White Sox @ Mariners Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the Chicago White Sox Series Game 2 Game Today

When it comes to his home run ability, Colson Montgomery ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Colson Montgomery is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

,T-Mobile Park has the 9th-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.

,Colson Montgomery will have the handedness advantage against Bryce Miller today.

,Colson Montgomery pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,When estimating his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest in Major League Baseball.

,Considering Anthony Kay’s large platoon split, Julio Rodriguez will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today.

,Tristan Peters will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today’s matchup.

,Tristan Peters pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the Seattle Mariners.

,Ranking in the 89th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.75 ft/sec this year, Tristan Peters is notably toolsy.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Rob Refsnyder is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Considering Anthony Kay’s large platoon split, Rob Refsnyder will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

,Munetaka Murakami projects as the 2nd-best home run batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Munetaka Murakami is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Munetaka Murakami will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Miller in today’s game.

,Munetaka Murakami pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Julio Rodriguez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Colt Emerson will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

,The switch-hitting Drew Romo will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Bryce Miller.

,Drew Romo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.4% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Drew Romo has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .378.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

,J.P. Crawford has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage today.

,Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Josh Naylor pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Josh Naylor has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season’s 90.3-mph EV.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Josh Naylor’s ability is quite good, posting a 1.67 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 76th percentile.

,Andrew Benintendi is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Andrew Benintendi pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 91st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Samuel Antonacci in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Samuel Antonacci is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

,Hitting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Samuel Antonacci will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Samuel Antonacci has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Rob Refsnyder will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

,Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

,Randy Arozarena will hold the platoon advantage over Anthony Kay in today’s game… and even better, Kay has a large platoon split.

,Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Jarred Kelenic will have an advantage today.

,Considering Anthony Kay’s large platoon split, Connor Joe will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.

,Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Connor Joe will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Anthony Kay in the 8th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching talent level.

,It may be best to expect better numbers for the Seattle Mariners offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

,Among all stadiums, T-Mobile Park’s RF dimensions are the shallowest.

,Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Anthony Kay in today’s matchup.

,Andrew Benintendi has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 22.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount lower than his 30.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Projected catcher Mitch Garver profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,With 7 bats of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Bryce Miller encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.

,In the last two weeks, Samuel Antonacci has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .355.

,J.P. Crawford has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last season’s 89.7-mph EV.

,There has been a significant improvement in Colson Montgomery’s launch angle from last season’s 18° to 21.7° this season.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Munetaka Murakami ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Randy Arozarena will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Miguel Vargas has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 9.6% rate last year to 15.5% this year.

,The Chicago White Sox have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jarred Kelenic, Munetaka Murakami, Colson Montgomery).

,T-Mobile Park grades out as the #3 venue in the game for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Compared to last season, Andrew Benintendi has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.5% to 45.5% this season.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Josh Naylor ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Miguel Vargas is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the weak outfield defense of Seattle (#2-worst on the slate today).

,With a 25.200 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jarred Kelenic grades out in the 81st percentile for power.

,Given the 1.14 gap between Anthony Kay’s 6.37 K/9 and his 7.50 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to see positive regression in future games.

Negatives with the Seattle Mariners Series Game 2 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst ballpark in the league for run-scoring.

,T-Mobile Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

,As far as temperature and humidity go, the 3rd-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.

,Colson Montgomery will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Colson Montgomery’s true offensive skill to be a .318, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .045 deviation between that mark and his actual .363 wOBA.

,Julio Rodriguez’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 91.9-mph EV last year has decreased to 89.5-mph.

,Julio Rodriguez ranks in the 19th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (38.1% rate this year).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tristan Peters in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Tristan Peters is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,T-Mobile Park projects as the #29 venue in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,This year, Rob Refsnyder has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 64% of his appearances when starting against lefty on the mound.

,Rob Refsnyder has struggled with his Barrel%; his 12.9% rate last season has dropped off to 7.5% this year.

,Rob Refsnyder’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 92-mph average last year has fallen to 87.1-mph.

,When assessing his home run ability, Tristan Peters ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Munetaka Murakami will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Munetaka Murakami’s true offensive ability to be a .355, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .035 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .390 wOBA.

,T-Mobile Park profiles as the #29 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Colt Emerson is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Given Anthony Kay’s large platoon split, Colt Emerson will be at a tremendous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Drew Romo ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Drew Romo is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Given Anthony Kay’s large platoon split, J.P. Crawford will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

,From last season to this one, J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 19% to 13.6%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 14th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Given Anthony Kay’s large platoon split, Josh Naylor will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Andrew Benintendi today.

,In notching a .220 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Andrew Benintendi is positioned in the 14th percentile.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Samuel Antonacci in today’s matchup.

,Samuel Antonacci has been lucky this year, posting a .355 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .029 deviation.

,J.P. Crawford has performed at a clip of 9.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 15th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Bryce Miller will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miguel Vargas in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Miguel Vargas in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Vargas’s true offensive skill to be a .349, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .028 deviation between that mark and his actual .377 wOBA.

,Randy Arozarena has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 11.6% rate last season has fallen off to 5.6% this season.

,Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 94.7-mph EV last year has dropped off to 92.7-mph.

,Randy Arozarena’s launch angle this year (6.4°) is a significant dropoff from his 13.4° angle last year.

,Jarred Kelenic’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jarred Kelenic is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Connor Joe’s BABIP talent is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Connor Joe is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

,54% of the time that Connor Joe has started against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,Ryan Blakney grades out as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is scheduled to be calling pitches in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst park in MLB for batting average.

,Anthony Kay was rolling in his last outing and gave up 2 ER.

,Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Andrew Benintendi has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.5 mph (an advanced metric to evaluate power), placing in the 12th percentile.

,It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Chicago White Sox offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 3rd-luckiest offense in the league this year.

,Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Bryce Miller will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Samuel Antonacci ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jarred Kelenic in today’s game.

,Colson Montgomery’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Anthony Kay has averaged 13.7 outs per GS this year, checking in at the 14th percentile.

,Bryce Miller’s high utilization rate of his fastball (56.9% since the start of last season) is likely dampening his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,Randy Arozarena has been lucky this year, posting a .363 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .024 gap.

,Using Statcast data, Jarred Kelenic is in the 18th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .248.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Drew Romo in today’s game.

,Tristan Peters will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,Checking in at the 23rd percentile, Anthony Kay has put up a 17.9% K% this year.

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