Todays Matchup Details

Player match stat positives for Chicago at San Francisco Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 17.5-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters.

Heliot Ramos has strong power (84th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jonathan Cannon struggles to strike batters out (20th percentile K%) — great news for Ramos.

Heliot Ramos has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Oracle Park as the 9th-best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.

Oracle Park has the shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball.

Batting from the opposite that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Grant McCray will have an advantage in today’s game.

Grant McCray will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Corey Julks will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Last season, Corey Julks had an average launch angle of 8.6° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 15.2°.

Gavin Sheets is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Gavin Sheets’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.1-mph lately.

Gavin Sheets’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 36.5% to 44.8%.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Miguel Vargas will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today’s game.

When it comes to his batting average, Miguel Vargas has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .193 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .217.

Miguel Vargas has exhibited good plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile with a 1.72 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Tyler Fitzgerald has big-time power (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jonathan Cannon struggles to strike batters out (9th percentile K%) — great news for Fitzgerald.

Tyler Fitzgerald will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Brett Wisely will have the handedness advantage against Jonathan Cannon in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Brett Wisely will hold that advantage today.

Over the last two weeks, Brett Wisely has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 27.6° compared to his seasonal mark of 11.1°.

Korey Lee will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison today.

Korey Lee has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 8.3% seasonal rate to 37.5% in the last week’s worth of games.

Korey Lee has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 93.7-mph in the last 14 days.

In the last 14 days, Korey Lee’s 31.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.1%.

Oracle Park grades out as the #9 park in the league for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Michael Conforto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Michael Conforto is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Riley Baldwin will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Kyle Harrison today.

In the last week, Riley Baldwin’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.9% up to 20%.

In the last week’s worth of games, Riley Baldwin’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.8-mph over the course of the season to 96.3-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Riley Baldwin’s true offensive skill to be a .293, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .042 deviation between that figure and his actual .251 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

LaMonte Wade Jr. is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Lenyn Sosa is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 71% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Lenyn Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Kyle Harrison in today’s game.

Lenyn Sosa has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Patrick Bailey will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Patrick Bailey has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last year’s 88.7-mph EV.

In terms of his batting average, Patrick Bailey has had bad variance on his side this year. His .239 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .263.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Jonathan Cannon’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 25th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball right now.

Projected catcher Korey Lee profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

With 6 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Jonathan Cannon will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Andrew Vaughn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew Vaughn is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Andrew Vaughn will have an edge in today’s game.

Andrew Vaughn’s launch angle in recent games (24.1° in the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 17.1° seasonal angle.

It may be best to expect improved performance for the Chicago White Sox offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the game this year.

With 7 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Kyle Harrison will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

Over his previous 3 GS, Kyle Harrison has suffered a substantial fall off in his fastball velocity: from 92 mph over the entire season to 90.7 mph of late.

Lenyn Sosa has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 84th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Jonathan Cannon today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Luis Robert is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Luis Robert will have an advantage in today’s game.

Luis Robert has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 91.1-mph average.

Gavin Sheets’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (20.3° in the past 14 days) is considerably better than his 9.2° seasonal angle.

When estimating his home run skill, Mike Yastrzemski ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an advantage today.

Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.1% — 92nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Mike Yastrzemski will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Kyle Harrison will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his metrics across the board.

Matt Chapman projects as the 16th-best home run batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Matt Chapman will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Matt Chapman has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 93-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Last season, Andrew Benintendi had an average launch angle of 13.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.5°.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.310) may lead us to conclude that Patrick Bailey has had bad variance on his side this year with his .289 actual wOBA.

Miguel Vargas’s launch angle this year (20.9°) is quite a bit better than his 16.6° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Miguel Vargas’s true offensive ability to be a .320, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .045 deviation between that figure and his actual .275 wOBA.

The San Francisco Giants have 4 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Fitzgerald, Grant McCray, Heliot Ramos, Matt Chapman).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 78th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

As it relates to his home run skill, Luis Robert ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Robert has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year’s 89-mph average.

Monday player match stat slumps with White Sox vs Giants Matchup

Oracle Park profiles as the #24 stadium in MLB for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The league’s tallest average fence height can be found at Oracle Park.

Oracle Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to less offense.

This matchup is predicted to have the 2nd-most suitable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Jonathan Cannon will have the handedness advantage over Heliot Ramos in today’s matchup.

Grant McCray is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Oracle Park ranks as the #24 field in the game for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Corey Julks has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (54% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

This year, Corey Julks has been pinch hit for in 32% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.

Gavin Sheets’s BABIP talent is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Harrison throws from, Gavin Sheets will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

36% of the time that Miguel Vargas has started against a left-handed starter this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

Jonathan Cannon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Fitzgerald today.

Brett Wisely is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Brett Wisely’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Korey Lee in the 5th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Korey Lee is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Among all the teams today, the best infield defense is that of the San Francisco Giants.

Michael Conforto’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 89.6-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 78.6-mph in the last 7 days.

Michael Conforto’s launch angle recently (-6° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 15.3° seasonal mark.

Riley Baldwin is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

LaMonte Wade Jr. has been lucky this year, putting up a .347 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .017 gap.

Lenyn Sosa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Lenyn Sosa has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Patrick Bailey’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (7.7°) is significantly lower than his 12.3° figure last year.

The 4th-worst projected batting order on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability is that of the San Francisco Giants.

The #1 venue in baseball for suppressing walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Jonathan Cannon must realize this, because he has utilized his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot this year: 60.2% of the time, ranking in the 81st percentile.

The Chicago White Sox projected lineup grades out as the 2nd-weakest on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.

Projected catcher Patrick Bailey profiles as an elite pitch framer, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andrew Vaughn in today’s matchup.

Gavin Sheets will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.

Among all SPs, Kyle Harrison’s fastball spin rate of 2208 rpm ranks in the 22nd percentile this year.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Riley Baldwin in today’s matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Jonathan Cannon throws from, Matt Chapman will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Over the last two weeks, Heliot Ramos’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.3% down to 10%.

In the last week’s worth of games, Heliot Ramos’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.6%.

Matt Chapman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (9.5°) is quite a bit worse than his 13.3° mark last season.

In the last two weeks, Matt Chapman’s 6.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.5%.

Based on Statcast data, Michael Conforto is in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .225.

Brett Wisely’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 86.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 79.4-mph over the past 14 days.

Hitting from the same side that Kyle Harrison throws from, Andrew Benintendi will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 15th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Robert in today’s matchup.

Luis Robert’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 45.5% to 38.7%.

Andrew Benintendi will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jonathan Cannon in the 10th percentile as it relates to his strikeout ability.

In terms of power, LaMonte Wade Jr. is positioned in the 13th percentile, having paced 9 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Andrew Vaughn’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.7-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 87.9-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 17th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

In the past week’s worth of games, Mike Yastrzemski’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.

Over the past week, Tyler Fitzgerald’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.3% down to 5.9%.

Over the last 7 days, Tyler Fitzgerald’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 91.7 mph to 88.6 mph.

Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, decreasing from 14.2% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.