 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Wilyer Abreu will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan Cannon today.

Wilyer Abreu pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best park in the majors for run-scoring.

The #8 field in the game for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for right-handed batting average.

Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions among all parks.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last week’s worth of games, Ceddanne Rafaela’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.2% up to 18.2%.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 18.4% on the season to 27.3% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 8th-best ballpark in the league for RHB home runs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Edgar Quero has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

In MLB, Fenway Park’s right field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

Out of all the teams today, the 14th-best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edgar Quero in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

In the last 7 days, Edgar Quero has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .416.

The Boston Red Sox projected lineup grades out as the 4th-strongest of the day in terms of overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for batting average.

Given that groundball batters hold a substantial advantage over flyball pitchers, Jonathan Cannon and his 43.1% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot in today’s matchup squaring off against 0 opposing GB batters.

Jonathan Cannon will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Recording 94.6 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Jonathan Cannon falls in the 75th percentile.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-most strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate today is the Boston Red Sox with a 24.7% underlying K%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kristian Campbell in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Kristian Campbell will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Kristian Campbell has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Kristian Campbell ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brooks Baldwin has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, upping his 11.1% seasonal rate to 26.7% in the past week.

Brooks Baldwin has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season’s 90.6-mph mark.

Brooks Baldwin’s launch angle of late (24.4° in the last 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 11.8° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have an advantage in today’s game.

Andrew Benintendi has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.3% rate last season to 13.3% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Rafael Devers will hold the platoon advantage against Jonathan Cannon in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Trevor Story is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

Trevor Story has strong power (81st percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (28.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jonathan Cannon struggles to strike batters out (18th percentile K%) — great news for Story.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Alex Bregman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Alex Bregman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Alex Bregman tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jonathan Cannon.

The Chicago White Sox have been the unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress the rest of the season,Given that groundball batters have a big edge over flyball pitchers, Walker Buehler and his 43.3% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a tough position in this outing squaring off against 0 opposing GB bats.

Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 3rd-most strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Chicago White Sox with a 24.4% underlying K%.

Michael A. Taylor hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Michael A. Taylor’s launch angle from last year’s 13.3° to 20.4° this season.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Michael A. Taylor has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .239 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .273.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael A. Taylor in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Rob Refsnyder will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Rob Refsnyder has hit 44.9% of his balls in the air at least 100 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rob Refsnyder in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Luis Robert Jr.’s BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Robert Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Luis Robert Jr. has been unlucky this year, putting up a .240 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .321 — a .081 difference.

Nick Maton is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Nick Maton will have an advantage today.

Nick Maton hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Nick Maton are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Walker Buehler.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Andrew Vaughn is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Andrew Vaughn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Andrew Vaughn has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs of late, angling balls between 23° and 34° 29.3% of the time over the last 14 days.

When it comes to his home run skill, Triston Casas ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Triston Casas will have an advantage today.

Triston Casas will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Jarren Duran is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Jarren Duran will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonathan Cannon in today’s game.

Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jarren Duran ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jacob Amaya has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

Over the last two weeks, Jacob Amaya has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, notching a 23° angle.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.205) suggests that Jacob Amaya has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .162 actual wOBA.

Miguel Vargas hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Miguel Vargas usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Walker Buehler.

Miguel Vargas has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 4.6% rate last season to 11.1% this year.

Miguel Vargas has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.4-mph average to last year’s 86.2-mph mark.

Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Lenyn Sosa has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Lenyn Sosa has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .281 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .324.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Carlos Narvaez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Carlos Narvaez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 84.7-mph over the course of the season to 89.6-mph of late.

In the past week, Carlos Narvaez has displayed impressive power, recording a a 15.4% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power).

Negative Match Player Stats with White Sox vs Red Sox Series Game 4

Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest altitudes in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 8th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

In the last 7 days, Wilyer Abreu’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.

Wilyer Abreu’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 11.4% on the season to 0% over the last week.

Fenway Park has the 2nd-highest fence height (on average) in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 24th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Jonathan Cannon will hold the platoon advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela today.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Edgar Quero will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Walker Buehler today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Edgar Quero in today’s game.

It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Phil Cuzzi) in charge of the strike zone today.

Jonathan Cannon was in good form in his previous game started and gave up 0 ER.

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Jonathan Cannon in the 18th percentile among all starters in the majors.

The #4 park in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

Jonathan Cannon has recorded an 8.9% Swinging Strike% since the start of last season, placing in the 17th percentile.

Kristian Campbell is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Kristian Campbell faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.333) may lead us to conclude that Kristian Campbell has been very fortunate this year with his .388 actual wOBA.

Brooks Baldwin is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Brooks Baldwin will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Sporting a .253 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Brooks Baldwin is positioned in the 16th percentile for offensive skills.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andrew Benintendi in today’s matchup.

Andrew Benintendi’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88-mph EV last season has fallen off to 85.4-mph.

With a .247 BABIP since the start of last season, Andrew Benintendi grades out in the 6th percentile.

Jonathan Cannon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Story today.

Trevor Story has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .285 figure is quite a bit higher than his .227 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.308) implies that Trevor Story has been very fortunate this year with his .373 actual wOBA.

Jonathan Cannon will have the handedness advantage over Alex Bregman in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.312) implies that Alex Bregman has had positive variance on his side this year with his .372 actual wOBA.

The weakest projected offense of all teams today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the the Chicago White Sox.

Home field advantage typically bolsters pitcher stats across the board, and Walker Buehler will hold that advantage today.

Compared to the average pitcher, Walker Buehler has been granted a shorter leash than the average pitcher since the start of last season, tallying an -7.1 fewer adjusted pitches each game.

Placing in the 6th percentile, Walker Buehler compiled a 7.9% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season.

Walker Buehler has put up an 18.7% K% since the start of last season, checking in at the 19th percentile.

Michael A. Taylor’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael A. Taylor is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Michael A. Taylor will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Rob Refsnyder has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Rob Refsnyder will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Rob Refsnyder has been lucky since the start of last season. His .358 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .335.

Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage over Luis Robert Jr. in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Robert Jr. in today’s matchup.

Luis Robert Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 8.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Maton in the 4th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

This year, Nick Maton has been pulled from the game early in 21% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Maton in today’s game.

Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Andrew Vaughn encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Andrew Vaughn will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Andrew Vaughn’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 90.3-mph figure last season has decreased to 88.2-mph.

Triston Casas is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 18.5°, Triston Casas has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.8°) over the last 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 10.3°, Jarren Duran has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.2°) in the past two weeks.

Jarren Duran’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (4°) is a significant dropoff from his 8.4° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Amaya in the 3rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jacob Amaya is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Since the start of last season, Jacob Amaya has been pulled from the game early in 11% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 21st percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Batting from the same side that Walker Buehler throws from, Miguel Vargas has a tough challenge today.

Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage against Lenyn Sosa in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lenyn Sosa today.

Lenyn Sosa’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 16% to 8.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Narvaez in the 8th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

Carlos Narvaez is penciled in 9th in the lineup today.

Carlos Narvaez has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Narvaez in the 19th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

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